Match Prediction
Trinbago Knight Riders are 5th in the CPL regular season on 4 points with a 2W-3L record and a -0.013 NRR. Jamaica Kingsmen are 4th on 6 points with a 3W-4L record and a +0.005 NRR, currently inside the playoff zone. The most recent head-to-head was a one-run game that JK finished with 8 balls to spare. This matchup puts TKR under pressure to close the points gap while JK try to consolidate their position.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Across the last 1 meeting, JK lead 1-0. The most recent clash was earlier this season and it went down to the final moments, with JK getting home in a chase with 8 balls still in hand. It was decided by a single run, with JK overhauling TKR’s 182/6 by reaching 183/5. With only one recent data point, the pattern so far is a razor-thin JK edge rather than sustained dominance.
Trinbago Knight Riders
TKR are 5th in the CPL regular season with 4 points from a 2W-3L record. Their last three games have swung between a comfortable chase win and two defeats, including a 36-run loss after conceding 211/4. The clearest signal is that their results have been decided by whether they can control the scoring against them.
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
128/3
BTBarbados Tridents
127/9
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
175/6
SLSaint Lucia Kings
211/4
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
165/6
ABAntigua & Barbuda Falcons
168/5
Jamaica Kingsmen
JK are 4th in the CPL regular season with 6 points from a 3W-4L record, currently inside the playoff zone. Their last three matches include two wins and one loss, with their most telling result a tight 11-run win after posting 182/7. The recent trend is that they can win both with a big margin and in closer, defended totals.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
Models are split, leaning JK at 52% on average, with individual calls ranging from TKR 54% to JK 58%. Bookmakers diverge from that lean, pricing TKR at 60% (1.57) vs JK at 40% (2.35). Key stats narrowly favour JK 4-3, driven by their edge on points, NRR, recent form, and the latest head-to-head. The match likely turns on whether TKR’s stronger player-form indicators translate into a cleaner all-round performance than in their recent losses.
All four models favour GAW, with the average projection at 65% for GAW (range 58–74%). No bookmaker odds are available for this match, so there is no market price to compare against the models. Key stats favour GAW 4-1 overall, driven by their stronger season position indicators and rating edge, while TKR’s main counterweight is a 2-1 edge in the last three head-to-heads. The match likely turns on whether GAW’s unbeaten momentum holds against a TKR side that has been volatile across its last three results.
Preliminary prediction — calculated before the playing XI and toss were known. It is recalculated 5–30 minutes before the start, once the lineups and toss are confirmed.
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
128/3
BTBarbados Tridents
127/9
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
175/6
SLSaint Lucia Kings
211/4
ABAntigua & Barbuda Falcons
168/5
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
165/6
JKJamaica Kingsmen
183/5
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
182/6
SNSt Kitts and Nevis Patriots
109/9
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
94/2
GAGuyana Amazon Warriors
130/8
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
133/7
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
194/4
SLSaint Lucia Kings
138/8
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
168/1
ABAntigua & Barbuda Falcons
166/8
BRBarbados Royals
172/3
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
166/8
GAGuyana Amazon Warriors
168/7
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
167/5
TK0
JK1
SNSt Kitts and Nevis Patriots
171/6
JKJamaica Kingsmen
182/7
SLSaint Lucia Kings
171/4
JKJamaica Kingsmen
169/9
JKJamaica Kingsmen
181/6
SNSt Kitts and Nevis Patriots
130/10
JKJamaica Kingsmen
183/5
TKTrinbago Knight Riders
182/6
JKJamaica Kingsmen
117/10
GAGuyana Amazon Warriors
118/4
JKJamaica Kingsmen
201/9
BTBarbados Tridents
206/3
JKJamaica Kingsmen
167/7
ABAntigua & Barbuda Falcons
168/8