Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

In the last 1 meeting, The Blaze lead 1-0. The most recent clash was earlier this season, and The Blaze won by 4 wickets with 3 balls remaining. It was decided in the final moments, with The Blaze completing a successful chase to get over the line. With only one recent data point, the head-to-head trend is defined by that single tight finish.

TBThe Blaze W 181/6

YOYorkshire W 179/5

2026-05-22 · TB-Women won by 4 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

Yorkshire W

Yorkshire are 7th in the T20BW Regular Season with 14 points. They come in on a three-match winning run, including a 29-run win in their latest game. The recent pattern is Yorkshire finding ways to close games out, with back-to-back wins that were both completed with balls to spare.

YOYorkshire W 162/6

LALancashire W 133/8

2026-07-10 · YOR won by 29 runs

YOYorkshire W 165/5

WAWarwickshire W 161/3

2026-07-05 · YOR won by 5 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

YOYorkshire W 210/4

SOSomerset W 199/5

2026-07-03 · YOR won by 11 runs

The Blaze W

The Blaze are 4th in the T20BW Regular Season with 28 points. Their last three matches read as a wobble: two defeats either side of a 7-wicket win. The clearest signal is that they have dropped two of their last three, despite still holding a top-four position.

TBThe Blaze W 122/3

SOSomerset W 118/8

2026-07-10 · TB-W won by 7 wickets

TBThe Blaze W 128/8

HAHampshire W 151/8

2026-07-08 · HAM-Women won by 23 runs

TBThe Blaze W 147/9

DUDurham W 148/5

2026-07-05 · DUR-W won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour The Blaze, with an average lean of 59% to 41% and a range of 56–62% across the individual calls. Bookmakers agree, pricing The Blaze at 63% (1.50) vs Yorkshire at 37% (2.55). Key stats tilt heavily to The Blaze (7-1 overall), driven by the stronger season profile and efficiency across phases. Yorkshire’s counterweight is momentum from three straight wins, but The Blaze’s broader edge is the baseline advantage.

Knott’s counterpunch seals it

Charli Knott walked in with The Blaze reeling at 31/4 and turned the chase into her night, carving 85 from 57 balls to take them home by three wickets with five balls left. Yorkshire had moments of control early, and again when wickets fell late, but Knott’s calm under pressure meant the target never truly ran away from The Blaze once the middle overs arrived.

Middle overs flip the chase

The match swung in the middle phase of The Blaze’s innings. After a powerplay full of stumbles (31/4 at 5.2 an over), Knott and Kirstie Gordon rebuilt with a decisive 71-run partnership, taking 65/1 through the middle at 6.5 an over. That stretch blunted Yorkshire’s new-ball gains and ensured the required rate stayed manageable, so even a couple of late wickets couldn’t force a full-on scramble.

Knott towers, Gordon supports

Knott was the difference: she absorbed the pressure of four early wickets, then shifted gears to keep the chase ahead of the game. Gordon’s 24 off 30 mattered because it gave Knott time to set up, and her 2/17 helped keep Yorkshire’s total in check. For Yorkshire, Lauren Winfield-Hill’s brisk 29 set early intent, but the innings never found a second anchor to finish strongly.

Yorkshire’s late collapse costs

Pre-match, The Blaze’s edge was expected to come through steadier phase control, and that’s exactly what played out once the initial chaos passed. Yorkshire’s own innings showed the risk: a bright start at 44/2 in the powerplay faded into 16/4 at the death, sliding to 122 all out in 19.5. Against a side with more depth, that late squeeze left Yorkshire needing a near-perfect defence.