

Match Prediction
PBKS come in on a five-match unbeaten streak and sit top of the IPL regular-season table. DC are sixth with 6 points and have not chased down 200 this season in three attempts. ESPN notes DC have fallen short in eight of their 10 pursuits of 200 or more since 2024. PBKS’ powerplay batting has been driven by Priyansh Arya, and their chasing has been led in large part by Shreyas Iyer.
Toss & Conditions
The last match at the Kotla saw 419 runs, with GT defending one run off the last ball, and David Miller turning down a single was a major talking point. ESPN says this game will be on a similar deck, with a fortnight since that match leaving enough sheen on the surface to produce another high-scoring game.
Head-to-Head
DC have won 2 of the last 3 head-to-head matches vs PBKS, including wins on 2025-05-24 and 2023-05-17.
Delhi Capitals
DC are #6 in the IPL regular season with 6 points (3W-3L) and NRR -0.130. In their last three matches they lost to SRH by 47 runs, beat RCB by 6 wickets, and lost to CSK by 23 runs.
Punjab Kings
PBKS are #1 in the IPL regular season with 11 points (5W-0L) and NRR +1.420, currently in the playoff zone. In their last three matches they beat LSG by 54 runs, beat MI by 7 wickets, and beat SRH by 6 wickets.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- PBKS are on a five-match unbeaten streak, two short of their best run across 2013-14.
- DC are yet to chase down 200 this season in three attempts, and since 2024 have fallen short in eight of their 10 pursuits of 200 or more.
- PBKS are joint-toppers for powerplay run rate (11.33), while DC’s powerplay run rate is 8.69 and only LSG (8.19) are worse.
- Priyansh Arya has a powerplay strike rate of 258 (best among batters with at least 50 balls faced this IPL season) and hits a boundary every two balls in that phase.
- DC have two of the top four death-overs economy rates this IPL: T Natarajan (8.25) and Lungi Ngidi (8.3), behind only Jofra Archer and Bhuvneshwar Kumar.
Key Stats
Verdict
Key Stats favor PBKS 5-3, driven by points (11 vs 6), NRR (+1.42 vs -0.13), and Elo (1610 vs 1494), despite DC leading the last-3 H2H 2-1 and having better mid/death economy. All four models favor PBKS, with a model-average win probability of PBKS 64% vs DC 36% (ML 57%, AI1 72%, AI2 65%, Math 64%). Bookmakers also lean PBKS at 56% (odds 1.71) vs DC 44% (odds 2.16), with the decisive factors in the data being PBKS’ superior NRR and Elo plus their 100% win rate across the last three matches.
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
242/2
DCDelhi Capitals
195/9
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
175/8
DCDelhi Capitals
179/4
CSChennai Super Kings
212/1
DCDelhi Capitals
189/10
DCDelhi Capitals
209/8
GTGujarat Titans
210/4
DCDelhi Capitals
164/4
MIMumbai Indians
162/6
LSLucknow Super Giants
141/10
DCDelhi Capitals
145/4
PBPunjab Kings
206/8
DCDelhi Capitals
208/4
MIMumbai Indians
180/5
DCDelhi Capitals
121/10
DCDelhi Capitals
199/3
GTGujarat Titans
205/0
DCDelhi Capitals
190/9
KKKolkata Knight Riders
204/9
DC7
PB3
PBPunjab Kings
206/8
DCDelhi Capitals
208/4
PBPunjab Kings
177/6
DCDelhi Capitals
174/9
PBPunjab Kings
198/7
DCDelhi Capitals
213/2
DCDelhi Capitals
136/8
PBPunjab Kings
167/7
PBPunjab Kings
142/9
DCDelhi Capitals
159/7
DCDelhi Capitals
119/1
PBPunjab Kings
115/10
PBPunjab Kings
166/6
DCDelhi Capitals
167/3
DCDelhi Capitals
198/4
PBPunjab Kings
195/4
PBPunjab Kings
167/5
DCDelhi Capitals
164/5
DCDelhi Capitals
157/8
PBPunjab Kings
157/8
PBPunjab Kings
254/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
200/5
MIMumbai Indians
195/6
PBPunjab Kings
198/3
PBPunjab Kings
223/4
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
219/6
CSChennai Super Kings
209/5
PBPunjab Kings
210/5
PBPunjab Kings
165/7
GTGujarat Titans
162/6
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
190/9
PBPunjab Kings
184/7
PBPunjab Kings
207/5
MIMumbai Indians
203/6
PBPunjab Kings
101/10
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
106/2
PBPunjab Kings
187/3
MIMumbai Indians
184/7
PBPunjab Kings
206/8
DCDelhi Capitals
208/4
PBKS
6
5-0
11
RCB
7
5-2
10
RR
7
5-2
10
SRH
7
4-3
8
CSK
7
3-4
6
DC
6
3-3
6
GT
7
3-4
6
MI
7
2-5
4
LSG
7
2-5
4
KKR
7
1-5
3
PBKS
6
5
0
1
+1.420
11
RCB
7
5
2
—
+1.101
10
RR
7
5
2
—
+0.790
10
SRH
7
4
3
—
+0.820
8
CSK
7
3
4
—
+0.118
6
DC
6
3
3
—
-0.130
6
GT
7
3
4
—
-0.790
6
MI
7
2
5
—
-0.736
4
LSG
7
2
5
—
-1.277
4
KKR
7
1
5
1
-0.879
3
PBKSWNWWW
RCBLWWLW
RRWWLLW
SRHLLWWW
CSKLWWLW
DCWLLWL
GTWWWLL
MILLLWL
LSGWLLLL
KKRNLLLW
