Toss & Conditions

Dharamsala’s night matches this season have been skewed towards the chasing side, with the ball holding a touch early before settling as the temperature comes down. The square has tufty grass, the outfield is small, and the rarefied air makes totals difficult to defend, with slower balls highlighted as a key night-batting adjustment.

Head-to-Head

Across the last three meetings, GT lead RCB 2-1. In the most recent clash, GT won by four wickets with 25 balls remaining after restricting RCB to 155 all out. That finish was driven by GT completing the chase with significant balls in hand. The results have swung both ways recently, including an RCB win by five wickets with seven balls remaining in the meeting before that.

GTGujarat Titans 158/6

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 155/10

2026-04-30 · GT won by 4 wickets (with 25 balls remaining)

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 206/5

GTGujarat Titans 205/3

2026-04-24 · RCB won by 5 wickets (with 7 balls remaining)

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 169/8

GTGujarat Titans 170/2

2025-04-02 · GT won by 8 wickets (with 13 balls remaining)

Royal Challengers Bengaluru

RCB are 9W-5L with a net run rate of +0.684. Their last three results are two wins followed by a 55-run loss, with the most recent match defined by conceding 255/4 while making 200/4 in reply. The two wins before that came while defending 222/4 and chasing down 192/4 with five balls remaining.

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 200/4

SRSunrisers Hyderabad 255/4

2026-05-22 · SRH won by 55 runs

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 222/4

PBPunjab Kings 199/8

2026-05-17 · RCB won by 23 runs

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 194/4

KKKolkata Knight Riders 192/4

2026-05-13 · RCB won by 6 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

Gujarat Titans

GT are 9W-5L with a net run rate of +0.320. Their last three results are two big wins around a 29-run loss, including an 89-run win after posting 229/4. The loss came in a high-scoring game where they conceded 247/2 while chasing 248.

GTGujarat Titans 229/4

CSChennai Super Kings 140/10

2026-05-21 · GT won by 89 runs

GTGujarat Titans 218/4

KKKolkata Knight Riders 247/2

2026-05-16 · KKR won by 29 runs

GTGujarat Titans 168/5

SRSunrisers Hyderabad 86/10

2026-05-12 · GT won by 82 runs

Playing XI

News & Facts

Key Stats

Verdict

Models are split but lean GT, with GT at 53% on average and individual model calls ranging from 49% to 58% for GT. Bookmakers diverge from the models, pricing RCB at 55% (1.73) vs GT at 45% (2.10). Key-stats comparison edges GT overall by a 4-2 score, led by Elo, head-to-head (last 3), and better middle-overs economy. The decision points flagged by the numbers are GT’s advantage outside the death overs versus RCB’s better death economy.

Patidar’s 33-ball storm

Rajat Patidar didn’t just top-score; he flipped the match on its head with a 93 off 33 that made Gujarat Titans’ chase feel impossible before it began. RCB’s innings kept accelerating, and once the target ballooned, GT’s reply unraveled under scoreboard pressure. Even with a late counterpunch, the visitors were bowled out for 162 in 19.3 overs, handing Royal Challengers Bengaluru a thumping 92-run win.

Powerplay wrecks the chase

The game was essentially decided in the first six overs of GT’s innings. Chasing 255, they slid to 51/5 in the powerplay, losing half the side while scoring at 8.5 an over—nowhere near the required pace. That early damage meant even a solid middle phase (83/3) couldn’t reset the equation; the asking rate stayed brutal and the risk only grew. By the time GT reached the death overs, they managed just 28/2, the chase already beyond repair.

Patidar sets, Krunal seals

Patidar’s assault was the defining act, and his 94-run stand with Krunal Pandya gave RCB the bridge from fast start to match-winning total. Krunal then doubled his impact by strangling GT’s recovery with 2/16 in 3.3 overs, ensuring Tewatia’s 68 couldn’t become a real chase. Jacob Duffy’s 3/39 and Bhuvneshwar Kumar’s 2/28 kept wickets falling often enough that GT never got a second wind.

Numbers liked GT, RCB hit harder

Pre-match indicators leaned slightly GT, shaped by stronger overall ratings and matchup trends outside the death. But this match was decided by extremes: RCB’s top gear with the bat and their new-ball burst with the ball. The models’ focus on steadier middle-overs control didn’t account for a powerplay collapse of five wickets, nor for Patidar turning a strong start into a 250-plus total.