Qualifier 2 in New Chandigarh puts Rajasthan Royals and Gujarat Titans head-to-head for a place in the IPL 2026 final. GT come in after losing Qualifier 1 to Royal Challengers Bengaluru, while RR reached here by beating Sunrisers Hyderabad in the Eliminator. Both teams rely heavily on their top three and both have a weak middle order. The match is on the same pitch used for the Eliminator, with little dew expected.
Toss & Conditions
New Chandigarh has been high-scoring this season, with targets of 220 and 223 chased down earlier in the tournament. This game uses the same pitch as the Eliminator, and the surface is described as worn-out with little dew expected, which can make chasing harder and bring batting-first into the toss conversation.
Head-to-Head
RR lead the last three head-to-head meetings 2-1. In the most recent meeting, GT dominated RR with a 77-run win after piling up 229/4 and bowling RR out for 152. The earlier two games were tight, with RR winning by 6 runs in one and by 8 wickets with 25 balls remaining in the other. Across these three matches, results have swung between a heavy GT win and two RR wins with very different margins.
Rajasthan Royals
RR are 9W-6L with an NRR of +0.407. They come in on a three-match winning streak, including a 47-run win over Sunrisers Hyderabad most recently. The run of results includes a successful chase against Lucknow Super Giants finished with 5 balls remaining.
Gujarat Titans
GT are 9W-6L with an NRR of -0.010. Their last three games include two defeats, with the most recent a 92-run loss to Royal Challengers Bengaluru. They did respond in between with an 89-run win over Chennai Super Kings.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- GT openers Shubman Gill and B Sai Sudharsan have taken a low-risk approach in the powerplay; GT’s powerplay scoring rate this season is 9.66, placing them in the bottom half.
- RR’s run rate in the first six overs this season is 11.66, the best in the tournament.
- Vaibhav Sooryavanshi has hit 65 sixes this season; Gill and Sai Sudharsan have combined for 59.
- RR have won all four matches they have played in New Chandigarh; GT have one win and two losses from three games there.
- Kagiso Rabada has dismissed Yashasvi Jaiswal three times in 27 balls for 27 runs.
Key Stats
Prediction
All four models favour RR, with the average projection at RR 58% vs GT 42% (range 52–64% for RR). Bookmakers also lean RR at 55% (1.72) vs GT 45% (2.10). Key stats edge RR 4-3, driven by better recent results, better NRR, and a death-overs economy advantage. The match narrative hinges on RR’s faster powerplay scoring versus GT’s preference for lower-risk starts on a used pitch where chasing may not be straightforward.
Gill’s chase-killing hundred
Shubman Gill didn’t so much pace a chase as erase it, taking Gujarat Titans to a 7-wicket win with 8 balls remaining. Rajasthan Royals had done plenty right to post 214/6, and for a moment it felt like a par-plus total on a used surface. But once Gill found his timing in the powerplay, the contest shifted from “can GT get there?” to “how quickly?”.
Middle overs become a runway
The game was effectively won in the middle overs, where GT turned a solid start into a runaway. After matching RR’s powerplay tempo at 69/0, Gill and Sai Sudharsan ripped through the next phase at 12 an over, adding a defining 163-run partnership. RR’s brief hope came when the chase finally produced wickets in the middle, but by then GT were already ahead of the curve and only needed a controlled finish.
Suryavanshi shines, Gill seals
Vaibhav Suryavanshi’s 96 off 47 was the reason RR had a contest at all, anchoring the best stand of their innings (92 with Riyan Parag) before the death overs exploded for 60/1. For GT, Gill’s 104 was the match’s defining act, with Sudharsan’s 58 ensuring the chase never stalled. Jason Holder’s 2/27 also mattered: his control kept RR from pushing beyond 220, a difference that vanished once Gill took charge.
Why the script flipped
Pre-match, the lean was towards RR: better recent form, a death-overs edge, and the sense that chasing wouldn’t be straightforward. Instead, the pitch played truer than expected under lights, and GT’s “lower-risk” template became high-impact because Gill’s intent arrived early. RR’s own innings also showed the trade-off: 70/2 in the powerplay meant they had to rebuild, and even a 15-an-over finish couldn’t create scoreboard pressure once GT went wicketless up front.

