Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Birmingham Phoenix have won all of the last three meetings against London Spirit. In the most recent clash last season, Phoenix chased down the target with 35 balls still left, making it a one-sided finish. The game turned on how comfortably Phoenix controlled the chase to win by seven wickets. The broader pattern is clear: Phoenix have had Spirit’s number across three straight head-to-head wins.

BPBirmingham Phoenix 131/3

LSLondon Spirit 126/6

2025-08-17 · BP won by 7 wickets (with 35 balls remaining)

LSLondon Spirit 127/7

BPBirmingham Phoenix 131/7

2024-07-27 · BP won by 3 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

BPBirmingham Phoenix 185/5

LSLondon Spirit 108/10

2023-08-24 · BP won by 77 runs

London Spirit

London Spirit are 7th in the regular season on 4 points with a 1–5 record, currently outside the playoff zone. Their last three matches have all been defeats, including a four-wicket loss to MI London where the chase was finished with six balls remaining. The recent trend is tight margins and then being beaten before the final over pressure can flip their way.

LSLondon Spirit 160/5

MIMI London 164/6

2026-08-06 · MIL won by 4 wickets (with 6 balls remaining)

LSLondon Spirit 204/6

SLSunrisers Leeds 241/2

2026-08-04 · SL won by 37 runs

LSLondon Spirit 105/10

SBSouthern Brave 111/5

2026-08-01 · SB won by 5 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

Birmingham Phoenix

Birmingham Phoenix are 8th in the regular season on 4 points with a 1–5 record, currently outside the playoff zone. They have lost their last three matches, and the clearest warning sign is being beaten by 45 runs by Sunrisers Leeds in their latest outing. The run of results shows Phoenix repeatedly falling short in both defending and chasing scenarios.

BPBirmingham Phoenix 124/8

SLSunrisers Leeds 169/7

2026-08-07 · SL won by 45 runs

BPBirmingham Phoenix 111/6

TRTrent Rockets 116/3

2026-08-05 · TR won by 7 wickets (with 17 balls remaining)

BPBirmingham Phoenix 137/9

WFWelsh Fire 138/3

2026-08-01 · WF won by 7 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models favour London Spirit, with the average projection at 58% for LS. Bookmakers agree, pricing LS at 64% (1.50) vs BP at 36% (2.60). Key stats narrowly lean Birmingham Phoenix overall, driven by their head-to-head dominance and stronger recent player-form indicators. The swing factors are whether Spirit’s better NRR translates into a cleaner all-round performance, and whether Phoenix can extend a three-game head-to-head streak despite their current losing run.

Livingstone flips the chase

Livingstone didn’t so much build a chase as detonate it. With Birmingham Phoenix having posted 162/4, London Spirit were briefly made to reset after an early wicket, but Livingstone’s clean striking changed the tempo instantly. The decisive surge came through the middle, and by the time Spirit crossed the line at 166/3 in 13.4 overs, the contest had been reduced to a race they were always winning — a 7-wicket victory with 18 balls unused.

Middle overs: 99-run punch

The match swung in the middle phase, where Spirit turned a manageable target into a mismatch. Phoenix had crawled to 21/1 in the powerplay, leaving themselves to catch up later, and Spirit’s bowlers kept them from truly exploding until the end. In reply, Spirit’s middle overs produced 116/2 at 9.7 an over, powered by the 99-run partnership between Livingstone and Brevis that stripped Phoenix of any control before the death overs even arrived.

Clarke shines, Spirit finishers

Clarke was Phoenix’s best hope, striking 73 from 42 and anchoring their best stand — 91 with Sean Dickson — to set a competitive total. But Spirit’s chase had two match-shapers: Livingstone’s 66 at a strike-rate of 220, and Brevis’ 55 off 31 that ensured the assault didn’t pause. With James Coles (1/25) and Mason Crane (1/26) keeping Phoenix’s innings from running away, Spirit’s batters had the freedom to attack early and finish ruthlessly.

Pre-match edges, on-field proof

The build-up suggested Spirit’s cleaner all-round output could outweigh Phoenix’s head-to-head momentum, and that’s how it played out. Phoenix’s recent slide showed up in their start: a powerplay run-rate of 5.2 put pressure on Clarke to play catch-up. Spirit, by contrast, began at 10.5 in the powerplay and never had to take reckless risks, making Phoenix’s late push feel like too little, too late.