Toss & Conditions

The match is on the same Lucknow pitch where LSG and KKR were tied on 155. Both seamers and spinners found assistance from the surface, and there is no expectation that the pitch will change its nature.

Head-to-Head

RCB lead the last three meetings 2-1 against LSG. In the most recent meeting, RCB won by five wickets with 29 balls remaining after restricting LSG to 146 all out. That game was defined by LSG being bowled out rather than batting through the innings. Across these three matches, results have swung between a comfortable LSG win and two RCB chases.

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 149/5

LSLucknow Super Giants 146/10

2026-04-15 · RCB won by 5 wickets (with 29 balls remaining)

LSLucknow Super Giants 227/3

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 230/4

2025-05-27 · RCB won by 6 wickets (with 8 balls remaining)

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 153/10

LSLucknow Super Giants 181/5

2024-04-02 · LSG won by 28 runs

Lucknow Super Giants

LSG are #10 in the IPL regular season with 4 points, a 2W-7L record, and NRR -1.076, currently outside the playoff zone. Their last three matches were all defeats, including a tie that they lost in the Super Over against KKR. The most telling recent result was failing to defend 228 against Mumbai Indians.

LSLucknow Super Giants 228/5

MIMumbai Indians 229/4

2026-05-04 · MI won by 6 wickets (with 8 balls remaining)

LSLucknow Super Giants 155/8

KKKolkata Knight Riders 155/7

2026-04-26 · Match tied (KKR won the Super Over)

LSLucknow Super Giants 119/10

RRRajasthan Royals 159/6

2026-04-22 · RR won by 40 runs

Royal Challengers Bengaluru

RCB are #3 in the IPL regular season with 12 points, a 6W-3L record, and NRR +1.420, currently in the playoff zone. They have won two of their last three matches, including a 9-wicket win over Delhi Capitals with 81 balls remaining. Their most recent match was a loss to Gujarat Titans by four wickets with 25 balls remaining.

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 155/10

GTGujarat Titans 158/6

2026-04-30 · GT won by 4 wickets (with 25 balls remaining)

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 77/1

DCDelhi Capitals 75/10

2026-04-27 · RCB won by 9 wickets (with 81 balls remaining)

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 206/5

GTGujarat Titans 205/3

2026-04-24 · RCB won by 5 wickets (with 7 balls remaining)

Playing XI

News & Facts

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models are in consensus for RCB, with the model average at RCB 71% (range 62% to 82%). Bookmakers agree, pricing RCB at 65% (1.47) vs LSG at 35% (2.69). Key stats favour RCB 7-1 overall, driven by the points gap, NRR gap, and Elo edge. The match pivots on whether LSG can convert their Lucknow conditions into a defendable total against an RCB side that has won 2 of its last 3.

Marsh’s overdrive sets DLS trap

Mitchell Marsh didn’t just bat LSG into the game, he batted them into a position where rain could only help. His 111 off 56 powered Lucknow Super Giants to 209/3 in 19 overs, and when the chase was curtailed, Royal Challengers Bengaluru finished on 203/6 from 19 and lost by 9 runs (DLS). RCB had their surges, but every time they looked set to steal it, LSG found a wicket or a quiet over to keep the DLS equation in their favour.

Powerplay gap proves costly

The match swung hardest in the first six overs. LSG flew to 68/0, with Marsh setting a tempo that meant even a slightly quieter middle still left a launchpad. RCB, by contrast, stumbled to 45/2 in the powerplay, immediately chasing the game’s pace rather than dictating it. That early deficit forced risk through the innings, and even though RCB’s middle overs ran at 12.1 an over, they were always having to “win” too many overs in a row to catch up.

Marsh, Patidar, Yadav define it

Marsh was the innings: he anchored the best stand of 94 and still struck at 198, turning good balls into boundary options. Patidar briefly threatened to rip the chase open with his 61 off 31, and Tim David’s 40 off 17 kept RCB within one big over of flipping DLS. But Prince Yadav’s 3/33 was the control point — his strikes in the middle overs ensured RCB’s counterpunch never became a takeover.

Pre-match edge meets Lucknow reality

Everything pointed to RCB: better form, stronger numbers, and a side expected to boss key phases. But Lucknow conditions flipped the script because LSG batted first and made the new ball look harmless. Once Marsh got in, RCB’s plans at the death never arrived on time, and the chase became a calculation under pressure rather than a clean pursuit. The rain interruption then magnified the value of LSG’s early acceleration.