New Zealand face South Africa in a key fixture. NZ hold a 5W-5L record with NRR +0.546, while SA lead the table with 8W-2L and NRR +1.050. The last meeting on 15 March 2026 ended in SA’s 93/3 chase after bowling NZ out for 91. Model probability: NZ 42%, SA 58%.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
In the last three head-to-head matches, SA won twice and NZ once, including SA’s 93/3 chase against NZ’s 91/10 on 15 March 2026.
New Zealand
NZ have a 5W-5L record with NRR +0.546. They lost their last match to SA after being bowled out for 91.
South Africa
SA have an 8W-2L record with NRR +1.050. They won their last match against NZ by 7 wickets.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- NZ record this season: 5 wins, 5 losses, NRR +0.546.
- SA record this season: 8 wins, 2 losses, NRR +1.050.
- SA won 2 of the last 3 head-to-head matches against NZ.
- Elo difference between teams: SA +51.2 points.
- Model probability: NZ 42%, SA 58%.
मुख्य आँकड़े
Prediction
Model gives SA 58% win probability against NZ’s 42%. Elo and NRR metrics favor SA, who also lead recent head-to-heads. NZ’s strike rate advantage is noted but outweighed by SA’s stronger overall indicators.

