

Match Prediction
New Zealand face South Africa in a key fixture. NZ hold a 5W-5L record with NRR +0.546, while SA lead the table with 8W-2L and NRR +1.050. The last meeting on 15 March 2026 ended in SA’s 93/3 chase after bowling NZ out for 91. Model probability: NZ 42%, SA 58%.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
In the last three head-to-head matches, SA won twice and NZ once, including SA’s 93/3 chase against NZ’s 91/10 on 15 March 2026.
New Zealand
NZ have a 5W-5L record with NRR +0.546. They lost their last match to SA after being bowled out for 91.
South Africa
SA have an 8W-2L record with NRR +1.050. They won their last match against NZ by 7 wickets.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- NZ record this season: 5 wins, 5 losses, NRR +0.546.
- SA record this season: 8 wins, 2 losses, NRR +1.050.
- SA won 2 of the last 3 head-to-head matches against NZ.
- Elo difference between teams: SA +51.2 points.
- Model probability: NZ 42%, SA 58%.
Key Stats
Verdict
Model gives SA 58% win probability against NZ’s 42%. Elo and NRR metrics favor SA, who also lead recent head-to-heads. NZ’s strike rate advantage is noted but outweighed by SA’s stronger overall indicators.
NZNew Zealand
91/10
SASouth Africa
93/3
NZNew Zealand
159/10
INIndia
255/5
SASouth Africa
169/8
NZNew Zealand
173/1
ENEngland
161/6
NZNew Zealand
159/7
NZNew Zealand
168/7
SLSri Lanka
107/8
CACanada
173/4
NZNew Zealand
176/2
NZNew Zealand
175/7
SASouth Africa
178/3
NZNew Zealand
175/0
UAUnited Arab Emirates
173/6
AFAfghanistan
182/6
NZNew Zealand
183/5
NZNew Zealand
208/7
USUnited States of America
201/8
NZ5
SA4
NZNew Zealand
91/10
SASouth Africa
93/3
SASouth Africa
169/8
NZNew Zealand
173/1
NZNew Zealand
175/7
SASouth Africa
178/3
NZNew Zealand
180/5
SASouth Africa
177/6
NZNew Zealand
135/3
SASouth Africa
134/8
SASouth Africa
152/10
NZNew Zealand
173/5
NZNew Zealand
308/4
SASouth Africa
304/6
NZNew Zealand
96/10
SASouth Africa
100/1
NZNew Zealand
168/8
SASouth Africa
170/6
NZNew Zealand
91/10
SASouth Africa
93/3
SASouth Africa
169/8
NZNew Zealand
173/1
ZIZimbabwe
153/7
SASouth Africa
154/5
WIWest Indies
176/8
SASouth Africa
177/1
INIndia
111/10
SASouth Africa
187/7
SASouth Africa
123/4
UAUnited Arab Emirates
122/6
NZNew Zealand
175/7
SASouth Africa
178/3
AFAfghanistan
187/10
SASouth Africa
187/6
CACanada
156/8
SASouth Africa
213/4
INIndia
240/4
SASouth Africa
210/6
