CPL ·25th Match
Finished
#5 · 5 pts · NRR -0.52 · LLLNW
235/4
(20 ov)
#3 · 8 pts · NRR +0.08 · WLLWW
98/10
(13.5 ov)
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots won by 137 runs
1
·1W1··
2 runs
2
1··441
10 runs
3
····24
6 runs
4
22·412
11 runs
5
W14···
5 runs
6
W·6lb14
11 runs
7
441W··
9 runs
8
211414
13 runs
9
111111
6 runs
10
WW··11
2 runs
11
4·2W12
9 runs
12
11·4·W
6 runs
13
11·111
5 runs
14
1W·1W
2 runs
Batting
RB4s6sSR
K. Gaston
1 2 0 0 50
M. Theekshana
2 3 0 0 66.7
Bowling
OMRWEcon
J. Louis
2.5 10 10 5 3.5
W. Hasaranga
4 8 25 2 6.2
MATCH STATS SNP SLK
PP 59/1 (9.8) 46/3 (7.7)
Middle 97/3 (9.7) 52/7 (6.6)
Death 79/0 (19.8) —
4s 18 12
6s 17 1
Dots 30% 27%
Extras 13 1
Best P'ship 93(5) 28(2)
Runs
SNPSLK
5210415620826005101520
🗓
Date and time 03/09/2026 · 23:00
🏆
Competition Caribbean Premier League · 25th Match
🏟
Venue Warner Park, Basseterre
🌤
Weather
🌡 28°C💧 75%☁️ 19%💨 14 km/h
🪙
Toss Saint Lucia Kings won the toss, elected to bowling
👤
Umpire 1 Carl Tuckett
👤
Umpire 2 Gregory Brathwaite
📺
TV Umpire Chris Wright
🎖
Referee Reon King

SNP are 5th in the CPL regular season on 5 points with a 2W-4L record and a -0.516 NRR. SLK are 3rd on 8 points with a 4W-3L record and a +0.081 NRR, currently inside the playoff zone. SNP’s recent results include a high-scoring win, but they’ve also dropped tight games. SLK come in off a 36-run win and have taken 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings.

Toss & Conditions

🪙 Saint Lucia Kings won toss, elected bowling
🏟 Warner Park, Basseterre
🌡 28°C💧 75%☁️ 19%💨 14 km/h

Head-to-Head

Across the last three meetings, SLK lead 2-1. In the most recent matchup, SNP won by 5 wickets with 14 balls remaining after chasing down SLK’s 155/8. The defining feature was the control of the chase: SNP finished with time to spare rather than taking it deep. The wider pattern is tight and swingy—two of the last three were decided by single-digit margins.

St Kitts and Nevis Patriots

#55 ptsNRR -0.516LLLNW→

SNP are 5th in the CPL regular season with 5 points. Their recent form has been volatile, mixing a high-scoring win with narrow defeats. The clearest signal is their last outing: they got home with 5 balls left in a 6-wicket win after a 220/4 vs 217/4 shootout.

Saint Lucia Kings

#38 ptsNRR +0.081WLLWW→

SLK are 3rd in the CPL regular season with 8 points, currently inside the playoff zone. Their last three show a steadier upward trend, with two wins wrapped up comfortably. The standout is the 36-run win over TKR, where SLK posted 211/4 and controlled the game.

Playing XI

SNP
Jason HolderC
Andre FletcherWK
Johnson Charles
Kyle Mayers
Dasun Shanaka
Wanindu Hasaranga
Alick Athanaze
Navin Bidaisee
Naseem Shah
Jeremiah Louis
Ashmead Nedd
SLK
Roston ChaseC
Tim SeifertWK
Kamil Pooran
John Campbell
Charith Asalanka
Obus Pienaar
Matthew Forde
Amari Goodridge
Joshua Bishop
Maheesh Theekshana
Keon Gaston

Key Stats

SNPSLK
Position 5 3
Points 5 8
NRR -0.52 +0.08
EloOverall strength rating built from past results against the quality of opponents. Higher is stronger. 1447 1523
Form (last 5) 2/5 3/5
H2H (last 4) 1/4 3/4
Key PlayersCombined strength of each team's top-3 players by career impact (runs + wickets + strike-rate). Higher is better. 33.2 30.1
Player FormThe same top-3 players' impact over their last 5 matches — recent form rather than career. Higher is better. 32.6 45.8
Total score 1 6

Prediction

Current prediction, after the playing XI and toss

All four models are in consensus for SLK, with the average pricing at SLK 62% (range 58–67%). Bookmakers are far closer to a coin-flip, pricing SNP at 49% (1.91) vs SLK at 51% (1.88). Key stats lean heavily to SLK overall (6-1), driven by their stronger season position and better recent form indicators. The match likely turns on whether SNP can reproduce another controlled chase like the last head-to-head, or whether SLK’s broader season edge holds.

SNPSLK
42% ML 58%
38% AI 1 62%
39% AI 2 61%
33% Math 67%
49% Books 51%

Louis rips out the chase

Jeremiah Louis turned a steep target into a full-blown rout, slicing through Saint Lucia Kings’ middle order as the chase imploded. After St Kitts and Nevis Patriots piled up 235/4, Louis’ burst ensured there was no second act: Kings were bowled out for 98 in 13.5 overs, losing by 137 runs despite a brief, early attempt to counterpunch.

Death-overs avalanche decides it

The decisive swing came at the back end of the Patriots innings. They were already moving at 156/4 after 16 overs, but the final four overs detonated: 79 runs without loss at a staggering 19.8 an over. That surge, driven by clean hitting and smart targeting of length, turned a competitive total into a near-impossible one, leaving Kings needing well over 11 an over from ball one.

Shanaka’s blaze, Louis’ hammer

Dasun Shanaka’s 121 off 43 was the innings that changed the ceiling of the match, combining with Wanindu Hasaranga in a 93-run stand that set up the death-overs assault. Andre Fletcher’s 64 gave the platform, but Shanaka’s strike rate (281) made 200 look small. In reply, Tim Seifert’s 50 offered a flicker, yet Louis’ 5/10 and Hasaranga’s control (2/25) shut every door as wickets fell in clusters.

Batting
RBSR
Dasun Shanaka
Dasun Shanaka
SNP Batsman
12143281
Andre Fletcher
Andre Fletcher
SNP Batsman
6438168
Tim Seifert
Tim Seifert
SLK Batsman
5036139
Bowling
WREcon
Jeremiah Louis
Jeremiah Louis
SNP Bowler
5103.5
Wanindu Hasaranga
Wanindu Hasaranga
SNP Bowler
2256.3
Ashmead Nedd
Ashmead Nedd
SNP Bowler
2248.0

Pre-match edge, match-day mismatch

Coming in, the numbers leaned Kings: better form, higher season standing, and a clear Elo and NRR advantage. But this game flipped on execution under pressure. Patriots’ batting didn’t just start well; it finished brutally, and that kind of late-innings acceleration can erase broader season trends in one night. When Kings lost three in the powerplay (46/3), the chase became a scramble rather than a plan.

ML
SLK 58% ❌
AI 1
SLK 62% ❌
AI 2
SLK 61% ❌
Math
SLK 67% ❌
Books
SLK 51% ❌
Playing XI
Jason Holder
Jason HolderC Bowling Allrounder
Andre Fletcher
Andre FletcherWK Wicketkeeper
Kyle Mayers
Kyle Mayers Batting Allrounder
Alick Athanaze
Alick Athanaze Batsman
Dasun Shanaka
Dasun Shanaka Allrounder
Navin Bidaisee
Navin Bidaisee Allrounder
Wanindu Hasaranga
Wanindu Hasaranga Allrounder
Ashmead Nedd
Ashmead Nedd Bowler
Jeremiah Louis
Jeremiah Louis Bowler
Naseem Shah
Naseem Shah Bowler
Johnson Charles
Johnson Charles Wicketkeeper
Rest of Squad
Kevin Wickham
Kevin Wickham Allrounder
Micah McKenzie
Micah McKenzie Allrounder
Mikyle Louis
Mikyle Louis Allrounder
Nikhil Chaudhary
Nikhil Chaudhary Bowler
Obed McCoy
Obed McCoy Bowler
Waqar Salamkheil
Waqar Salamkheil Bowler
Saurabh Netravalkar
Saurabh Netravalkar Bowler
Playing XI
Roston Chase
Roston ChaseC Allrounder
Tim Seifert
Tim SeifertWK Wicketkeeper
Kamil Pooran
Kamil Pooran Batsman
Obus Pienaar
Obus Pienaar Batsman
Charith Asalanka
Charith Asalanka Allrounder
Joshua Bishop
Joshua Bishop Allrounder
Keon Gaston
Keon Gaston Allrounder
Matthew Forde
Matthew Forde Allrounder
John Campbell
John Campbell Allrounder
Amari Goodridge
Amari Goodridge Bowler
Maheesh Theekshana
Maheesh Theekshana Bowler
Rest of Squad
Ackeem Auguste
Ackeem Auguste Batsman
Darron Nedd
Darron Nedd Batsman
Johann Jeremiah
Johann Jeremiah Batsman
Shadley van Schalkwyk
Shadley van Schalkwyk Allrounder
Khari Campbell
Khari Campbell Allrounder
Damion Joachim
Damion Joachim Bowler
McKenny Clarke
McKenny Clarke Bowler
Noor Ahmad
Noor Ahmad Bowler
Jewel Andrew
Jewel Andrew Wicketkeeper
Andries Gous
Andries Gous Wicketkeeper
#TeamPW-LPTS
1ABF 9 5-3 11
2GAW 4 4-0 8
3SLK 7 4-3 8
4JK 8 4-4 8
5SNP 7 2-4 5
6TKR 8 2-6 4
7BT 5 2-3 4
#TeamPWLNRNRRPTS
1ABF 9 5 3 1 -0.267 11
2GAW 4 4 0 — +2.604 8
3SLK 7 4 3 — +0.081 8
4JK 8 4 4 — +0.054 8
5SNP 7 2 4 1 -0.516 5
6TKR 8 2 6 — -0.170 4
7BT 5 2 3 — -0.784 4
#TeamLast 5
1ABFWLWNW
2GAWWWWW
3SLKWLLWW
4JKWWLWW
5SNPLLLNW
6TKRLWLLL
7BTWWLLL

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