Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Across the last three meetings, TSK lead 2–1. In the most recent meeting last season, MINY won by 7 wickets with 6 balls remaining after chasing down TSK’s 166/5. The game was defined by MINY getting to the target with wickets in hand, finishing on 172/3. The broader pattern is tight: all three recent meetings have produced different winners and margins.

TSTexas Super Kings 166/5

MIMI New York 172/3

2025-07-12 · MINY won by 7 wickets (with 6 balls remaining)

TSTexas Super Kings 223/4

MIMI New York 184/9

2025-06-30 · TSK won by 39 runs

MIMI New York 182/8

TSTexas Super Kings 185/6

2025-06-14 · TSK won by 3 runs

Texas Super Kings

TSK are 4th in the MLC regular season on 2 points and are currently in the playoff zone. Their recent results have swung sharply from a high-scoring win to a controlled defeat. The clearest snapshot is the last match, where they were beaten by 7 wickets with 13 balls remaining after making 152/9.

TSTexas Super Kings 152/9

SFSan Francisco Unicorns 153/3

2026-06-20 · SFU won by 7 wickets (with 13 balls remaining)

TSTexas Super Kings 221/4

SOSeattle Orcas 220/2

2026-06-19 · TSK won by 6 wickets (with 9 balls remaining)

TSTexas Super Kings 166/5

MIMI New York 172/3

2025-07-12 · MINY won by 7 wickets (with 6 balls remaining)

MI New York

MINY are 6th in the MLC regular season on 0 points and are currently outside the playoff zone. Their latest outing was a setback, losing by 30 runs after conceding 245/5. In their recent sample, they also have a win over Washington Freedom by 5 runs, showing they’ve had both tight finishes and heavy concessions.

MIMI New York 215/6

WSWashington Freedom 245/5

2026-06-21 · WSF won by 30 runs

MIMI New York 180/7

WSWashington Freedom 175/5

2025-07-14 · MINY won by 5 runs

MIMI New York 172/3

TSTexas Super Kings 166/5

2025-07-12 · MINY won by 7 wickets (with 6 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour TSK, with TSK projected at 54–62% and a 58% average. Bookmakers diverge from the models, pricing TSK at 46% (2.05) vs MINY at 54% (1.75). Key stats lean TSK 6–2 overall, driven by the standings edge, better NRR, and stronger powerplay and middle-overs economy. The swing factor is MINY’s better recent win rate and the death-overs economy edge that can flip close chases.

Bosch sparks the late collapse

Corbin Bosch turned a competitive TSK innings into a scramble, and MI New York rode that momentum to an 8-wicket win with 14 balls remaining. Texas looked set for 175-plus when Shubham Ranjane’s 51 kept them moving, but once the finish arrived they lost shape and wickets in a rush. Nicholas Pooran then ensured the chase never drifted into a squeeze, finishing with a controlled, punchy 69 off 46.

Death overs swing hard

The game was decided at the back end of the first innings. From 133/5 in the 16th over, Texas managed only 25 runs while losing five wickets, folding for 158 in 19.2 overs. That collapse flipped the pressure: instead of defending a score with room for error, TSK were forced to hunt wickets. MI New York’s chase underlined the contrast at the death, where they struck 29 without loss at 15.8 an over to close it out cleanly.

Pooran and Boult set tone

Pooran’s innings was the difference between a chase and a procession: he hit through the line when needed, but also rotated enough to keep the target shrinking. Monank Patel’s 46 off 34 gave him a stable partner and removed early nerves. With the ball, Trent Boult’s 3/18 ensured TSK never had a clean powerplay, and Bosch’s four-for finished the job by turning Texas’ final four overs into a wicket queue.

Models liked TSK, conditions didn’t

Pre-match numbers leaned Texas because they’d generally controlled powerplays and middle overs better, and their season position suggested stability. But this match punished the one area flagged as a risk: late-innings control. MI New York’s bowlers were sharper when it mattered, and Texas’ lower order couldn’t absorb the squeeze once wickets fell. MINY’s recent momentum also showed in the chase — they kept the tempo high early and didn’t blink when the asking rate hovered.