

Match Prediction
MI IPL 2026 regular season mein 9th pe hain 4 points (2W-5L) ke saath, aur CSK se 103-run loss ke baad aa rahe hain. SRH 4th pe hain 10 points (5W-3L) ke saath, abhi playoff zone mein, aur apne last three matches jeet chuke hain. ESPN ke mutabik SRH Mumbai mein four-match winning streak ke saath pohonche hain, jabki MI ne is season 20 players use kiye hain, partly injuries ki wajah se. Agar SRH jeet jaate hain, to woh RCB ke saath 12 points pe level ho jaayenge.
Toss & Conditions
This match uses Wankhede pitch No. 8, the same surface where 462 runs were scored when MI chased RCB’s 240 and fell short. ESPN says it should remain a batting track; although teams in Mumbai usually choose to chase, on this specific pitch teams batting first have won 6 of the last 10 games.
Head-to-Head
Mumbai Indians ne Sunrisers Hyderabad ke vs last 3 head-to-head matches jeete hain.
Mumbai Indians
MI IPL regular season mein 9th pe hain 4 points (2W-5L) aur NRR -0.736 ke saath. Unke last three results: CSK ke vs 103 runs se L, GT ke vs 99 runs se W, aur PBKS ke vs 7 wickets se L (21 balls remaining).
Sunrisers Hyderabad
SRH 4th pe hain 10 points (5W-3L) aur NRR +0.815 ke saath, abhi playoff zone mein. Unhone apne last three matches jeete hain: RR ke vs 5 wickets se (9 balls remaining), DC ke vs 47 runs se, aur CSK ke vs 10 runs se.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- MI have used 20 players this season, with injuries contributing to an unsettled combination; Mahela Jayawardene said some changes were “forced” and other “tactical” moves did not come off.
- MI’s most recent defeat was to CSK by 103 runs, which ESPN says is MI’s heaviest-ever loss in the IPL.
- SRH have arrived in Mumbai on a four-match winning streak; ESPN adds they have found a successful combination with Pat Cummins back and the rise of Eshan Malinga and Sakib Hussain in their bowling attack.
- SRH have won only one of their last six matches vs MI, and only two of their last nine vs MI at the Wankhede.
- AM Ghazanfar is MI’s top wicket-taker this season with 8 wickets in 5 games and an economy rate of 8.61, operating primarily in the middle overs.
Key Stats
Verdict
Key Stats mein SRH ko 4-3 ka edge hai, mainly points (10 vs 4), NRR (+0.81 vs -0.74), aur Elo (1564 vs 1450) ki wajah se, jabki MI last-3 H2H mein 3-0 lead karta hai. All four models SRH ko favor karte hain, model-average win probability SRH 64% vs MI 36% (ML 59-41, AI1 72-28, AI2 62-38, Math 65-35). Bookmaker prices MI ko 53% (1.80) vs SRH 47% (2.02) pe rakhte hain, but model lean Elo aur NRR ke basis pe SRH ke saath hi rehta hai.
Head and Abhishek blow it open
Travis Head’s 30-ball 76 set the tone, but it was the 125-run opening stand with Abhishek Sharma that turned a daunting chase into a statement. Sunrisers Hyderabad hunted down 244 with 8 balls to spare, never letting Mumbai Indians’ 243/5 feel like a match-winning total. The moment that captured the night came early: SRH were already flying when Head launched into the short ball and Abhishek kept finding the square boundaries, forcing MI to defend from behind almost immediately.
Powerplay damage decided it
The chase was effectively won in the first six overs. SRH smashed 92/0 in the powerplay at 15.3 an over, wiping out the pressure of the asking rate and ensuring the middle overs could be played on their terms. Mumbai’s own start was strong at 78/0, but their tempo dipped late: 41/2 in the last five overs (10.2 rpo) left them short of the extra 15–20 runs that might have made SRH blink. Even two wickets in the middle phase couldn’t reset the chase because the platform was already enormous.
Rickelton’s ton, Klaasen’s finish
Ryan Rickelton’s 123 off 55 was the innings that made this a contest, powering MI through a blazing 78/0 powerplay and giving them a total that usually wins. But Head’s early assault flipped the chase, and Heinrich Klaasen’s 65 off 30 ensured SRH didn’t drift when wickets fell in the middle. Eshan Malinga’s 1/29 was the rare spell that slowed scoring, yet SRH’s top-end hitting had already done the decisive work.
Form and matchups held firm
Pre-match numbers leaned SRH’s way on recent momentum and overall strength, and the game followed that script once the ball got soft. MI’s bowling has been expensive at the back end, and SRH’s hitters ensured there was no “death-overs squeeze” to exploit. The one area where history favoured MI — three straight head-to-head wins — didn’t matter in a night defined by current form and a batting line-up built to win 250 chases.
MIMumbai Indians
104/10
CSChennai Super Kings
207/6
GTGujarat Titans
100/10
MIMumbai Indians
199/5
MIMumbai Indians
195/6
PBPunjab Kings
198/3
MIMumbai Indians
222/5
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
240/4
RRRajasthan Royals
150/3
MIMumbai Indians
123/9
DCDelhi Capitals
164/4
MIMumbai Indians
162/6
MIMumbai Indians
224/4
KKKolkata Knight Riders
220/4
PBPunjab Kings
207/5
MIMumbai Indians
203/6
GTGujarat Titans
208/6
MIMumbai Indians
228/5
PBPunjab Kings
187/3
MIMumbai Indians
184/7
MI7
SR3
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
143/8
MIMumbai Indians
146/3
MIMumbai Indians
166/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
162/5
MIMumbai Indians
174/3
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
173/8
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
277/3
MIMumbai Indians
246/5
MIMumbai Indians
201/2
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
200/5
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
178/10
MIMumbai Indians
192/5
MIMumbai Indians
190/7
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
193/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
193/8
MIMumbai Indians
235/9
MIMumbai Indians
150/5
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
137/10
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
151/0
MIMumbai Indians
149/8
RRRajasthan Royals
228/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
229/5
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
242/2
DCDelhi Capitals
195/9
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
194/9
CSChennai Super Kings
184/8
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
216/6
RRRajasthan Royals
159/10
PBPunjab Kings
223/4
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
219/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
156/9
LSLucknow Super Giants
160/5
KKKolkata Knight Riders
161/10
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
226/8
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
203/4
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
201/9
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
278/3
KKKolkata Knight Riders
168/10
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
189/10
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
231/6
PBKS
8
6-1
13
RCB
8
6-2
12
RR
9
6-3
12
SRH
8
5-3
10
GT
8
4-4
8
CSK
8
3-5
6
DC
8
3-5
6
KKR
8
2-5
5
MI
7
2-5
4
LSG
8
2-6
4
PBKS
8
6
1
1
+1.043
13
RCB
8
6
2
—
+1.919
12
RR
9
6
3
—
+0.617
12
SRH
8
5
3
—
+0.815
10
GT
8
4
4
—
-0.475
8
CSK
8
3
5
—
-0.121
6
DC
8
3
5
—
-1.060
6
KKR
8
2
5
1
-0.751
5
MI
7
2
5
—
-0.736
4
LSG
8
2
6
—
-1.106
4
PBKSWWWWL
RCBWWLWW
RRLLWLW
SRHLWWWW
GTWWLLW
CSKWWLWL
DCLWLLL
KKRLLLWW
MILLLWL
LSGLLLLL
