Afghanistan face Sri Lanka in a key matchup with both teams aiming to improve their tournament standing. Afghanistan hold a stronger record this season at 7 wins and 3 losses, while Sri Lanka have managed 3 wins in 10 games. The Elo model gives Afghanistan a 64% win probability, reflecting their superior form and rating.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
In the last three head-to-head matches, Sri Lanka won twice and Afghanistan won once.
Afghanistan
Afghanistan have 7 wins and 3 losses this season with a net run rate of +0.896, indicating strong overall performance.
Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka have 3 wins and 7 losses this season with a net run rate of +0.121, reflecting a weaker campaign so far.
News & Facts
- Afghanistan have a season record of 7 wins and 3 losses with a net run rate of +0.896.
- Sri Lanka have a season record of 3 wins and 7 losses with a net run rate of +0.121.
- Model probability: Afghanistan 64% vs Sri Lanka 36%.
- Bookmaker odds: Afghanistan 1.95 (48% implied).
- Elo rating difference: Afghanistan lead by 56.1 points.
Key Stats
Prediction
Model projections favor Afghanistan at 64% due to a 56-point Elo advantage and a 0.78 higher NRR. Bookmaker odds are tighter at 48% for Afghanistan. Overall metrics indicate Afghanistan as the statistical favorite.