Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

England have dominated the last three meetings against Sri Lanka, winning all by margins of 8 runs, 16 runs, and 9 wickets respectively. Sri Lanka failed to cross 190 in any of those games.

England

England have won 2 of their last 3 matches, beating Italy and Scotland but losing to West Indies.

Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka have also won 2 of their last 3 matches, defeating Australia and Oman but losing to Zimbabwe.

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

England hold an Elo advantage of 84 points and a 0.23 better NRR. They have a 100% head-to-head record in the last three games and a 2-1 recent form record. The model gives England 64% win probability versus 36% for Sri Lanka, while bookmakers rate them at 59% (1.63 odds). This indicates a notable edge for England, making them the logical lean.