Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

New Zealand lead the recent head-to-head 2–1 against Pakistan. They won the last two meetings in March 2025 by 8 wickets and 115 runs respectively, while Pakistan took the first of those three by 9 wickets.

New Zealand

New Zealand won two of their last three matches, beating Canada and UAE but losing to South Africa.

Pakistan

Pakistan also won two of their last three matches, defeating Namibia and the USA but losing to India.

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

The model gives Pakistan a 54% chance versus 46% for New Zealand, indicating a close contest. Elo rating favors Pakistan by 35 points and their NRR is 1.83 better. Both sides show similar short-term form with two wins from the last three games, but New Zealand hold a 2–1 H2H edge. Bookmakers rate New Zealand slightly higher at 55%, suggesting market confidence in the hosts, yet overall metrics give Pakistan a soft lean.