

Match Prediction
MI sit 9th in the IPL regular season with 4 points and a 2W-7L record, currently outside the playoff zone. LSG are 10th with 4 points and a 2W-6L record, also outside the playoff zone. MI’s season started with a successful chase of 221 vs KKR, but they now have just two wins from nine games. LSG won two of their first three matches but are now on a five-match losing streak.
Toss & Conditions
The match is on pitch no. 4, which has been used only once this season. In that game, Punjab Kings chased down MI’s 195/6 with seven wickets and 21 balls remaining, and another high-scoring game is expected.
Head-to-Head
LSG lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent meeting, MI beat LSG by 54 runs after posting 215/7 and bowling LSG out for 161. That game was defined by MI putting up a big total and then dismissing LSG for 161. Across the last three matchups, results have swung, with LSG winning two and MI winning one.
Mumbai Indians
MI are 9th in the IPL regular season with 4 points, a 2W-7L record, and a -0.803 NRR, currently outside the playoff zone. Their last three matches are all losses, including an 8-wicket defeat to CSK with 11 balls remaining. They also lost a 243/5 effort at home, with SRH chasing it down with 8 balls remaining.
Lucknow Super Giants
LSG are 10th in the IPL regular season with 4 points, a 2W-6L record, and a -1.106 NRR, currently outside the playoff zone. Their last three matches include a tied game against KKR that they lost in the Super Over. They also lost by 40 runs to RR and by 54 runs to PBKS in their most recent three.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- Rohit Sharma has been struggling with a hamstring injury; he took a fitness test on the eve of the match and batted in the nets.
- Nicholas Pooran has scored 82 runs in eight innings at a strike rate of 81.18 after being moved down from his usual No. 3 spot.
- Jasprit Bumrah has dismissed Rishabh Pant seven times in the IPL while conceding 55 runs in 46 balls.
- Mohammed Shami has the best powerplay economy rate this season among bowlers with at least ten overs in that phase (6.89).
- Mohsin Khan has dismissed Hardik Pandya twice in ten balls for eight runs.
Key Stats
Verdict
Models are split, with the average calling it 50%-50% and three of four model views narrowly favouring MI. Bookmakers diverge from that near-parity, pricing MI at 61% (1.58) vs LSG at 39% (2.39). Key-stats scoring edges MI 3-2 overall, while the last-three head-to-head leans LSG. The match is likely shaped by whether MI can convert their small NRR/Elo edges into a win, and whether LSG’s powerplay economy advantage shows up early.
Rohit and Rickelton blow it open
Rohit Sharma set the chase’s tone with clean, early hitting, and Ryan Rickelton turned it into a sprint as Mumbai Indians hunted down 229 with 8 balls to spare. Lucknow Super Giants had looked set after a blazing start and Nicholas Pooran’s late fireworks, but once MI’s openers stitched a 142-run stand, the target stopped feeling intimidating. Even when wickets fell in a cluster in the middle overs, the platform was so big that MI could absorb a wobble and still finish ahead of the rate.
Powerplay set the chase
The game was effectively shaped in the first six overs of MI’s reply. MI raced to 71 without loss, keeping the asking rate in check after LSG’s own explosive 90/1 powerplay. That difference mattered because LSG’s innings slowed sharply through the middle: 102/4 at 9.7 an over, compared to MI’s 119/3 at 11.9. By the time the chase entered the last five, MI needed hitting rather than a miracle, and they closed it out at 14.6 an over in the death.
Rohit leads, Pooran counters
Rohit’s 84 off 44 was the chase’s anchor and accelerator, while Rickelton’s 83 off 32 ensured the powerplay advantage became a decisive cushion. For LSG, Pooran’s 63 off 21 briefly threatened to push the game out of reach, yet the innings’ middle-overs stall left too much for the bowlers to defend. Corbin Bosch’s 2 for 20, including key breakthroughs, helped keep the target just chaseable enough for MI’s top order to finish the job.
Pre-match edges show up
The pre-game read was that MI’s small advantages would need converting, especially against an LSG attack expected to be tighter early. Instead, MI’s batting matchups won the key contest: they didn’t just survive the new ball, they dominated it. LSG’s one window came when MI lost three wickets in the middle phase, but the earlier damage meant the pressure never fully flipped.
CSChennai Super Kings
160/2
MIMumbai Indians
159/7
MIMumbai Indians
243/5
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
249/4
MIMumbai Indians
104/10
CSChennai Super Kings
207/6
GTGujarat Titans
100/10
MIMumbai Indians
199/5
MIMumbai Indians
195/6
PBPunjab Kings
198/3
MIMumbai Indians
222/5
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
240/4
RRRajasthan Royals
150/3
MIMumbai Indians
123/9
DCDelhi Capitals
164/4
MIMumbai Indians
162/6
MIMumbai Indians
224/4
KKKolkata Knight Riders
220/4
PBPunjab Kings
207/5
MIMumbai Indians
203/6
MI2
LS6
MIMumbai Indians
215/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
161/10
LSLucknow Super Giants
203/8
MIMumbai Indians
191/5
MIMumbai Indians
196/6
LSLucknow Super Giants
214/6
LSLucknow Super Giants
145/6
MIMumbai Indians
144/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
101/10
MIMumbai Indians
182/8
LSLucknow Super Giants
177/3
MIMumbai Indians
172/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
168/6
MIMumbai Indians
132/8
MIMumbai Indians
181/9
LSLucknow Super Giants
199/4
LSLucknow Super Giants
155/8
KKKolkata Knight Riders
155/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
119/10
RRRajasthan Royals
159/6
PBPunjab Kings
254/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
200/5
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
149/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
146/10
LSLucknow Super Giants
164/8
GTGujarat Titans
165/3
KKKolkata Knight Riders
181/4
LSLucknow Super Giants
182/7
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
156/9
LSLucknow Super Giants
160/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
141/10
DCDelhi Capitals
145/4
LSLucknow Super Giants
227/3
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
230/4
GTGujarat Titans
202/9
LSLucknow Super Giants
235/2
PBKS
9
6-2
13
RCB
9
6-3
12
SRH
10
6-4
12
RR
10
6-4
12
GT
10
6-4
12
CSK
9
4-5
8
DC
9
4-5
8
KKR
9
3-5
7
MI
9
2-7
4
LSG
8
2-6
4
PBKS
9
6
2
1
+0.855
13
RCB
9
6
3
—
+1.420
12
SRH
10
6
4
—
+0.644
12
RR
10
6
4
—
+0.510
12
GT
10
6
4
—
-0.147
12
CSK
9
4
5
—
+0.005
8
DC
9
4
5
—
-0.895
8
KKR
9
3
5
1
-0.539
7
MI
9
2
7
—
-0.803
4
LSG
8
2
6
—
-1.106
4
PBKSWWWLL
RCBWLWWL
SRHWWWWL
RRLWLWL
GTLLWWW
CSKWLWLW
DCWLLLW
KKRLLWWW
MILWLLL
LSGLLLLL
