Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Southern Brave W lead the last three head-to-head meetings 2-1. In the most recent meeting last season, Southern Brave W won by 15 runs in a match where Birmingham Phoenix W were bowled out for 124. That finish was driven by Phoenix losing all 10 wickets while chasing. Across these three games, the margins have stayed tight, with two results decided by 15 runs or fewer.

SBSouthern Brave W 139/7

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 124/10

2025-08-10 · SB-W won by 15 runs

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 137/7

SBSouthern Brave W 121/10

2024-08-03 · BP-W won by 16 runs

SBSouthern Brave W 132/4

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 129/8

2023-08-16 · SB-W won by 3 runs

Southern Brave W

Southern Brave W are 1st in the regular season on 12 points, currently in the playoff zone. They are 3-0, and their latest win was a 1-run squeeze against MI London W. The run of results includes both a narrow finish and a chase completed with 4 balls remaining, showing they have found ways to win in different game states.

SBSouthern Brave W 126/7

MIMI London W 125/3

2026-07-27 · SB-W won by 1 run

SBSouthern Brave W 117/5

SLSunrisers Leeds W 116/10

2026-07-25 · SB-W won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

SBSouthern Brave W 126/7

WFWelsh Fire W 118/8

2026-07-22 · SB-W won by 8 runs

Birmingham Phoenix W

Birmingham Phoenix W are 8th in the regular season on 2 points, currently outside the playoff zone. Their only match this season ended in a 9-wicket loss to Trent Rockets W after being bowled out for 64. In their last three listed matches overall, they have two defeats and one win, with the most recent performance defined by a batting collapse.

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 64/10

TRTrent Rockets W 68/1

2026-07-24 · TR-W won by 9 wickets (with 69 balls remaining)

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 123/6

TRTrent Rockets W 126/7

2025-08-27 · TR-W won by 3 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 111/3

MSManchester Super Giants W 95/10

2025-08-24 · BP-W won by 16 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models favour Southern Brave W, with the model average at 72% for SB-W. Bookmakers also lean SB-W, pricing Southern Brave W at 56% (1.70) vs Birmingham Phoenix W at 44% (2.15). Key stats favour SB-W 6-1, led by the table position, net run rate edge, and stronger recent form. The match likely turns on whether Phoenix can avoid another collapse and whether Brave can keep converting tight finishes.

Bouchier and Lee set the tone

Southern Brave’s innings was defined by the early surge from Maia Bouchier and Lizelle Lee, whose 68-run stand gave them control before Birmingham Phoenix could settle. Brave kept the tempo through the middle even after losing two wickets, and that platform proved decisive as they went on to win by 24 runs, despite a late Phoenix push that briefly hinted at a contest.

Powerplay gap shaped chase

The game was effectively won in the first phase of each innings. Brave raced to 35 without loss in the powerplay, while Phoenix managed only 23/0, leaving them chasing the game from the outset. With the asking rate already pressing, Phoenix’s middle overs matched Brave’s run rate (both 6.2), but that wasn’t enough: the squeeze showed at the back end, where Phoenix managed just 19 runs in the death overs as wickets and dots piled up.

Perrin resists, Brave finish it

Davina Perrin’s 52 off 43 kept Phoenix alive, especially in her 69-run partnership with Tammy Beaumont, but the chase never truly caught fire. Sophie Molineux’s 2 for 24 provided the key middle-overs breakthroughs, while Lauren Bell’s 1 for 16 ensured the pressure didn’t release. With Phoenix needing a late surge, Brave’s bowling held its nerve and shut the door in the final phase.

Pre-match edge played out

The pre-game read was that Brave’s stronger form and table momentum would matter if Phoenix couldn’t avoid another stall in the chase. That’s exactly how it unfolded: Phoenix stayed in touch through a steady middle, but the lack of powerplay intent and a muted finish meant they were always trying to catch up rather than dictate terms. Brave, by contrast, converted their start into a defendable total and then controlled the chase’s tempo.