Toss & Conditions

A red-soil pitch that delivered CSK’s first win of the season (vs Delhi Capitals) will be used. It spent a long time under covers and is likely to assist the fast bowlers.

Head-to-Head

LSG lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent clash, CSK chased down LSG’s total and won with 3 balls remaining. The finish was decided late, with CSK getting home by five wickets in a tight chase. Across these three games, the results have swung both ways rather than one team dominating every time.

LSLucknow Super Giants 166/7

CSChennai Super Kings 168/5

2025-04-14 · CSK won by 5 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

CSChennai Super Kings 210/4

LSLucknow Super Giants 213/4

2024-04-23 · LSG won by 6 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

LSLucknow Super Giants 180/2

CSChennai Super Kings 176/6

2024-04-19 · LSG won by 8 wickets (with 6 balls remaining)

Chennai Super Kings

CSK are 6th in the IPL regular season with 10 points and a 5W-5L record. Their last two matches were both 8-wicket wins, including a chase against Delhi Capitals finished with 15 balls remaining. The most telling recent result is the loss to Gujarat Titans, where CSK were beaten by 8 wickets with 20 balls remaining.

CSChennai Super Kings 159/2

DCDelhi Capitals 155/7

2026-05-05 · CSK won by 8 wickets (with 15 balls remaining)

CSChennai Super Kings 160/2

MIMumbai Indians 159/7

2026-05-02 · CSK won by 8 wickets (with 11 balls remaining)

CSChennai Super Kings 158/7

GTGujarat Titans 162/2

2026-04-26 · GT won by 8 wickets (with 20 balls remaining)

Lucknow Super Giants

LSG are 10th in the IPL regular season with 6 points and a 3W-7L record. Their latest result was a 9-run win over Royal Challengers Bengaluru by the DLS method after scoring 209/3. The most telling recent match is the tie against Kolkata Knight Riders that LSG lost in the Super Over.

LSLucknow Super Giants 209/3

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 203/6

2026-05-07 · LSG won by 9 runs (DLS method)

LSLucknow Super Giants 228/5

MIMumbai Indians 229/4

2026-05-04 · MI won by 6 wickets (with 8 balls remaining)

LSLucknow Super Giants 155/8

KKKolkata Knight Riders 155/7

2026-04-26 · Match tied (KKR won the Super Over)

Playing XI

News & Facts

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour CSK, with CSK projected at 59% to 72% and a 65% average. Bookmakers agree, pricing CSK at 58% (1.65) vs LSG at 42% (2.25). Key-stats scoring leans CSK 4-3, driven by points, NRR, Elo, and a death-overs economy edge. The swing factors flagged in the data are CSK’s home/LSG’s away economy split and the recent H2H edge that sits with LSG.

Urvil Patel’s powerplay blitz

Urvil Patel didn’t just launch the chase — he rewired it, tearing into the new ball to make 209 feel gettable from the first six overs. CSK still had to absorb a wobble later, but the early damage meant they could afford a quieter patch and then kick again. In the end, Chennai Super Kings got home by 5 wickets with 4 balls remaining, surviving the kind of late-match squeeze that can flip big chases.

Powerplay set the chase up

The match was effectively shaped in the first phase of CSK’s reply: 97/1 in the powerplay, a run-rate advantage that proved decisive when the middle overs slowed. After that flying start, CSK managed only 72/3 through the middle (RR 7.2), allowing LSG’s bowlers to drag the game back into a contest. But with the platform already built, CSK only needed one clean finishing passage — 39/1 at the death — to stay in front of the required rate and close it out.

Inglis spark, Overton’s dents

Josh Inglis was the standout individual, hammering 86 off 33 to turn LSG’s innings into a 200-plus statement, and his 77-run stand with Mitchell Marsh gave them real momentum. CSK’s pullback came through Jamie Overton’s 3/36, key strikes that helped force LSG into that five-wicket middle-overs slide. Patel’s 65 off 23, plus the 81-run partnership with Ruturaj Gaikwad, ensured CSK never had to chase the game — only the target.

Pre-match edges played out

The pre-game read leaned CSK because of their home comfort and the expectation that LSG would leak at the death. That script largely held: LSG’s innings had a similar shape — 91/1 in the powerplay, then a mid-overs stall to 68/5 — and once CSK got a head start, the chase became a question of holding nerve rather than finding miracles. LSG’s recent head-to-head edge mattered less when CSK’s top order dictated tempo early.