Peshawar Zalmi 8W-1L record aur +1.852 net run rate ke saath aa rahe hain. Islamabad United 6W-3L ke saath +1.412 net run rate par hain. PZ ne apna last game 6 wickets se haara, 199/4 score karne ke baad, jabki ISU ne apna last game 4 wickets se jeeta, 193/6 chase karke vs 192/7.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Islamabad United last teen head-to-head meetings mein 2-1 se aage hain, including 2025-04-14 ko 102-run ki win.
Peshawar Zalmi
PZ 8W-1L ke saath +1.852 NRR par hain. Last teen matches mein, unhone QG ko 118 runs se haraya (255/3 vs 137), KRK ko 7 wickets se haraya (186/3 vs 182/9), phir LQ se 6 wickets se haar gaye (199/4 vs 200/4).
Islamabad United
ISU 6W-3L ke saath +1.412 NRR par hain. Last teen matches mein, woh Rawalpindiz se 6 wickets se haare (137 all out vs 140/4), phir Hyderabad Kingsmen ko 8 wickets se haraya (83/2 vs 80 all out) aur Multan Sultans ko 4 wickets se haraya (193/6 vs 192/7).
Playing XI
Key Stats
Prediction
Key Stats ISU ko 3-2 se lean karte hain, mainly H2H ki wajah se (last teen mein 2-1) plus better powerplay economy (7.2 vs 8.0) aur mid-overs economy (8.0 vs 8.1), jabki PZ NRR (+1.85 vs +1.41) aur Elo (1616 vs 1553) mein lead karte hain. Models PZ ke liye unanimous hain, 62% average ke saath (ML 56%, AI1 64%, AI2 63%, Math 64%). Bookmakers PZ ko 47% (2.02) aur ISU ko 53% (1.81) price kar rahe hain, toh call yahin pe hinge karta hai ki kya PZ ka NRR/Elo edge, ISU ke recent H2H aur tighter early/middle-overs economy ko outweigh kar paata hai ya nahi.
Babar’s hundred sets the tone
Babar Azam turned a good start into a match-winning statement, pacing a 59-ball 103 that left Islamabad United chasing shadows and Peshawar Zalmi cruising to a 70-run win. The decisive moment came when Babar, already in full flow, launched Shadab Khan for back-to-back boundaries to bring up his hundred and push Zalmi beyond 200, a total that immediately felt one step too far on the night.
Middle overs collapse flips chase
Islamabad’s chase was alive at 64/1 in the powerplay, but the game broke open in the middle overs: 71/7 at 7.1 an over. Hardie’s 3/24 was the key squeeze, using hard lengths and cutters to turn a platform into panic, while Mohammad Basit’s 2/19 kept the pressure constant. From the point Conway and Sameer Minhas added 58, wickets fell in clusters, and the required rate ballooned beyond control.
Babar, Hardie define outcome
Babar’s innings was the anchor and the accelerator, and the 84-run stand with Kusal Mendis (41 off 26) ensured Zalmi never had to rebuild. Hardie then delivered the knockout blows in the chase, removing set batters and shutting down the release shots. Even Shadab’s 3/42 couldn’t claw back control once Zalmi’s total crossed the psychological 220 mark.
Pre-game edges didn’t survive
Islamabad came in with the profile of a tighter side early and through the middle, and their powerplay with the ball often keeps them in games. But Zalmi’s top order flipped that script by racing to 68 without loss, forcing United into defensive fields and riskier match-ups. Once Zalmi had that runway, their stronger recent scoring momentum and depth at the back end mattered more than the head-to-head trend.

