

Match Prediction
Hampshire T20B Regular Season mein 12 points aur 3W-1L record ke saath 3rd par hain. Sussex 13th par 4 points ke saath 1W-2L pe hain. Hampshire three-match winning run ke saath aa rahe hain, jabki Sussex ne apne last three mein se do matches drop kiye hain. Table pressure Sussex pe zyada hai, kyunki Hampshire ne early points pehle hi bank kar liye hain.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Last three head-to-heads mein Hampshire 2-1 se lead karte hain. Most recent meeting mein Hampshire ne Sussex ka total chase karke 16 balls remaining ke saath match nikaal liya, ek controlled finish banate hue. Usse pehle wali clash mein bhi Hampshire jeeta tha, jahan Sussex bowled out ho gaye the aur Hampshire ne bigger total post kiya tha. In teen games mein edge swing hota raha hai, but last two mein se dono Hampshire ne le liye hain.
Hampshire
Hampshire T20B Regular Season mein 12 points ke saath 3rd par hain. Wo three-match winning streak pe aa rahe hain, aur unki latest win ek chase thi jo 36 balls remaining ke saath wrap up ho gayi. Is run mein ek tight finish bhi aaya aur ek zyada comfortable margin bhi, jo dikhata hai ki ye team games close karne ke tareeke dhoond chuki hai.
Sussex
Sussex T20B Regular Season mein 4 points ke saath 13th par hain. Unke last three matches ek stop-start run jaise रहे: ek chase win, phir do defeats, including latest loss jahan Middlesex ne bigger total put up kiya aur 31 runs se jeet gaye. Is stretch mein Sussex do high-scoring games mein wrong side pe rahe hain.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models Hampshire ke favour mein consensus par hain, average probability 69% (range 63–74%) hai. Bookmakers bhi same view ke saath align karte hain: Hampshire 61% (1.55) vs Sussex 39% (2.40). Key stats overall Hampshire ko clean 8-0 dete hain, jo season output aur recent momentum mein gap point karta hai. Agar Sussex Hampshire ki current run ko disrupt nahi kar paata, to evidence ka balance firmly home side ke saath hi rahega.
Dawson flips the script
Liam Dawson owned the night twice: first by steadying Hampshire after early damage, then by puncturing Sussex’s chase just as it threatened to run away. Hampshire’s 173/6 looked unlikely when they slipped to 39/3 in the powerplay, but Dawson’s calm counterpunch set up a defendable total. Sussex, for all their early swagger, couldn’t sustain it and were bowled out for 144 in 17.3 overs, handing Hampshire a 29-run win.
Middle overs choke Sussex
The match swung hard in the middle phase of Sussex’s chase. After racing to 67/1 in the powerplay, they managed only 55 runs while losing eight wickets in the middle overs, a collapse that turned a strong platform into a scramble. Hampshire’s bowlers tightened lengths and forced risk: boundaries dried up, singles became hard work, and wickets followed in clusters. By the time Sussex tried to launch at the death, the required rate and lost wickets had already boxed them in.
Dawson, Stubbs set the tone
Dawson’s 52 off 35 was the innings that changed Hampshire’s trajectory, and his 65-run stand with Tristan Stubbs (36 off 23) gave the total its spine. With the ball, Dawson’s 3/20 was perfectly timed to break Sussex’s momentum after the powerplay. Chris Wood’s 2/20 kept the squeeze on, while Harrison Ward’s 40 off 21, in a 66-run opening partnership with Daniel Hughes, was the fleeting glimpse of a chase that never got the chance to settle.
Pre-match edge, in action
Hampshire’s pre-game advantage was built on better recent form and a bowling match-up that tends to win the key overs, and the contest followed that script even after Sussex’s fast start. Sussex’s powerplay hitting briefly challenged the idea of a straightforward defence, but Hampshire’s control through the middle — the phase that often separates good sides from streaky ones — restored order. The ability to absorb a 39/3 start and still finish strongly also underlined Hampshire’s deeper batting resources.
MIMiddlesex
126/7
HAHampshire
130/2
HAHampshire
177/5
SUSurrey
174/8
HAHampshire
200/4
ESEssex
170/7
SOSomerset
160/3
HAHampshire
158/10
SOSomerset
195/4
HAHampshire
194/6
NONorthamptonshire
158/7
HAHampshire
155/4
DUDurham
195/6
HAHampshire
221/8
ESEssex
222/6
HAHampshire
220/6
HAHampshire
171/4
SUSussex
167/7
HAHampshire
208/4
GLGlamorgan
113/10
HA6
SU4
HAHampshire
171/4
SUSussex
167/7
SUSussex
134/10
HAHampshire
196/8
SUSussex
200/7
HAHampshire
178/10
HAHampshire
177/3
SUSussex
184/8
SUSussex
183/6
HAHampshire
177/9
HAHampshire
145/0
SUSussex
144/10
SUSussex
180/8
HAHampshire
181/5
HAHampshire
199/6
SUSussex
177/6
HAHampshire
184/4
SUSussex
183/6
SUSussex
155/1
HAHampshire
154/7
SUSussex
181/10
MIMiddlesex
213/4
KEKent
199/3
SUSussex
197/6
ESEssex
191/5
SUSussex
192/4
SUSussex
197/7
SUSurrey
204/5
GLGloucestershire
185/5
SUSussex
189/6
HAHampshire
171/4
SUSussex
167/7
ESEssex
148/4
SUSussex
145/10
SUSussex
148/10
KEKent
151/8
SUSussex
134/10
HAHampshire
196/8
KEKent
161/10
SUSussex
195/9
NOR
4
4-0
16
GLO
4
3-1
12
HAM
4
3-1
12
KEN
4
3-1
12
YOR
4
3-1
12
DER
5
2-3
8
SUR
4
2-2
8
ESS
4
2-2
8
SOM
3
2-1
8
DUR
4
2-2
8
WOR
3
2-1
8
GLA
3
1-2
4
SUS
3
1-2
4
LAN
3
1-2
4
MID
4
1-3
4
NOT
4
1-3
4
LEI
4
1-3
4
WAR
4
0-4
0
NOR
4
4
0
—
+1.848
16
GLO
4
3
1
—
+0.940
12
HAM
4
3
1
—
+0.849
12
KEN
4
3
1
—
+0.571
12
YOR
4
3
1
—
+0.527
12
DER
5
2
3
—
+0.856
8
SUR
4
2
2
—
+0.137
8
ESS
4
2
2
—
+0.005
8
SOM
3
2
1
—
-0.111
8
DUR
4
2
2
—
-0.309
8
WOR
3
2
1
—
-1.211
8
GLA
3
1
2
—
+0.943
4
SUS
3
1
2
—
-0.141
4
LAN
3
1
2
—
-0.375
4
MID
4
1
3
—
-0.871
4
NOT
4
1
3
—
-0.923
4
LEI
4
1
3
—
-2.007
4
WAR
4
0
4
—
-1.043
0
NORWWWW
GLOWWLW
HAMLWWW
KENWWLW
YORWWWL
DERLLWWL
SURWWLL
ESSLLWW
SOMWWL
DURWWLL
WORWLW
GLALLW
SUSWLL
LANLWL
MIDLLWL
NOTLLLW
LEILLLW
WARLLLL
