

Match Prediction
LSG IPL regular season me 6 points ke saath 10th par hai, jabki CSK 12 points ke saath 5th par hai aur abhi playoff zone ke andar. CSK three-match winning run ke saath aa rahi hai, jisme unka last game LSG ke against 5-wicket win bhi tha. LSG ne apne last 3 matches me se 1 jeeta hai, aur unka latest outing CSK ke against 5-wicket loss par khatam hua. CSK ko LSG ke against previous game me Player-of-the-Match performance ke baad Jamie Overton ki thigh injury ka issue face karna pad raha hai.
Toss & Conditions
The match is on Pitch No. 4, which has produced two low-scoring games in IPL 2026, and LSG were bowled out for 141 and 119 on this surface in defeats. Fast bowlers took 23 of the 30 wickets in those two games, while across IPL matches since 2024 on this pitch spinners have been only marginally more economical than quicks (9.35 vs 9.51).
Head-to-Head
Last three meetings me CSK 2-1 se lead karti hai. Most recent clash me CSK ne five wickets se jeeta, ek chase me jo final 4 balls tak gaya. Game ka decision tight finish me CSK ke over the line jaane se hua, jabki LSG apni innings 8 down par end hui. Last three ka pattern mixed raha hai, dono teams ne close games jeete hain.
Lucknow Super Giants
LSG IPL regular season me 6 points ke saath 10th par hai. Unke last three matches me do defeats aur ek win hai, aur latest CSK ke against five-wicket loss tha, ek chase me jo 4 balls remaining ke saath finish hua. Unka most recent win DLS method se aaya, Royal Challengers Bengaluru ke against 9 runs se.
Chennai Super Kings
CSK IPL regular season me 12 points ke saath 5th par hai aur abhi playoff zone ke andar. Unhone apne last three matches jeete hain, including Delhi Capitals ke against eight-wicket win aur Mumbai Indians ke against eight-wicket win. Unka latest win LSG ke against five-wicket chase tha, jisme 4 balls remaining the.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- Jamie Overton has a thigh injury after a Player-of-the-Match performance in CSK’s previous game against LSG.
- CSK have signed South African allrounder Dian Forrester as Overton’s replacement, but he will not be available for Friday’s game.
- Nathan Ellis was injured before IPL 2026 started; Dewald Brevis missed three games at the start; Khaleel Ahmed was ruled out; and Overton is the latest injury issue for CSK this season.
- On Pitch No. 4 in IPL 2026, LSG were bowled out for 141 and 119 in two matches, and both ended in defeat; fast bowlers took 23 of the 30 wickets in those games.
- Noor Ahmad has dismissed Nicholas Pooran three times in four IPL meetings, including in their previous game, with Pooran scoring two runs in those dismissals.
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models CSK ko favour karte hain, model average CSK 68% vs LSG 32% hai. Bookmakers kaafi zyada coin-flip ke close hain, LSG ko 49% (1.91) aur CSK ko 51% (1.90) price kar rahe hain. Key stats overall CSK ki taraf heavy lean karte hain (7-1), jo points gap, better NRR, stronger Elo, last three games me 3-0 run, aur death-overs economy me clear edge se driven hai. Swing factor yeh hai ki CSK ko injured Jamie Overton ko bina like-for-like option ke replace karna padega.
Marsh blows the chase open
Mitchell Marsh didn’t just pace a chase — he detonated it. After CSK posted 187/5, Marsh’s 90 off 38 set the tone for a ruthless reply, and Lucknow Super Giants cruised home by seven wickets with 20 balls remaining. Even when three wickets fell in the middle overs, the damage had already been done: the required rate never felt like it belonged to the bowling side.
Powerplay blitz flips the script
The match was effectively won in the first six overs. LSG rocketed to 86/0 in the powerplay, turning a par-looking target into a chase that demanded only containment. CSK’s bowlers briefly found a grip through the middle as LSG went 78/3, but the early surge meant those strikes arrived too late to create real scoreboard pressure. By the time the death overs began, LSG needed just 24, and they closed it out in 16.4.
Marsh, Maharaj set the frame
Marsh was the headline act, mixing clean hitting with smart targeting to keep the chase ahead of the curve. Josh Inglis’ 36 off 32 played the stabiliser in their 129-run partnership, ensuring the early momentum didn’t leak away. With the ball, Akash Maharaj Singh’s 3/26 was the key restraint that stopped CSK from pushing beyond 200 — a ceiling that might have finally tested LSG’s middle-overs wobble.
CSK’s edges never showed up
Pre-match numbers leaned CSK: better recent form, a sizeable Elo gap, and a projected death-overs economy advantage. None of that mattered once their top order stumbled to 37/2 in the powerplay, forcing a catch-up innings. Kartik Sharma’s 71 off 42 and a 70-run stand with Dewald Brevis repaired the total, but 187 felt defendable only if CSK could win the new-ball phase — and they lost it heavily.
CSChennai Super Kings
208/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
203/8
LSLucknow Super Giants
209/3
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
203/6
MIMumbai Indians
229/4
LSLucknow Super Giants
228/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
155/8
KKKolkata Knight Riders
155/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
119/10
RRRajasthan Royals
159/6
PBPunjab Kings
254/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
200/5
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
149/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
146/10
LSLucknow Super Giants
164/8
GTGujarat Titans
165/3
KKKolkata Knight Riders
181/4
LSLucknow Super Giants
182/7
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
156/9
LSLucknow Super Giants
160/5
LS3
CS3
CSChennai Super Kings
208/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
203/8
LSLucknow Super Giants
166/7
CSChennai Super Kings
168/5
CSChennai Super Kings
210/4
LSLucknow Super Giants
213/4
LSLucknow Super Giants
180/2
CSChennai Super Kings
176/6
CSChennai Super Kings
217/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
205/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
211/4
CSChennai Super Kings
210/7
CSChennai Super Kings
208/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
203/8
DCDelhi Capitals
155/7
CSChennai Super Kings
159/2
CSChennai Super Kings
160/2
MIMumbai Indians
159/7
GTGujarat Titans
162/2
CSChennai Super Kings
158/7
MIMumbai Indians
104/10
CSChennai Super Kings
207/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
194/9
CSChennai Super Kings
184/8
CSChennai Super Kings
192/5
KKKolkata Knight Riders
160/7
CSChennai Super Kings
212/1
DCDelhi Capitals
189/10
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
250/3
CSChennai Super Kings
207/10
CSChennai Super Kings
209/5
PBPunjab Kings
210/5
RCB
12
8-4
16
GT
12
8-4
16
SRH
12
7-5
14
PBKS
12
6-5
13
CSK
11
6-5
12
RR
11
6-5
12
DC
12
5-7
10
KKR
11
4-6
9
MI
12
4-8
8
LSG
11
3-8
6
RCB
12
8
4
—
+1.034
16
GT
12
8
4
—
+0.551
16
SRH
12
7
5
—
+0.331
14
PBKS
12
6
5
1
+0.355
13
CSK
11
6
5
—
+0.185
12
RR
11
6
5
—
+0.082
12
DC
12
5
7
—
-0.993
10
KKR
11
4
6
1
-0.198
9
MI
12
4
8
—
-0.504
8
LSG
11
3
8
—
-0.860
6
RCBWLLWW
GTWWWWW
SRHWWLWL
PBKSLLLLL
CSKWLWWW
RRWLWLL
DCLWLLW
KKRWWWWL
MILLWLW
LSGLLLWL
