

Match Prediction
Somerset W are 3rd in the T20BW regular season on 6 points and currently in the playoff zone. Yorkshire W are 8th on 0 points after starting 0W-2L. Somerset’s recent results include a 7-wicket win with 10 balls remaining and two ties. Yorkshire have lost their last two matches, including a 4-wicket defeat with 27 balls remaining.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
These teams have no head-to-head record in their last three meetings. Somerset W and Yorkshire W have not played each other previously. This will be their first meeting, so there is no prior result to reference. With no history between them, there is no established pattern of dominance or recurring matchup trend.
Somerset W
Somerset W are 3rd on 6 points in the T20BW regular season and currently in the playoff zone. They are unbeaten across their last three matches, with one win and two ties. Their most telling recent result was a chase completed with 10 balls remaining, showing they can close out targets without taking it to the final over.
Yorkshire W
Yorkshire W are 8th on 0 points in the T20BW regular season and currently outside the playoff zone. They have opened 0W-2L, with both recent matches ending in defeats while chasing or defending tight margins. The clearest snapshot of their start is the latest loss by 4 wickets with 27 balls remaining, where they couldn’t apply enough pressure in the second innings.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models are in consensus for Somerset W, with the average prediction at 62% for SOM-W. Bookmakers also lean Somerset W, pricing SOM-W at 54% (1.72) vs YOR at 46% (2.00). Key stats edge Somerset W 3-2 overall, driven by their points/NRR advantage and stronger recent results. Yorkshire’s Elo edge is a counterweight, but they need a sharper overall performance to halt a 0W-2L start.
Harris slams the door
Lola Harris’ new-ball burst set the tone and her return spell finished the job as Somerset Women defended 177/5 to beat Yorkshire Women by 39 runs. After Somerset’s top order laid the platform, Yorkshire’s chase kept losing shape: early wickets, a brief middle-overs rebuild, then a final squeeze that left too much for the last five overs.
Somerset’s powerplay platform
The game was effectively won in the first six overs of each innings. Somerset flew to 57 without loss in the powerplay, giving them freedom to attack later and still post a par-plus total. Yorkshire, by contrast, stumbled to 44/3 in their powerplay, immediately pushing the required rate beyond eight an over and forcing risk against a set field. Even when they steadied through the middle, the early damage meant the death overs began with the chase already on a steep incline.
Luff’s launch, Harris’ finish
Sophie Luff’s 58 off 35 provided the spark, and her 68-run partnership with Rebecca Odgers ensured Somerset didn’t waste the fast start. Niamh Holland’s 41 off 27 kept the innings moving when wickets fell. For Yorkshire, Sterre Kalis’ 51 off 35 briefly threatened a chase, but Harris and Olivia Barnes (3/19) repeatedly broke momentum, leaving Yorkshire with only 22 runs from the death phase.
Form and NRR told the story
Pre-match, Somerset’s recent results and healthier net run-rate suggested they could control tempo, and that’s exactly how it played out. Their batting didn’t rely on one surge: they scored at 9.2 an over up front and still found 45 in the last four overs. Yorkshire’s supposed edge in matchup hitting never arrived because they were constantly batting under scoreboard pressure, and the innings never got back to a position where calculated aggression was possible.
WAWarwickshire W
166/9
SOSomerset W
167/3
SOSomerset W
159/6
HAHampshire W
159/5
LALancashire W
114/7
SOSomerset W
114/6
SUSurrey W
175/6
SOSomerset W
107/10
SOSomerset W
127/9
WAWarwickshire W
149/8
SOSomerset W
156/6
ESEssex W
155/5
HAHampshire W
154/2
SOSomerset W
153/8
DUDurham W
154/4
SOSomerset W
148/7
SOSomerset W
164/6
HAHampshire W
169/6
SOSomerset W
138/7
DUDurham W
139/6
SUR-W
2
2-0
9
TB-W
2
2-0
8
SOM-W
2
1-0
6
HAM-W
3
1-1
6
ESS-W
2
1-1
5
DUR-W
1
1-0
4
LAN-W
2
0-2
0
YOR
2
0-2
0
WAR-W
2
0-2
0
SUR-W
2
2
0
—
+1.516
9
TB-W
2
2
0
—
+0.296
8
SOM-W
2
1
0
—
+0.379
6
HAM-W
3
1
1
—
-0.150
6
ESS-W
2
1
1
—
+0.725
5
DUR-W
1
1
0
—
+1.600
4
LAN-W
2
0
2
—
-0.560
0
YOR
2
0
2
—
-1.200
0
WAR-W
2
0
2
—
-1.944
0
SUR-WWW
TB-WWW
SOM-WDW
HAM-WDLW
ESS-WWL
DUR-WW
LAN-WLL
YORLL
WAR-WLL
