Toss & Conditions

Matches are being played on Sri Lankan surfaces that vary in soil type and conditions, requiring teams to adapt quickly. Spin options have been influential at this venue.

Head-to-Head

In the last three meetings, England and New Zealand have each won once as the visiting team, while New Zealand have two wins overall. England won the most recent encounter on 20 October 2025 by 65 runs.

England

England have won their last three matches against Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Italy, holding a 2W-0L record in the current standings with a net run rate of 1.491.

New Zealand

New Zealand have won two of their last three matches, beating Sri Lanka and Canada while losing to South Africa, with a 1W-0L record and a net run rate of 3.05.

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

Model projections give England a 62% win probability compared to 38% for New Zealand. Bookmakers list England at 52% implied probability with odds of 1.884. England lead by 59 Elo points and have a 0.94 higher net run rate. England’s perfect recent form contrasts with New Zealand’s two wins from three, though New Zealand’s lineup rates stronger by impact metric.