Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Across the last three meetings, GAW lead 2-1. In the most recent matchup last season, ABF won by 4 wickets with 5 balls remaining after bowling GAW out for 99. That game was defined by GAW being dismissed cheaply, leaving ABF a manageable chase that they finished with time in hand. The wider pattern still leans GAW, including an 83-run win in another recent meeting.

GAGuyana Amazon Warriors 99/10

ABAntigua & Barbuda Falcons 103/6

2025-09-10 · ABF won by 4 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

ABAntigua & Barbuda Falcons 128/10

GAGuyana Amazon Warriors 211/3

2025-08-22 · GAW won by 83 runs

GAGuyana Amazon Warriors 135/7

ABAntigua & Barbuda Falcons 108/10

2024-09-21 · GAW won by 27 runs

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons

ABF are 4th in the CPL regular season on 4 points, currently in the playoff zone. Their recent results have been tight and chase-driven, with consecutive wins sealed with 9 balls and then 3 balls remaining. The clearest signal is their ability to close under pressure in the final over of a chase.

ABAntigua & Barbuda Falcons 168/5

TKTrinbago Knight Riders 165/6

2026-08-22 · ABF won by 5 wickets (with 9 balls remaining)

ABAntigua & Barbuda Falcons 191/7

SNSt Kitts and Nevis Patriots 187/6

2026-08-20 · ABF won by 3 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)`

ABAntigua & Barbuda Falcons 98/9

SLSaint Lucia Kings 54/7

2026-08-14 · SLK won by 3 wickets (with 2 balls remaining)

Guyana Amazon Warriors

GAW are 2nd in the CPL regular season on 4 points, currently in the playoff zone. They are unbeaten at 2W-0L, and their latest win was a controlled chase finished with 11 balls remaining. The early-season story is clean execution with margin to spare.

GAGuyana Amazon Warriors 157/3

SLSaint Lucia Kings 151/7

2026-08-19 · GAW won by 7 wickets (with 11 balls remaining)

GAGuyana Amazon Warriors 118/4

JKJamaica Kingsmen 117/10

2026-08-14 · GAW won by 6 wickets (with 35 balls remaining)

GAGuyana Amazon Warriors 130/8

TKTrinbago Knight Riders 133/7

2025-09-22 · TKR won by 3 wickets (with 12 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour GAW, with the average projection at GAW 62% (range 56–70%). Bookmakers agree, pricing GAW at 61% (1.55) vs ABF at 39% (2.40). Key stats lean GAW 4-2 overall, driven by their NRR edge and the recent head-to-head advantage. ABF’s path is to turn their recent close-chase composure into another low-margin finish, but GAW’s season-start control is the stronger baseline.

Joseph sparks the slide

Shamar Joseph’s pace and hard lengths turned a decent Falcons start into a full-scale collapse, setting up a chase that Guyana Amazon Warriors finished in a blur. Antigua & Barbuda Falcons were bowled out for 116 in 17 overs, and despite a couple of early wickets, Guyana’s response was ruthless. Shimron Hetmyer and Shai Hope stitched the innings together so completely that the Warriors cruised home by 7 wickets with 61 balls remaining.

Middle overs chokehold

The game was effectively won in the Falcons’ middle overs, where their innings unravelled from 49/2 in the powerplay to 64/6 through the middle phase. That’s where Guyana’s attack squeezed and struck: Joseph removed key batters with pace, while Imran Tahir’s control (2/15) ensured there was no release valve. The Falcons managed only 3 runs in the death overs, a stark finish that underlined how thoroughly Guyana shut down any late scramble to 140.

Hetmyer and Hope finish fast

Joseph was the tone-setter and deserved MVP for 3/22 in three overs, repeatedly hitting the pitch to force mistakes. In the chase, Hetmyer’s 49 off 19 detonated the middle overs, and the decisive moment came as the pair surged after the powerplay: Guyana went from 55/2 to effectively home and hosed in a single, blistering passage. Hope’s 47 off 26 provided the calm base, and their 98-run partnership ensured the early wobble never became a contest.

Baseline advantage, brutally applied

Pre-match, Guyana’s edge was built around stronger recent control and a clear gap in overall performance quality, and this match followed that script once the new-ball burst passed. The Falcons did show the composure they’ve leaned on lately via a 40-run stand between Amir Jangoo and Hasan Nawaz, but Guyana’s ability to take wickets in clusters meant there was no need for a tight chase. When the target is kept to 117, Guyana’s deeper batting simply turns pressure into permission.