Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Worcestershire lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent clash, Worcestershire defended 180/5 as Somerset finished on 144/9, losing by 36 runs. The defining detail was Somerset losing wickets heavily in the chase, ending nine down. Across the last three games, results have swung, but Worcestershire have edged the series.

WOWorcestershire 180/5

SOSomerset 144/9

2026-06-28 · WOR won by 36 runs

SOSomerset 165/8

WOWorcestershire 168/4

2020-09-11 · WOR won by 3 runs

WOWorcestershire 213/7

SOSomerset 229/8

2020-09-03 · SOM won by 16 runs

Somerset

Somerset are 7th in the T20B Regular Season with 24 points and a 6W-5L record. They are on a three-match winning run, and the clearest signal was the 105-run win over Northamptonshire where they dominated the game end-to-end. Their latest win was controlled, chasing down the target with 30 balls remaining.

SOSomerset 165/3

NONorthamptonshire 162/8

2026-07-10 · SOM won by 7 wickets (with 30 balls remaining)

SOSomerset 214/6

DEDerbyshire 187/7

2026-07-08 · SOM won by 27 runs

SOSomerset 223/4

NONorthamptonshire 118/10

2026-07-05 · SOM won by 105 runs

Worcestershire

Worcestershire are 11th in the T20B Regular Season with 24 points and a 6W-5L record. Their last three include two wins, but the most recent match was a 2-wicket defeat after making 181/5, showing they can post a score and still be chased down. The 83-run win over Kent in this stretch shows their ceiling when they control both innings.

WOWorcestershire 181/5

GLGloucestershire 182/8

2026-07-10 · GLO won by 2 wickets (with 6 balls remaining)

WOWorcestershire 161/9

GLGlamorgan 146/10

2026-07-05 · WOR won by 15 runs

WOWorcestershire 142/7

KEKent 59/10

2026-07-03 · WOR won by 83 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour Somerset, with the average projection at 59% for SOM. Bookmakers also side with Somerset, pricing SOM at 66% (1.45) vs WOR at 34% (2.70). Key stats lean Somerset 4-2, driven by the stronger NRR profile and edges outside the powerplay. Worcestershire’s recent head-to-head advantage is the counterweight, but Somerset’s current run of wins is the form signal.

Meredith snaps the chase

Riley Meredith’s first spell set the tone for a ruthless second half, as Somerset turned a competitive total into a 78-run win. Worcestershire were still in the contest after a lively powerplay, but once Meredith and Jack Leach hit their lengths, the chase unravelled quickly and never recovered.

Somerset’s powerplay makes it

The game was effectively won in the first six overs of Somerset’s innings. Smeed and Rew blasted 75/1 in the powerplay at 12.5 an over, forcing Worcestershire to defend from behind for the remaining 14 overs. Even when Somerset slowed to 75/3 through the middle, that early surge meant 194/7 was always above par, and Worcestershire’s bowlers were left chasing damage limitation rather than dictating terms.

Smeed, Rew set the platform

Smeed’s 52 off 31 gave Somerset lift-off, and Rew’s 42 off 19 turned the powerplay into a statement, their 75-run stand defining the match’s tempo. Meredith was the finisher with the ball, his 3/17 ensuring Worcestershire never built a partnership beyond 35. Leach’s 3/20 tightened the vice in the middle, leaving Gareth Roderick’s 39 as the lone meaningful resistance.

Form and matchups show up

Pre-match, Somerset’s recent momentum and their edge outside the powerplay suggested they could control the key periods, and it played out that way. Worcestershire’s best chance was to keep Somerset quiet early and then attack at the death, but the opposite happened: Somerset exploded up front, and Worcestershire’s innings was then squeezed hard in the middle overs. A brief window opened at 52/2 in the powerplay, yet the next phase brought a cascade of wickets instead of consolidation.