Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

England W have won the last three meetings against New Zealand W. In the most recent clash, England defended by restricting New Zealand to 136/7 and then finished the chase with 16 balls still in hand. The margin in time remaining underlined England’s control of the chase after keeping NZ’s scoring in check. Across these three games, the pattern is one-way: England keep finding a way to close out the result.

ENEngland W 140/3

NZNew Zealand W 136/7

2026-05-20 · ENG-W won by 7 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

ENEngland W 155/7

NZNew Zealand W 135/8

2024-07-17 · ENG-W won by 20 runs

ENEngland W 104/3

NZNew Zealand W 103/8

2024-07-13 · ENG-W won by 7 wickets (with 51 balls remaining)

England W

England W are 7W-3L with a net run rate of +0.699. Their latest result was a controlled chase against New Zealand W, winning by 7 wickets with 16 balls remaining after limiting NZ to 136/7. In their last three, the only setback was a 6-wicket loss to India W, sandwiched by two tight wins.

ENEngland W 140/3

NZNew Zealand W 136/7

2026-05-20 · ENG-W won by 7 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

ENEngland W 168/5

INIndia W 167/7

2025-07-12 · ENG-W won by 5 wickets (with 0 balls remaining)

ENEngland W 126/7

INIndia W 127/4

2025-07-09 · IND W won by 6 wickets (with 18 balls remaining)

New Zealand W

New Zealand W are 7W-3L with a net run rate of +2.413. Their most recent match was a loss to England W, where 136/7 wasn’t enough and England finished the chase with 16 balls to spare. Before that, NZ put together two emphatic wins over South Africa W, including a 92-run victory.

NZNew Zealand W 136/7

ENEngland W 140/3

2026-05-20 · ENG-W won by 7 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

NZNew Zealand W 194/6

SASouth Africa W 102/9

2026-03-25 · NZ-W won by 92 runs

NZNew Zealand W 160/4

SASouth Africa W 159/6

2026-03-22 · NZ-W won by 6 wickets (with 9 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

Models are split: the average call is 50%-50%, with three models leaning NZ-W while one model strongly backs ENG-W. Bookmakers diverge from that split, pricing ENG-W at 71% (1.33) vs NZ-W at 29% (3.20). Key stats lean ENG-W 5-1 overall, driven by the head-to-head sweep and multiple economy-rate edges, while NZ-W’s main counterweight is their stronger season net run rate. The match likely turns on whether NZ can flip the script after being held to 136/7 in the last meeting, or whether England’s control in this matchup holds again.

Devine drags NZ back

At 29/4 in the powerplay, New Zealand looked set for another England stranglehold, but Sophie Devine flipped the script with a captain’s innings that never let the early damage define the night. She and Maddy Green rebuilt with calm, then accelerated hard to lift New Zealand to 170/5, a total England couldn’t reel in despite a competitive chase, falling 14 runs short.

Death overs blow it open

The game was won in New Zealand’s finishing kick. After crawling to 29/4 in the first six, Devine and Green batted through the middle overs without losing a wicket, then detonated at the end: 56 runs came in the last five overs for just one dismissal. England’s bowlers, excellent early through Linsey Smith, couldn’t land enough yorkers or slower balls once Devine set up her hitting zones, and that late surge turned a recovery into a defendable, above-par score.

Devine, Green set the tone

Devine’s 87 (57) was equal parts rescue act and power finish, with the key moment coming as she shifted gears after the 10-over mark to keep the run rate climbing. Green’s 56 (48) was the perfect foil, rotating strike to prevent England from squeezing. For England, Smith’s 3/25 kept New Zealand within reach early, and Maia Bouchier’s 38 (33) gave the chase shape, but the target demanded more than a single late push.

Pre-match script gets rewritten

England’s edge on paper was built on recent head-to-head control and the expectation that New Zealand’s bowling would leak at the death. Instead, New Zealand’s season momentum showed up in the one phase England usually own: composure under pressure. The early wickets suggested England’s matchup advantage was real, but Devine’s risk-managed rebuild meant New Zealand never had to chase the game again — and England’s chase, while steady, lacked a comparable late overdrive.