Sunrisers Leeds W are 5th in the THW Regular Season with 4 points and a 1W-1L record. Manchester Super Giants W are 2nd with 6 points, 1W-0L, and are currently in the playoff zone. SL-W come in off a 5-wicket loss with 4 balls remaining. MSG-W’s latest result was a 7-wicket win with 41 balls remaining after bowling London Spirit W out for 80.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Manchester Super Giants W lead the last three head-to-head meetings 2-1. In the most recent meeting last season, Sunrisers Leeds W came out on top after restricting MSG-W to 94 all out. SL-W then finished the chase at 96/2, keeping the pressure low with wickets in hand. Across the last three games, results have leaned MSG-W, but SL-W have shown they can flip the script when their bowling controls the innings.
Sunrisers Leeds W
Sunrisers Leeds W are 5th in the THW Regular Season on 4 points with a 1W-1L record and +0.286 NRR. Their latest game was a narrow defeat, losing by 5 wickets with 4 balls remaining after being bowled out for 116. Their most telling recent win was a controlled chase, beating MI London W by 7 wickets with 31 balls remaining.
Manchester Super Giants W
Manchester Super Giants W are 2nd in the THW Regular Season on 6 points with a 1W-0L record and are currently in the playoff zone. Their latest match was one-sided: they bowled London Spirit W out for 80 and chased it with 41 balls remaining. The recent head-to-head trend still favours MSG-W, with two wins in the last three meetings.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Prediction
Models are split, but the average leans Manchester Super Giants W at 54% vs 46% for Sunrisers Leeds W. Bookmakers also lean MSG-W, pricing them at 56% (1.70) vs SL-W at 44% (2.10). Key-stats scoring narrowly favours SL-W 4-3, but MSG-W’s stronger points position and NRR edge keep them slightly ahead. The game likely turns on whether SL-W can repeat the bowling control that won the last head-to-head, or whether MSG-W’s recent dominance in chases carries over.
Mandhana owns the chase
Smriti Mandhana made the chase feel inevitable even when wickets kept falling around her, powering Manchester Super Giants W to a 4-wicket win with four balls to spare. Sunrisers Leeds W had lifted themselves to 142/4 after a quiet start, and when MSG-W slipped to 110/6 in the middle overs the game briefly swung back. Mandhana, though, kept finding the boundary options and then closed it out with Kathryn Bryce in a calm, unbeaten finish.
Middle-overs chaos, then control
The match was decided in the middle overs of MSG-W’s reply: they scored 84/6 in that phase, which tells the story of both pressure and resilience. Sunrisers Leeds W squeezed hard enough to take six wickets, but couldn’t fully choke the run-rate because Mandhana kept the chase on track. The turning point was the recovery after that 110/6 moment — the final push brought 37 without loss at the death, flipping a nervy equation into a controlled finish.
Mandhana, Bryce seal it
Mandhana’s 89 at a strike rate of 178 was the innings of the night, equal parts power and game-awareness as wickets tumbled. Bryce’s role in the best stand of the chase — 48 unbeaten with Mandhana — was the glue that ensured the late overs didn’t spiral. For Sunrisers Leeds W, Annabel Sutherland’s 35 off 24 and Phoebe Litchfield’s 31 gave them a platform, while Hannah Baker’s 1/9 kept the chase honest, but they couldn’t land the final blow when MSG-W were six down.
Pre-match edge matched the chase
The pre-game lean towards MSG-W was built around their stronger recent chasing record and overall momentum, and that’s exactly how it played out. Sunrisers Leeds W did execute a familiar plan early — their powerplay of 18/1 showed discipline — but the late acceleration (47/1 at the death) only set a par-plus target rather than a match-winning one. MSG-W’s ability to absorb a wobble and still finish strong proved the separator.







