Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

England W have won the last three meetings against New Zealand W. In the most recent clash, England W defended a total and won by 20 runs, keeping New Zealand W to 135/8. The game was defined by New Zealand W falling short in a chase that ended with eight wickets down. Across this mini-run, England W have repeatedly found ways to close out tight games against the same opponent.

ENEngland W 155/7

NZNew Zealand W 135/8

2024-07-17 · ENG-W won by 20 runs

ENEngland W 104/3

NZNew Zealand W 103/8

2024-07-13 · ENG-W won by 7 wickets (with 51 balls remaining)

ENEngland W 142/4

NZNew Zealand W 140/8

2024-07-11 · ENG-W won by 6 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

England W

This is England W’s first match of the season/tournament. In their most recent matches, they took two wins from three against India W, including a last-ball win by five wickets. The overall feel is narrow margins, with England W able to finish close chases but also dropping one game in the same stretch.

ENEngland W 168/5

INIndia W 167/7

2025-07-12 · ENG-W won by 5 wickets (with 0 balls remaining)

ENEngland W 126/7

INIndia W 127/4

2025-07-09 · IND W won by 6 wickets (with 18 balls remaining)

ENEngland W 171/9

INIndia W 166/5

2025-07-04 · ENG-W won by 5 runs

New Zealand W

New Zealand W come in with a 7W-1L record and a +3.244 NRR. Their last three matches were all wins against South Africa W, including a 92-run victory in the most recent game. The pattern is control through big separation on the scoreboard, capped by a dominant latest result.

NZNew Zealand W 194/6

SASouth Africa W 102/9

2026-03-25 · NZ-W won by 92 runs

NZNew Zealand W 160/4

SASouth Africa W 159/6

2026-03-22 · NZ-W won by 6 wickets (with 9 balls remaining)

NZNew Zealand W 152/4

SASouth Africa W 149/7

2026-03-20 · NZ-W won by 6 wickets (with 8 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

Models are split, with the average leaning slightly to England W at 51% vs 49%. Bookmakers diverge from that lean, pricing England W at 55% (1.75) vs New Zealand W at 45% (2.08). Key stats favour England W 5-0 overall, driven by the last-three head-to-head sweep and small rating edges. The match likely turns on whether NZ-W’s current winning run can override ENG-W’s recent matchup control.

Capsey owns the chase

England Women’s chase stopped looking like a contest the moment Alice Capsey settled in and started picking off New Zealand Women’s lengths. After a slightly jittery start, she flipped the pressure back with clean, straight hitting and smart placement into the gaps, carrying England to a seven-wicket win with 16 balls remaining. New Zealand had moments — especially when Sophie Devine’s early assault pushed the tempo — but Capsey’s control meant the target never felt out of reach.

Middle overs break New Zealand

The game was decided in the middle phase, where New Zealand’s innings lost momentum and England’s chase accelerated. New Zealand went from 45/2 in the powerplay to just 62/3 through the middle overs, a drag that left them scrambling to reach 136/7. England, by contrast, turned 39/2 in the powerplay into 85/1 in the middle overs, scoring at 8.5 an over and effectively winning the match before the final surge.

Capsey, Devine set the tone

Capsey was the difference, blending power with risk management to anchor and then finish the chase. Freya Kemp’s 31 off 20 provided the perfect second act, and their 64-run partnership took the sting out of any remaining New Zealand threat. For New Zealand, Devine’s powerplay burst was the standout, but Breearne Illing’s 2/19 was the spell that briefly made England’s top order feel the heat before Capsey shut the door.

Matchup edge shows up again

Pre-match, the call was tight: New Zealand arrived in better recent form, while England’s edge lay in head-to-head control and slightly stronger matchup numbers. That pattern played out. Devine’s brisk 45(22) hinted that New Zealand’s hot streak could override history, but once England’s bowlers forced a slower middle, New Zealand couldn’t cash in at the death. England’s chase then exposed the softer end of New Zealand’s expected death economy, finishing with a late kick rather than a scramble.