Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Trent Rockets lead 2-1 across the last three meetings. In the most recent meeting last season, TR won by five wickets and got home with four balls remaining. It was a tight chase where TR stayed in touch and finished the job late rather than running away with it. The wider pattern is mixed: TR have won two of the last three, but one of those results went the other way by a three-run margin.

TRTrent Rockets 128/5

NSNorthern Superchargers 124/9

2025-08-10 · TR won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

NSNorthern Superchargers 138/8

TRTrent Rockets 185/5

2024-07-26 · TR won by 47 runs

TRTrent Rockets 139/7

NSNorthern Superchargers 142/5

2023-08-09 · NS won by 3 runs

Trent Rockets

Trent Rockets are 1st in the regular season with 12 points and are currently in the playoff zone. They are on a three-match winning streak, with all three wins coming in chases. Their last win was controlled, finishing the chase with 13 balls remaining.

TRTrent Rockets 140/4

MSManchester Super Giants 137/3

2026-07-31 · TR won by 6 wickets (with 13 balls remaining)

TRTrent Rockets 128/1

WFWelsh Fire 122/7

2026-07-29 · TR won by 9 wickets (with 28 balls remaining)

TRTrent Rockets 160/6

LSLondon Spirit 159/9

2026-07-26 · TR won by 4 wickets (with 2 balls remaining)

Sunrisers Leeds

Sunrisers Leeds are 6th in the regular season with 8 points and are currently outside the playoff zone. They have won two of their last three, including back-to-back wins. Their last match was a high-scoring chase where they won by eight wickets with 12 balls remaining.

SLSunrisers Leeds 184/2

MSManchester Super Giants 181/3

2026-07-28 · SL won by 8 wickets (with 12 balls remaining)

SLSunrisers Leeds 187/5

SBSouthern Brave 182/5

2026-07-25 · SL won by 5 runs

SLSunrisers Leeds 143/10

MIMI London 144/3

2026-07-21 · MIL won by 7 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models favour Trent Rockets, with TR rated around 63% on average. Bookmakers diverge from the models, pricing TR at 49% (1.90) vs SL at 51% (1.85). Key stats lean TR 4-2 overall, driven by their stronger table position, NRR edge, and a 2-1 advantage in the last three head-to-heads. The swing factor is whether SL’s stronger key-player and player-form indicators can outweigh TR’s season-level dominance.

Duckett sets the defend

Ben Duckett’s 64 off 47 was the innings that kept Trent Rockets ahead of the game’s tempo, even when Sunrisers Leeds repeatedly threatened to level it. His control through the middle overs meant Rockets always had something to bowl at, and they clung on in a tense finish to win by 5 runs, with Leeds closing on 141/4.

Middle overs keep Rockets afloat

The decisive stretch was Rockets’ middle phase: 89/2 at 7.4 an over, built around a best stand of 62 between Duckett and Aneurin Donald. Brydon Carse (2/20) ensured there was no late surge, but Rockets avoided the mid-innings stall that often leaves totals short. By contrast, Leeds’ middle overs were steady rather than damaging (84/1 at 7.0), leaving too much to do at the back end.

Duckett and Amir deliver

Duckett’s value wasn’t just volume; it was timing, ensuring Rockets had a defendable platform rather than a scramble. For Leeds, Harry Brook’s 46 off 33 and Mitchell Marsh’s 41 off 35 gave the chase shape via their 71-run partnership, but it needed one of them to finish. Mohammad Amir’s 2/20 provided the key squeeze at the end, turning a near-even chase into a five-run shortfall.

Pre-match edge shows up late

The pre-game lean towards Rockets was about season control — better table momentum and the sense they win tight games more often — and this match followed that script. Leeds’ in-form hitters did get themselves in, but the chase never broke open: even with Brook and Marsh set, the required rate kept nudging up because boundaries were rationed. When the death overs arrived, Rockets had the composure and plans to make singles feel like dots.