Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Across the last three meetings, Sunrisers Leeds lead 2–1. In the most recent clash last season, SL set 193/5 and kept BP to 157/9, controlling the game through a strong first-innings total and a nine-wicket restriction. The previous season, BP replied by bowling SL out for 83 and then finishing the chase without losing a wicket, ending it with 61 balls remaining. The pattern is swingy, with each side owning at least one emphatic result in this mini-series.

NSNorthern Superchargers 193/5

BPBirmingham Phoenix 157/9

2025-08-15 · NS won by 36 runs

BPBirmingham Phoenix 86/0

NSNorthern Superchargers 83/10

2024-08-06 · BP won by 10 wickets (with 61 balls remaining)

BPBirmingham Phoenix 137/9

NSNorthern Superchargers 169/6

2022-08-19 · NS won by 32 runs

Birmingham Phoenix

Birmingham Phoenix are 8th in the regular season on 4 points with a 1W-3L record. Their last three matches have all been losses, including a 7-wicket defeat to Trent Rockets with 17 balls remaining. The recent trend is BP falling short in both defending and chasing totals, with no win to steady their campaign.

BPBirmingham Phoenix 111/6

TRTrent Rockets 116/3

2026-08-05 · TR won by 7 wickets (with 17 balls remaining)

BPBirmingham Phoenix 137/9

WFWelsh Fire 138/3

2026-08-01 · WF won by 7 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

BPBirmingham Phoenix 116/9

SBSouthern Brave 128/8

2026-07-30 · SB won by 12 runs

Sunrisers Leeds

Sunrisers Leeds are 5th in the regular season with 12 points and a 3W-2L record. Their last three include two wins, highlighted by a 37-run victory over London Spirit after posting 241/2. Even in their lone recent loss, they went down by just 5 runs to Trent Rockets, keeping their form line competitive.

SLSunrisers Leeds 241/2

LSLondon Spirit 204/6

2026-08-04 · SL won by 37 runs

SLSunrisers Leeds 141/4

TRTrent Rockets 146/4

2026-08-02 · TR won by 5 runs

SLSunrisers Leeds 184/2

MSManchester Super Giants 181/3

2026-07-28 · SL won by 8 wickets (with 12 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models favour Sunrisers Leeds, with the average projection at SL 64% vs BP 36% (range 58–71% for SL). Bookmakers agree, pricing SL at 63% (1.50) vs BP at 37% (2.55). Key stats are a clean sweep for SL at 7–0, driven by the gap in points, NRR, Elo, and recent form. The match likely turns on whether BP can halt their losing run against an SL side coming off a huge batting performance.

Carse slams the door shut

Brydon Carse’s hard lengths and late movement ensured Birmingham Phoenix never got close to a demanding chase, as Sunrisers Leeds won by 45 runs. After Phoenix threatened a mini-rebuild, Carse returned to punch holes through the middle order and the finish, turning a game that still had a pulse into a chase that ran out of overs, ideas, and wickets.

Rickelton sets the tempo

The match was effectively shaped by Leeds’ control through the first two phases with the bat. They flew out of the blocks at 32/0 in the powerplay, then kept the pressure on in the middle overs to reach 103/3, with Ryan Rickelton’s 65 off 37 anchoring the aggression. Even as wickets fell late (34/4 at the death), Phoenix were left needing a near-perfect chase against a ball that was stopping just enough to make boundary-hitting risky.

Rickelton and Carse decisive

Rickelton’s innings was the difference between a competitive total and a match-winning one: he scored at 176, kept the field spread, and made the middle overs feel like a continuation of the powerplay. Mitchell Marsh’s 34 off 23 and their 52-run partnership provided the second surge. Then Carse (3/17) and Matty Potts (3/22) turned scoreboard pressure into wickets, with Phoenix’s death-overs return of 14/3 sealing the outcome.

Phoenix’s slump continues

Pre-match, the gap in form and momentum pointed to Leeds, and the game followed that script in the moments that matter most: the start and the finish. Phoenix’s powerplay of 22/2 immediately put them behind the required pace, forcing consolidation rather than calculated risk. When they did find a foothold, Leeds’ bowlers had the confidence to attack the stumps and hit the deck, and Phoenix’s already-fragile recent batting couldn’t absorb the squeeze.