Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

London Spirit W have won all of the last three head-to-head meetings against MI London W. In the most recent meeting, London Spirit W chased down 108/8 and won by 8 wickets with 38 balls remaining, a finish driven by how quickly they completed the chase. Earlier in the same season, London Spirit W also won by 17 runs after making 176/5. The pattern across these meetings is consistent: London Spirit W have repeatedly come out on top.

MIMI London W 151/4

LSLondon Spirit W 151/5

2026-07-29 · Match tied

MIMI London W 108/8

LSLondon Spirit W 112/2

2025-08-25 · LS-W won by 8 wickets (with 38 balls remaining)

LSLondon Spirit W 176/5

MIMI London W 159/4

2025-08-05 · LS-W won by 17 runs

London Spirit W

London Spirit W are 6th in the THW regular season with 6 points. Their recent run has been tight and frustrating, including a tied game against MI London W followed by back-to-back defeats. The clearest snapshot is the latest loss, where they fell short as Sunrisers Leeds W won by 5 wickets with 2 balls remaining.

LSLondon Spirit W 136/7

SLSunrisers Leeds W 142/5

2026-08-04 · SL-W won by 5 wickets (with 2 balls remaining)

LSLondon Spirit W 114/8

SBSouthern Brave W 115/5

2026-08-01 · SB-W won by 5 wickets (with 7 balls remaining)

LSLondon Spirit W 151/5

MIMI London W 151/4

2026-07-29 · Match tied

MI London W

MI London W are 8th in the THW regular season with 2 points. They are still searching for a first win, with their last three matches featuring a tie and two narrow-to-heavy defeats. The most telling result is the latest game, where they were dismissed for 92 and lost by 6 wickets with 28 balls remaining.

MIMI London W 92/10

MSManchester Super Giants W 95/4

2026-08-02 · Manchester Super Giants won by 6 wickets (with 28 balls remaining)

MIMI London W 151/4

LSLondon Spirit W 151/5

2026-07-29 · Match tied

MIMI London W 125/3

SBSouthern Brave W 126/7

2026-07-27 · SB-W won by 1 run

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models favour London Spirit W, with the average projection at 64% for LS-W. Bookmakers align with the models, pricing LS-W at 63% (1.52) vs MIL-W at 37% (2.50). Key stats lean LS-W 4-2, built around the stronger table position, better NRR, higher Elo, and a clean sweep in the last three head-to-heads. The swing factor is whether MI London W can overcome their winless run after being bowled out cheaply in their last match.

Kerr’s late-overs robbery

Amelia Kerr walked MI London W out of trouble and into a 3-run win, transforming a stuttering innings into a defendable total and then watching it hold under pressure. With wickets tumbling and the run rate stuck, Kerr kept finding boundaries and smart twos, lifting MI from a losing position to 122/9. London Spirit W, powered by a 42-run stand between Nadine de Klerk and Marizanne Kapp, threatened to steal it back, but the chase ended at 119/7 with the finish line just out of reach.

Death overs flip the script

The match was decided in MI’s final phase: 41 runs in the death for just one wicket, at 10.2 an over, after they had crawled to 14/2 in the powerplay and slid to 81/8. Kerr’s acceleration, plus the key 34-run partnership with Chinelle Henry, changed the geometry of the chase — what looked like a sub-100 total became a target that demanded clean hitting late. Spirit’s innings never found that same late gear, managing 26 runs in their death overs, and those missing boundary balls became the margin.

Kerr and Dean set the tone

Kerr was the difference-maker: 69 off 41 at 168 strike rate, batting through chaos and cashing in when the field spread. Dean, the MVP, nearly won it for Spirit with three key wickets and tight overs that forced MI into risk. De Klerk (36 off 30) and Kapp (33 off 27) gave Spirit a platform, but MI’s bowlers did enough at the end to keep the required rate just high enough when the game tightened in the final four overs.

Why the favourites fell short

Pre-game indicators leaned heavily towards Spirit — better recent head-to-heads and a stronger overall profile — and for long stretches the match followed that script. Charlie Dean’s 3/26 and Hannah Rainey’s 2/12 had MI in a hole, and Spirit’s middle overs were stable rather than frantic. But T20s punish one soft phase: MI’s recovery at the back end, driven by Kerr’s intent, neutralised the advantage Spirit expected to build through control and depth.