Toss & Conditions

The semi-final will be played in Kolkata, India. Conditions are expected to favour fast bowlers more than spin, as both teams plan to rely on pace.

Head-to-Head

In the last three meetings, South Africa won once and New Zealand won twice. The most recent match on February 14, 2026, was won by South Africa by seven wickets.

South Africa

South Africa have won their last three matches, beating Zimbabwe, West Indies, and India, and hold a 9-1 record with a net run rate of 1.809.

New Zealand

New Zealand have won two of their last three matches, defeating Sri Lanka and Canada but losing to England, with an overall record of 5-5 and a net run rate of -0.048.

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

Model projections give South Africa a 66% win probability against New Zealand’s 34%. Bookmakers list South Africa at 63% implied probability with odds of 1.543. South Africa lead by 60.1 Elo points and have a net run rate advantage of 1.86. They have won all their last three matches, while New Zealand have won two of their last three.