Toss & Conditions

Recent matches on Pitch 7 at Wankhede have averaged a first-innings score of 179, with teams batting first winning four of the last six T20s here. Spinners have been more economical than fast bowlers (7.71 vs 9.38), and the toss-winning team is still likely to choose to chase due to Mumbai’s dew.

Head-to-Head

CSK have won 2 of the last 3 head-to-head matches against MI, including a 20-run win on 2024-04-14 and a 4-wicket win on 2025-03-23, while MI won the most recent meeting on 2025-04-20 by 9 wickets with 26 balls remaining.

MIMumbai Indians 177/1

CSChennai Super Kings 176/5

2025-04-20 · MI won by 9 wickets (with 26 balls remaining)

CSChennai Super Kings 158/6

MIMumbai Indians 155/9

2025-03-23 · CSK won by 4 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

MIMumbai Indians 186/6

CSChennai Super Kings 206/4

2024-04-14 · CSK won by 20 runs

Mumbai Indians

MI are 7th in the IPL regular season with 4 points, a 2W-4L record, and NRR +0.067. In their last three matches, MI lost to PBKS by 7 wickets and to RCB by 18 runs, then beat GT by 99 runs.

MIMumbai Indians 199/5

GTGujarat Titans 100/10

2026-04-20 · MI won by 99 runs

MIMumbai Indians 195/6

PBPunjab Kings 198/3

2026-04-16 · PBKS won by 7 wickets (with 21 balls remaining)

MIMumbai Indians 222/5

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 240/4

2026-04-12 · RCB won by 18 runs

Chennai Super Kings

CSK are 8th in the IPL regular season with 4 points, a 2W-4L record, and NRR -0.780. In their last three matches, CSK beat DC by 23 runs and KKR by 32 runs, then lost to SRH by 10 runs.

CSChennai Super Kings 184/8

SRSunrisers Hyderabad 194/9

2026-04-18 · SRH won by 10 runs

CSChennai Super Kings 192/5

KKKolkata Knight Riders 160/7

2026-04-14 · CSK won by 32 runs

CSChennai Super Kings 212/1

DCDelhi Capitals 189/10

2026-04-11 · CSK won by 23 runs

Playing XI

News & Facts

Key Stats

Verdict

Key Stats give MI a 4-3 edge: points are level (4-4), MI lead on NRR (+0.07 vs -0.78), Elo (1478 vs 1447), and PP and middle-overs economy (8.7 vs 9.5; 8.3 vs 9.9), while CSK lead on last-3 winrate (66% vs 33%), last-3 H2H (2/3 vs 1/3), and death economy (9.8 vs 10.0). Model consensus is split: ML (MI 56%), AI 1 (MI 54%), and AI 2 (MI 58%) favor MI, while the Math model favors CSK (55%); the model average is MI 53% vs CSK 47%. Bookmakers back MI at 66% (odds 1.47) vs CSK 34% (odds 2.72), aligning more with ML/AI than the Math model. The decision points in the raw metrics are MI’s NRR/Elo and early/middle-overs economy versus CSK’s better last-3 form and recent H2H edge.