Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

San Francisco Unicorns have won the last three head-to-head meetings against Texas Super Kings. The most recent meeting came last season and finished on a one-run margin, with SFU defending 148/6 as TSK fell short on 147/7. That game was defined by how tight the finish became, with the chase ending just one run short. Across the last three meetings, SFU have repeatedly found a way to edge TSK.

SFSan Francisco Unicorns 148/6

TSTexas Super Kings 147/7

2025-07-04 · SFU won by 1 run

TSTexas Super Kings 198/5

SFSan Francisco Unicorns 202/3

2025-06-21 · SFU won by 7 wickets (with 23 balls remaining)

SFSan Francisco Unicorns 200/6

TSTexas Super Kings 190/4

2024-07-27 · SFU won by 10 runs

Texas Super Kings

Texas Super Kings are 1st in the MLC regular season with 2 points and are currently in the playoff zone. Their latest result was a six-wicket win over Seattle Orcas with nine balls remaining in a 220+ chase, showing they can close out high-scoring games. Across their last three matches, they have two wins and one loss.

TSTexas Super Kings 221/4

SOSeattle Orcas 220/2

2026-06-19 · TSK won by 6 wickets (with 9 balls remaining)

TSTexas Super Kings 166/5

MIMI New York 172/3

2025-07-12 · MINY won by 7 wickets (with 6 balls remaining)

TSTexas Super Kings 188/4

SOSeattle Orcas 137/10

2025-07-05 · TSK won by 51 runs

San Francisco Unicorns

San Francisco Unicorns are 5th in the MLC regular season with 0 points and sit outside the playoff zone. They have lost their last three matches, including a seven-wicket defeat to Los Angeles Knight Riders with two balls remaining, where they finished on the wrong side of a tight chase. The recent pattern is repeated losses, even when margins are close.

SFSan Francisco Unicorns 150/7

LALos Angeles Knight Riders 154/3

2026-06-19 · LAKR won by 7 wickets (with 2 balls remaining)

SFSan Francisco Unicorns 131/10

MIMI New York 132/8

2025-07-10 · MINY won by 2 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

SFSan Francisco Unicorns 233/10

LALos Angeles Knight Riders 243/3

2025-07-06 · LAKR won by 11 runs (D/L Method)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models favour Texas Super Kings, with the favourite priced in a tight 54–57% range and a 55% average. Bookmakers also lean TSK at 52% (1.80) vs SFU at 48% (1.95). Key stats edge TSK 5–3 overall, driven by their stronger current table position and recent results, while SFU’s main counter is a clean 3-0 head-to-head run. The match likely turns on whether TSK’s current form holds up against SFU’s proven ability to win this specific matchup.

Siddle strikes, Pretorius finishes

Peter Siddle’s hard-length burst up front and at the death kept Texas Super Kings scrambling for momentum, and Lhuan-dre Pretorius made the chase feel routine. San Francisco Unicorns won by 7 wickets with 13 balls remaining, pacing the pursuit after early intent and never letting the required rate bite. TSK had a brief late lift through Hardus Viljoen’s counterpunch, but the total always looked a touch light once the Unicorns’ top order settled.

Powerplay punch flips script

The game was effectively decided in the first six overs of each innings. TSK stumbled to 43/3 in the powerplay, losing too many wickets to build a platform, and that damage lingered through a sluggish middle phase. SFU then blew the chase open early, racing to 65/1 in their powerplay at 10.8 an over, immediately reversing the pressure. By the time Pretorius and Matthew Short had added 81 in the middle overs, the asking rate had been squeezed out of the contest.

Siddle’s overs, Pretorius’ control

Siddle’s 3/36 was the difference between 170 being possible and 152/9 being the ceiling, especially as he repeatedly forced miscued hits when TSK tried to reset. Pretorius’ 69 off 55 anchored the chase without letting it stall, and his stand with Short (81) ensured there was no late scramble. Short’s 2/25 added a second squeeze, keeping TSK’s middle overs honest before the Unicorns closed calmly in 17.5.

Form lines snapped by matchup

Pre-match numbers leaned Texas on recent results and overall balance, but this fixture kept tilting SFU’s way because the Unicorns controlled the phases that matter most. TSK’s stronger recent form couldn’t cover for a top-order wobble, and their innings never found a sustained partnership beyond 35. SFU, coming in on a three-match skid, played with clearer intent: win the powerplay, then bat time through the middle.