Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Saint Lucia Kings have won the last three meetings against St Kitts and Nevis Patriots. In the most recent clash, SLK won by 7 wickets with 18 balls remaining after chasing down SNP’s 177/3. That finish was defined by SLK getting to 180/3 with time to spare in the chase. Across these three games, the pattern is one-way: SLK are 3-0.

SLSaint Lucia Kings 180/3

SNSt Kitts and Nevis Patriots 177/3

2025-08-28 · SLK won by 7 wickets (with 18 balls remaining)

SNSt Kitts and Nevis Patriots 197/6

SLSaint Lucia Kings 200/8

2025-08-19 · SLK won by 3 runs

SLSaint Lucia Kings 176/5

SNSt Kitts and Nevis Patriots 173/5

2024-09-12 · SLK won by 5 wickets (with 21 balls remaining)

Saint Lucia Kings

Saint Lucia Kings are 3rd in the CPL regular season with 2 points and are currently in the playoff zone. Their latest result was a tight 4-run win over Antigua & Barbuda Falcons, with both teams finishing on 8 wickets down. In their prior two listed matches, they suffered defeats to Trinbago Knight Riders and Guyana Amazon Warriors.

SLSaint Lucia Kings 187/8

ABAntigua & Barbuda Falcons 183/8

2026-08-09 · SLK won by 4 runs

SLSaint Lucia Kings 138/8

TKTrinbago Knight Riders 194/4

2025-09-20 · TKR won by 56 runs

SLSaint Lucia Kings 143/10

GAGuyana Amazon Warriors 157/10

2025-09-18 · GAW won by 14 runs

St Kitts and Nevis Patriots

St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are 7th in the CPL regular season with 0 points and are currently outside the playoff zone. Their latest match was a 19-run defeat to Trinbago Knight Riders decided by the D/L method. In their other two listed matches, they recorded two close wins: by 1 run over Barbados Royals and by 5 runs over Guyana Amazon Warriors.

SNSt Kitts and Nevis Patriots 109/9

TKTrinbago Knight Riders 94/2

2026-08-08 · TKR won by 19 runs (D/L method)

SNSt Kitts and Nevis Patriots 150/7

BRBarbados Royals 149/7

2025-09-11 · SNP won by 1 runs

SNSt Kitts and Nevis Patriots 149/6

GAGuyana Amazon Warriors 144/8

2025-09-08 · SNP won by 5 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models favour Saint Lucia Kings, with SLK projected at 64–70% and a 67% average. Bookmakers diverge from the models, pricing SLK at 47% (2.00) vs SNP at 53% (1.80). Key stats favour SLK 5-2, driven by advantages in points, net run rate, Elo, head-to-head, and player form. The decision points are whether SLK’s head-to-head control holds and whether SNP can overcome their current table position and opener loss.

Holder slams the brakes

Jason Holder’s four overs changed the feel of the night: he kept Saint Lucia Kings from cashing in, then the Patriots’ chase never truly drifted. After SLK threatened to post a bigger total, the visitors squeezed, stayed calm through a few quiet overs, and finished the job at 156/5 in 17.4 overs — a five-wicket win with 14 balls in hand.

Death overs choke SLK

The match swung in the last five overs of the Kings’ innings. From 135/2, SLK managed only 20 runs and lost three wickets in the death phase (RR 5.0), turning a platform into a merely competitive 155/8. Holder’s control was central, and even when boundaries came earlier, the Patriots kept enough options to shut down the finish and force risk.

Holder and Fletcher set tone

Holder was the decisive figure: 3/20 at 5.0 an over ensured SLK’s best work didn’t translate into a 170-plus total. For the chase, Andre Fletcher’s 48 off 41 provided the ballast, especially through the middle phase where the Patriots matched SLK run-for-run (79/3). Maheesh Theekshana’s 2/22 briefly tightened things, but the Patriots’ clean finish at the death (18/0) sealed it.

Head-to-head edge evaporates

Pre-match numbers leaned heavily toward Saint Lucia — stronger Elo, net run rate, and a recent head-to-head sweep — but the game played to St Kitts’ more pragmatic script. The Kings’ top order did its part through the powerplay (57/2), yet the lack of late-innings hitting meant their advantages never became scoreboard pressure. With a chase set at under eight an over, the Patriots could absorb a couple of quiet middle overs and still stay ahead of the rate.