Match Prediction
Mumbai Indians face Punjab Kings at Wankhede in the IPL 2026 regular season. PBKS enter unbeaten with three wins, while MI have lost three straight after their opening victory. The teams last met in the 2025 Qualifier where PBKS eliminated MI. Both sides now meet again with MI seeking to end their losing run and PBKS aiming to maintain their perfect record.
Toss & Conditions
The Wankhede surface offers good pace and bounce, favoring stroke play against fast bowling. Dew has influenced recent matches, making chasing teams more comfortable under lights.
Head-to-Head
In the last three meetings, Punjab Kings have won twice while Mumbai Indians have won once.
Mumbai Indians
Mumbai Indians are ninth in the IPL regular season with 2 points from four matches, holding a record of 1 win and 3 losses with an NRR of -0.772. They have lost their last three matches against RCB, Rajasthan Royals, and Delhi Capitals.
Punjab Kings
Punjab Kings are third in the IPL regular season with 7 points from three matches, remaining unbeaten with a record of 3 wins and an NRR of +0.720. They have defeated Sunrisers Hyderabad, Chennai Super Kings, and Gujarat Titans in their last three games.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- Rohit Sharma retired hurt on 19 against RCB due to a possible hamstring issue and his availability for this match was uncertain.
- PBKS have used the same XI in all their matches this season without any fitness concerns.
- Ryan Rickelton has been dismissed twice by Arshdeep Singh while scoring 50 runs off 36 balls at a strike rate of 139.
- Marco Jansen has dismissed Rickelton three times in 46 balls while conceding 70 runs at a strike rate of 152.
- Yuzvendra Chahal has dismissed Suryakumar Yadav and Hardik Pandya four times each, with strike rates of 132 and 95 respectively against him.
Key Stats
Verdict
Key stats favor PBKS 5-3, leading in points, NRR, Elo, win rate, and head-to-head record, while MI hold better economy rates across phases. All four predictive models favor PBKS, averaging 67% win probability against MI’s 33%. Bookmakers differ, pricing MI slightly ahead at 54% (odds 1.79) versus PBKS at 46% (odds 2.04). The outcome may hinge on MI’s ability to counter PBKS’s batting momentum and exploit their marginally higher bowling efficiency.
RCB
5
4-1
8
RR
5
4-1
8
PBKS
4
3-0
7
SRH
5
2-3
4
DC
4
2-2
4
GT
4
2-2
4
LSG
5
2-3
4
CSK
5
2-3
4
MI
4
1-3
2
KKR
5
0-4
1
RCB
5
4
1
—
+1.503
8
RR
5
4
1
—
+0.889
8
PBKS
4
3
0
1
+0.720
7
SRH
5
2
3
—
+0.576
4
DC
4
2
2
—
+0.322
4
GT
4
2
2
—
-0.029
4
LSG
5
2
3
—
-0.804
4
CSK
5
2
3
—
-0.846
4
MI
4
1
3
—
-0.772
2
KKR
5
0
4
1
-1.383
1
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