

Match Prediction
India and Zimbabwe meet in Chennai in their second Super Eight match of the 2026 T20 World Cup. Both teams began this stage with defeats and have negative net run rates. The result of the earlier West Indies vs South Africa game will influence their semi-final chances. India will hope for a South Africa win, while Zimbabwe will prefer a West Indies victory. India’s batting has struggled in this tournament, including a loss to South Africa. Zimbabwe have recorded wins over Australia and Sri Lanka earlier in the event. Jasprit Bumrah has maintained strong bowling figures with an average of 9.85 and economy rate of 5.30. Tadiwanashe Marumani has scored 21, 35, 34, and 14 runs at a strike rate of 157.57. Zimbabwe’s captain Sikandar Raza has highlighted Marumani’s impact in the powerplay. Both teams cannot afford another defeat in this stage.
Toss & Conditions
The match will be played on a black-soil surface in Chennai, where Zimbabwe’s management is considering spin options based on match-ups.
Head-to-Head
India have won all of their last three T20 matches against Zimbabwe, played in July 2024.
India
India have one win and one loss in their last two matches of this stage, with a net run rate of -3.8.
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe have one win and one loss in their last two matches of this stage, with a net run rate of -5.35.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
Model projections give India a 70% win probability against Zimbabwe’s 30%. Bookmakers rate India at 92% with odds of 1.048. India hold an Elo advantage of +118.5 and a net run rate difference of +1.92. India have also won all of the last three head-to-head matches between the sides.
INIndia
111/10
SASouth Africa
187/7
INIndia
193/6
NLNetherlands
176/7
INIndia
175/7
PAPakistan
114/10
INIndia
209/9
NANamibia
116/10
INIndia
161/9
USUnited States of America
132/8
INIndia
240/4
SASouth Africa
210/6
INIndia
271/5
NZNew Zealand
225/10
INIndia
165/10
NZNew Zealand
215/7
INIndia
155/2
NZNew Zealand
153/9
INIndia
209/3
NZNew Zealand
208/6
IN5
ZI1
ZIZimbabwe
147/10
WIWest Indies
254/6
SLSri Lanka
178/7
ZIZimbabwe
182/4
AUAustralia
146/10
ZIZimbabwe
169/2
OMOman
103/10
ZIZimbabwe
106/2
OMOman
188/6
ZIZimbabwe
187/7
NLNetherlands
149/10
ZIZimbabwe
178/9
SLSri Lanka
148/1
ZIZimbabwe
146/5
PAPakistan
195/5
ZIZimbabwe
126/10
SLSri Lanka
95/10
ZIZimbabwe
162/8
PAPakistan
151/5
ZIZimbabwe
147/8
