

Match Prediction
PBKS’ IPL 2026 campaign has flipped after a bright start: they have lost six successive matches after beginning with six wins in as many completed games. If PBKS beat LSG, they still need Mumbai Indians to beat Rajasthan Royals to keep their playoff hopes alive; if PBKS lose to LSG, their hopes end. LSG are at the bottom of the table and come in with low stakes, having already been eliminated from the playoffs race.
Toss & Conditions
The match at Ekana Stadium will be played on pitch No. 5, a mixed-soil surface that could offer something for both batters and bowlers. In five matches in Lucknow this season completed in regular time, chasing teams have a 3-2 edge over teams batting first, which keeps the toss decision in focus.
Head-to-Head
PBKS have won the last three meetings against LSG. In the most recent clash, PBKS posted 254/7 and defended it by restricting LSG to 200/5, winning by 54 runs. That game was defined by PBKS putting up a total in the mid-250s and keeping LSG well short in the chase. Across these three matches, the pattern has been one-way: PBKS 3 wins, LSG 0.
Lucknow Super Giants
LSG are 10th in the IPL regular season with 8 points. Their last three results include two close defeats while chasing and a 7-wicket win over CSK with 20 balls remaining. Most recently, they fell short by 5 runs in a chase of 226 against RR.
Punjab Kings
PBKS are 5th in the IPL regular season with 13 points. Their last three matches are all defeats, including a 23-run loss to RCB after conceding 222/4. The recent run has been a sequence of losses despite scoring 199, 200 and 210 in those three games.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- PBKS have lost six successive matches after starting IPL 2026 with six wins in as many completed games.
- PBKS have won their last three meetings with LSG.
- Mitchell Marsh has scores of 111, 90 and 96 in three of his last four innings, but he has left the LSG squad and is understood to be unavailable for their final group-stage fixture.
- Josh Inglis has scored 194 runs in four innings at an average of 48.50 and a strike rate of 195.95; his strike rate in the powerplay is 242.42.
- As a bowling unit, PBKS have the worst average and economy rate among all teams this season.
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour PBKS, with the model average at PBKS 59% vs LSG 41% (range 55–62% for PBKS). Bookmakers also back PBKS at 64% (1.50) vs LSG 36% (2.61). Key stats lean PBKS 4-2 overall, driven by points, NRR, Elo, and a 3-0 edge in the last three head-to-heads. The match pivots on whether PBKS can convert their season-long advantages into a result while LSG try to disrupt them despite sitting bottom of the table.
Iyer’s chase-defining hundred
Shreyas Iyer set the tone for a ruthless pursuit, absorbing the early wobble and then accelerating into a match-winning 101 off 51. Punjab Kings overhauled Lucknow Super Giants’ 196/6 with 12 balls remaining, largely because Iyer refused to let the asking rate breathe. LSG had moments of hope when wickets fell in the powerplay, but the chase quickly became a one-partnership story once Iyer found his range.
Middle overs blow the game open
The decisive stretch came after the powerplay, when Punjab’s tempo jumped rather than dipped. From 65/2, Iyer and Prabhsimran Singh tore through the middle phase at 11.7 an over, adding a 140-run stand that effectively ended the contest before the death overs arrived. Even Mohammed Shami’s 2/45 couldn’t apply sustained brakes, as boundaries kept arriving whenever LSG tried to protect one side of the ground.
Iyer, Prabhsimran, Chahal set it up
Iyer’s hundred was the headline, but Prabhsimran’s 69 off 39 ensured the pressure never shifted back to the batting side. Earlier, Yuzvendra Chahal’s 2/25 was crucial in keeping LSG from turning their platform into a knockout score, forcing them to take safer options late. Josh Inglis’ 72 off 44 and his 65-run stand with Rishabh Pant gave Lucknow real momentum, yet Punjab’s key men consistently won the moments that mattered most.
Pre-match edge becomes on-field control
Punjab’s pre-match advantage was built on season-long indicators, and it showed in how calmly they managed the key innings phases. LSG’s fast start (66/2 in the powerplay) promised a 210-plus push, but they were repeatedly checked, finishing with just 39 in the last five overs. That gap — a slightly undercooked finish versus a relentless middle-overs chase — was the difference between a defendable total and one Punjab could hunt down with time in hand.
RRRajasthan Royals
225/3
LSLucknow Super Giants
220/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
188/3
CSChennai Super Kings
187/5
CSChennai Super Kings
208/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
203/8
LSLucknow Super Giants
209/3
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
203/6
MIMumbai Indians
229/4
LSLucknow Super Giants
228/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
155/8
KKKolkata Knight Riders
155/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
119/10
RRRajasthan Royals
159/6
PBPunjab Kings
254/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
200/5
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
149/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
146/10
LSLucknow Super Giants
164/8
GTGujarat Titans
165/3
LS3
PB4
PBPunjab Kings
254/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
200/5
PBPunjab Kings
236/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
199/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
171/7
PBPunjab Kings
177/2
LSLucknow Super Giants
199/8
PBPunjab Kings
178/5
PBPunjab Kings
201/10
LSLucknow Super Giants
257/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
159/8
PBPunjab Kings
161/8
PBPunjab Kings
133/8
LSLucknow Super Giants
153/8
PBPunjab Kings
199/8
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
222/4
PBPunjab Kings
200/8
MIMumbai Indians
205/4
PBPunjab Kings
210/5
DCDelhi Capitals
216/7
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
235/4
PBPunjab Kings
202/7
GTGujarat Titans
167/6
PBPunjab Kings
163/9
PBPunjab Kings
222/4
RRRajasthan Royals
228/4
DCDelhi Capitals
264/2
PBPunjab Kings
265/4
PBPunjab Kings
254/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
200/5
MIMumbai Indians
195/6
PBPunjab Kings
198/3
PBPunjab Kings
223/4
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
219/6
RCB
14
9-5
18
GT
14
9-5
18
SRH
14
9-5
18
RR
13
7-6
14
PBKS
13
6-6
13
KKR
13
6-6
13
CSK
14
6-8
12
DC
13
6-7
12
MI
13
4-9
8
LSG
13
4-9
8
RCB
14
9
5
—
+0.744
18
GT
14
9
5
—
+0.695
18
SRH
14
9
5
—
+0.524
18
RR
13
7
6
—
+0.083
14
PBKS
13
6
6
1
+0.227
13
KKR
13
6
6
1
+0.011
13
CSK
14
6
8
—
-0.345
12
DC
13
6
7
—
-0.871
12
MI
13
4
9
—
-0.510
8
LSG
13
4
9
—
-0.639
8
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