PBKS come into this game top of the table on 13 points and currently in the playoff zone, while GT are 5th on 10 points and chasing the top four. PBKS’ last game ended with them failing to defend 222 against Rajasthan Royals. GT arrive after back-to-back wins, and a big win here could push them into the top four.
Toss & Conditions
The match is on pitch No. 5 in Ahmedabad, and it is expected to be high-scoring based on the only IPL game on this surface this season. Over the last two IPL seasons and the recent World Cup, this pitch has favoured fast bowlers on average compared to spinners, with a similar economy rate but a much better bowling average for pace.
Head-to-Head
PBKS lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent clash, PBKS won by 3 wickets with 5 balls remaining after chasing down a target of 163. The game turned on a tight finish where PBKS got over the line with wickets in hand late. Across these three games, results have swung both ways, including one GT win by 3 wickets and two PBKS wins.
Gujarat Titans
GT are 5th in the IPL regular season on 10 points. They have won their last two matches, including a chase where they won with 25 balls remaining. Their most recent loss was a 5-wicket defeat to RCB with 7 balls remaining.
Punjab Kings
PBKS are 1st in the IPL regular season on 13 points and currently in the playoff zone. They have won two of their last three, but their latest match ended in a loss after they failed to defend 222. Just before that, they won a chase against Delhi Capitals with 7 balls remaining.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- PBKS failed to defend 222 in their previous game against Rajasthan Royals, with Arshdeep Singh returning figures of 1 for 68.
- Against RCB, Rashid Khan, Arshad Khan and Jason Holder took seven wickets between them after Kagiso Rabada and Mohammed Siraj went for runs.
- Jason Holder’s last game vs RCB included 2 for 29, three catches, and 12 runs in the chase.
- Washington Sundar has 169 runs in nine games at an average of 28.16 and a strike rate of 143.22, and has bowled 31 deliveries in the tournament.
- In the last six games, Mohammed Siraj has taken seven wickets at an economy of 6.7 and a strike rate of 19.7.
Key Stats
Prediction
All four models favour PBKS, with the model average at PBKS 60% (range 57–64%). Bookmakers also lean PBKS, pricing PBKS at 54% (1.77) vs GT at 46% (2.07). Key stats favour PBKS 5-2 overall, driven by their edge on points, NRR, Elo, and the last-three head-to-head. The match is likely to hinge on whether PBKS’ bowling issues can hold up against a GT side that relies heavily on its top order.
Holder rips out the spine
Jason Holder’s 4/24 turned a flat-looking innings into a chaseable target, and Gujarat Titans just about held their nerve to beat Punjab Kings by 4 wickets with one ball remaining. Punjab briefly threatened to flip it late, but Titans’ top-order base kept the chase on track even as wickets fell in clumps through the middle.
Powerplay damage, then control
The match swung hardest in Punjab’s powerplay, where they stumbled to 35/3 and spent the rest of the innings trying to repair. Even with a 79-run stand between Suryansh Shedge and Marcus Stoinis dragging them back, the early holes meant Punjab couldn’t fully cash in at the death, finishing 163/9. By contrast, Titans’ 58/1 powerplay gave them a cushion that absorbed a mid-innings wobble and left a manageable finish.
Sudharsan anchors, Shedge counterpunches
Sudharsan’s 57 off 41 underpinned the pursuit, and his 52-run partnership with Jos Buttler set the tone for a chase that always had a path. For Punjab, Shedge’s 57 off 29 was the innings’ spark, turning a crawl into a contest alongside Stoinis’ 40. But Holder’s strikes at key moments — including the middle-overs squeeze that forced Punjab into catch-up mode — proved the difference when the finish tightened.
Why the script flipped
Pre-match numbers leaned Punjab: better recent away results, stronger ratings, and a perceived edge in match-ups. But those advantages depend on getting a functional batting platform and defending with control at the top. Punjab did neither. Their top order was dislodged early, and Titans’ chase was built on a more stable start, with Sai Sudharsan’s tempo ensuring the required rate never ran away even when the middle overs slowed.









