Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Across the last three meetings, TR-W lead 2 wins to 1. In the most recent meeting, TR-W won with 69 balls remaining after BP-W were dismissed for 64. That game was defined by BP-W’s batting collapse and a chase that never came under pressure. The other two results show it hasn’t been one-way: TR-W edged a 3-wicket win with 3 balls left, while BP-W also have an 11-run win in this matchup.

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 64/10

TRTrent Rockets W 68/1

2026-07-24 · TR-W won by 9 wickets (with 69 balls remaining)

TRTrent Rockets W 126/7

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 123/6

2025-08-27 · TR-W won by 3 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 148/5

TRTrent Rockets W 137/6

2025-08-08 · BP-W won by 11 runs

Trent Rockets W

TR-W are 2nd in the regular season with 16 points and currently in the playoff zone. They are 4W-1L with a +2.540 NRR, and their last three matches are all wins. The clearest snapshot of their momentum is the 31-run win over Manchester Super Giants W, where they posted 153/8 and bowled the opposition out for 122.

TRTrent Rockets W 139/7

SLSunrisers Leeds W 134/5

2026-08-02 · TR-W won by 5 runs

TRTrent Rockets W 153/8

MSManchester Super Giants W 122/10

2026-07-31 · TR-W won by 31 runs

TRTrent Rockets W 132/2

WFWelsh Fire W 129/3

2026-07-29 · TR-W won by 8 wickets (with 17 balls remaining)

Birmingham Phoenix W

BP-W are 7th in the regular season with 6 points and currently outside the playoff zone. Their last three matches read 1 win and 2 losses, with a -3.030 NRR. The most telling recent result is the heavy defeat to TR-W, where BP-W were bowled out for 64 and lost with 69 balls remaining.

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 145/3

WFWelsh Fire W 144/3

2026-08-01 · BP-W won by 7 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 116/5

SBSouthern Brave W 140/3

2026-07-30 · SB-W won by 24 runs

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 64/10

TRTrent Rockets W 68/1

2026-07-24 · TR-W won by 9 wickets (with 69 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models are in consensus for TR-W, with the average probability at 70% for TR-W. Bookmakers agree, pricing TR-W at 66% (1.45) vs BP-W at 34% (2.75). Key stats favour TR-W 6-1, driven by their stronger table position, NRR edge, and the recent head-to-head result. The swing factor is whether BP-W can avoid another batting collapse against a TR-W side that has been stacking wins.

Garth’s burst breaks Phoenix

Kim Garth’s four-over spell was the hinge: she kept Birmingham Phoenix from ever turning their platform into a push, and Trent Rockets finished the job in a chase led by Sophia Dunkley Brown. Phoenix’s 122/7 always felt a touch light, and when Dunkley Brown began finding the rope in the middle overs, the result tilted quickly. Rockets got there by 6 wickets with 16 balls remaining, despite a brief wobble early.

Middle overs decide it

The match was effectively settled in the middle phase. Phoenix drifted to 75/3 through the middle overs at 6.2 an over, and that lack of acceleration left them needing a big finish they never found (23/3 at the death). Rockets, by contrast, surged from 20/1 in the powerplay to 95/3 in the middle overs at 7.8 an over, taking the game away before the closing overs even arrived.

Dunkley Brown, Garth set tone

Dunkley Brown’s 65 from 36 was the defining batting effort, combining clean hitting with smart targeting to keep the required rate in check. Her 62-run partnership with Nat Sciver-Brunt was the chase’s clincher, effectively shutting the door before the final phase. Garth was the standout with the ball, her 4/23 ensuring Phoenix never got the 15–20 extra runs that might have made the last few overs uncomfortable.

Form edge plays out again

Pre-match signs pointed to Rockets’ steadier recent run and a clear performance gap, and the game followed that script: Phoenix again struggled to string together a full innings. Emma Lamb’s 45 off 34 and a 44-run stand with Nadine de Klerk (Dercksen) offered hope, but the innings kept losing momentum after wickets in the middle. Rockets’ chase had a moment of tension when an early wicket slowed them to 20/1, yet their intent and depth quickly restored control.