Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Durham lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent clash last season, Durham chased down the target for a 9-wicket win with 21 balls remaining after Northamptonshire made 203/5. That result was driven by Durham reaching 204/1 in reply. Across the last three games, results have swung, with both teams recording wins.

DUDurham 204/1

NONorthamptonshire 203/5

2025-07-18 · DUR won by 9 wickets (with 21 balls remaining)

NONorthamptonshire 142/8

DUDurham 157/8

2025-06-13 · DUR won by 15 runs

DUDurham 90/5

NONorthamptonshire 91/4

2024-07-14 · NOR won by 6 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

Durham

Durham are #11 in the T20B Regular Season on 8 points with a 2W-2L record. Their last three matches include two defeats, including a 58-run loss to Yorkshire where they were bowled out for 93. Their most recent win was a 6-wicket chase against Leicestershire with 24 balls remaining.

DUDurham 156/8

NONottinghamshire 157/4

2026-05-31 · NOT won by 6 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

DUDurham 93/10

YOYorkshire 151/9

2026-05-29 · YOR won by 58 runs

DUDurham 150/4

LELeicestershire 148/8

2026-05-24 · DUR won by 6 wickets (with 24 balls remaining)

Northamptonshire

Northamptonshire are #2 in the T20B Regular Season on 16 points with a perfect 4W-0L record. They have won their last three matches, including a successful chase against Warwickshire where they got 209/4 to win with 4 balls remaining. Their run of results also includes a 100-run win over Worcestershire.

NONorthamptonshire 209/4

WAWarwickshire 208/7

2026-05-31 · NOR won by 6 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

NONorthamptonshire 166/3

GLGloucestershire 164/9

2026-05-29 · NOR

NONorthamptonshire 191/10

WOWorcestershire 91/10

2026-05-24 · NOR won by 100 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models favour Northamptonshire, with the model average at NOR 64% vs DUR 36%. Bookmakers agree, pricing NOR at 58% (1.65) vs DUR at 42% (2.25). Key stats lean Northamptonshire 5-3 overall, led by their stronger season position and unbeaten momentum, while Durham’s edge is the recent head-to-head record. The game pivots on whether NOR’s current streak outweighs DUR’s recent success in this matchup.

Parkinson’s triple strike sparks hope

Callum Parkinson’s 3 for 19 nearly flipped the script, ripping through Northamptonshire’s lower order just as the chase looked settled. But even after a late slide, Northamptonshire scraped to 145/9 and edged Durham by 7 runs, leaving the home side to rue a stuttering pursuit that never truly found momentum.

Middle overs build the cushion

The match swung in Northamptonshire’s favour through the middle phase of their innings. After a cautious 39/3 in the powerplay, they surged with 80/1 in the middle overs, driven by Justin Broad’s busy 36 off 32 and the 44-run stand with Saif Zaib. That lift proved decisive: Durham’s bowlers dragged it back at the death (26/5), but the earlier acceleration meant even a messy finish still left a defendable target.

Broad sets up, Parkinson counters

Broad’s 36 wasn’t flashy, but it was the innings that kept Northamptonshire ticking when wickets fell early. Parkinson then produced the spell of the night, repeatedly forcing Durham to recalculate at the death as wickets tumbled. For Durham, Ben McKinney’s 33 off 19 provided the one burst of intent, but with Will Rhodes anchored at 31 off 33, the chase needed a second surge that never arrived.

Form edge shows up late

Pre-match, Northamptonshire’s recent momentum suggested they’d handle tight moments better, and that played out when the pressure spiked. Durham actually had the better early punch with 46/3 in the powerplay, yet their middle overs slowed to 62/3 as boundaries dried up and the chase became a grind. Northamptonshire’s ability to find an extra gear in the middle overs—exactly where Durham couldn’t—ended up outweighing Durham’s recent head-to-head comfort.