Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Across the last three meetings, SL-W lead 2-1. In the most recent matchup, SL-W won by 47 runs after posting 141/4 and bowling WF-W out for 94. The defining feature was WF-W being dismissed for 94 in the chase. The broader pattern in these three games is that SL-W have taken two wins, but WF-W have shown they can edge SL-W in a tighter contest.

SLSunrisers Leeds W 141/4

WFWelsh Fire W 94/10

2025-08-07 · Northern Superchargers W won by 47 runs

SLSunrisers Leeds W 144/4

WFWelsh Fire W 128/8

2023-08-22 · Northern Superchargers W won by 16 runs

WFWelsh Fire W 123/6

SLSunrisers Leeds W 112/6

2022-08-26 · WF-W won by 11 runs

Sunrisers Leeds W

Sunrisers Leeds W are 5th on 12 points in the THW Regular Season. Their last two results are wins, and the clearest statement was the 9-wicket victory over Birmingham Phoenix W with 31 balls remaining. Even with a recent 5-run loss to Trent Rockets W, they have quickly turned close margins into back-to-back wins.

SLSunrisers Leeds W 111/1

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 107/9

2026-08-07 · Sunrisers Leeds W won by 9 wickets (with 31 balls remaining)

SLSunrisers Leeds W 142/5

LSLondon Spirit W 136/7

2026-08-04 · SL-W won by 5 wickets (with 2 balls remaining)

SLSunrisers Leeds W 134/5

TRTrent Rockets W 139/7

2026-08-02 · TR-W won by 5 runs

Welsh Fire W

Welsh Fire W are 4th on 12 points in the THW Regular Season. They have won their last two matches, both chases that were decided late, including a 4-wicket win with 0 ball remaining against Southern Brave W. That follows a 7-wicket loss to Birmingham Phoenix W with 1 ball remaining, so their recent run has been defined by fine margins.

WFWelsh Fire W 88/7

MSManchester Super Giants W 85/9

2026-08-05 · WF-W won by 3 wickets (with 9 balls remaining)

WFWelsh Fire W 122/6

SBSouthern Brave W 121/5

2026-08-03 · WF-W won by 4 wickets (with 0 ball remianing)

WFWelsh Fire W 144/3

BPBirmingham Phoenix W 145/3

2026-08-01 · BP-W won by 7 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models favour SL-W, with SL-W averaging 57% across the set (range 53–62%). Bookmakers also side with SL-W at 62% (1.52) vs WF-W at 38% (2.45). The key-stats summary leans WF-W overall at 4-2, despite SL-W holding the head-to-head edge in the last three meetings. This looks set to hinge on whether WF-W’s recent tight-chase momentum can outweigh SL-W’s matchup advantage.

Deepti’s middle-overs squeeze

Deepti Sharma set the tone for a controlled Sunrisers Leeds W win, strangling Welsh Fire W just as their innings threatened to settle. Fire posted 121/8 in 16.4 overs, and despite a punchy late push, they were always chasing par. Sunrisers made the target look light, finishing 122/4 in 12.2 overs to win by six wickets with 26 balls unused, with Phoebe Litchfield’s clean striking ensuring the chase never drifted.

Fire lose the game in the middle

The match swung in the middle phase of Fire’s innings. After a cautious powerplay of 26/1, they collapsed to 56/5 through the middle overs, scoring at just 4.7 an over as Deepti and Hannah Baker tightened the screws. Kemp and Georgia Voll added 42 to give Fire a platform, but once the support acts fell, Kemp was left to manufacture boundaries against set fields. Fire’s death-overs rate (39/2 at 9.3) added respectability, not pressure.

Litchfield cashes in, Deepti seals it

Deepti’s 3/13 was the defining spell, repeatedly forcing Fire into low-percentage shots. Litchfield then made the chase a formality, blasting 55 from 25 and shifting momentum decisively during the middle overs. Her 54-run partnership with Winfield-Hill removed any hint of a wobble, and Annabel Sutherland’s brisk 28 off 18 ensured the finish was clinical rather than cautious.

Pre-match edge becomes on-field control

Sunrisers came in with the stronger matchup profile and that advantage showed in how they controlled the most important phase: overs 5–12. Fire’s recent chase composure never came into play because they were defending without enough runs, and Sunrisers’ bowlers denied them the kind of 140-ish total that can flip a game. Even with Sunrisers’ own recent form patchy, their discipline with the ball created a straightforward chase.