Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Last 1 meeting mein Nottinghamshire 1-0 se lead karta hai. Most recent match mein Nottinghamshire ne 6 wickets se jeeta, 16 balls remaining ke saath. Ye successful chase se decide hua, jahan NOT ne target 129/4 par reach kiya after SUR ne 127/7 banaye. Sirf ek recent data point hone ki wajah se head-to-head trend limited hai, but abhi ke liye tilt NOT ki taraf hai.

SUSurrey 127/7

NONottinghamshire 129/4

2020-10-04 · NOT won by 6 wkts (with 16 balls remaining)

Nottinghamshire

Nottinghamshire 8W-4L ke saath +0.094 net run rate par hai. Unke last three matches mein do close wins dikhte hain, jisme ek 2-run result bhi tha, uske baad 18-run ki defeat. Sabse telling recent result wahi 2-run win hai, jo bilkul fine margins par decide hua.

NONottinghamshire 175/10

YOYorkshire 193/10

2026-07-12 · YOR won by 18 runs

NONottinghamshire 149/4

LELeicestershire 143/7

2026-07-10 · NOT won by 6 wickets (with 10 balls remaining)

NONottinghamshire 166/8

DUDurham 164/6

2026-07-05 · NOT won by 2 runs

Surrey

Surrey 7W-5L ke saath +0.441 net run rate par hai. Unke last three matches mein do convincing wins the, phir ek loss jahan wo 8 wickets se haare, 19 balls remaining ke saath. Clearest signal wahi latest defeat hai, jahan SUR bowled out ho gaya aur opposition ne chase time to spare ke saath complete kar liya.

SUSurrey 123/10

ESEssex 124/2

2026-07-12 · ESS won by 8 wickets (with 19 balls remaining)

SUSurrey 106/1

KEKent 102/10

2026-07-10 · SUR won by 9 wickets (with 67 balls remaining)

SUSurrey 177/2

SUSussex 176/7

2026-07-08 · SUR won by 8 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

Models split hain: model average Nottinghamshire ko 56% par lean karta hai, but moneyline model Surrey ko 51% deta hai. Bookmakers model average se diverge kar rahe hain, Surrey ko 56% (1.70) aur Nottinghamshire ko 44% (2.10) price karte hue. Key stats Nottinghamshire ko 4-1 overall lean karte hain, mainly Elo edge aur last head-to-head win ki wajah se, jabki Surrey ka stronger net run rate main counterweight hai. Match ka turning point ye ho sakta hai ki NOT ki efficiency edges SUR ke higher season scoring momentum ke against hold karti hain ya nahi.

Haynes sets, Surrey stall

Jack Haynes’ 75 was the innings that kept Nottinghamshire ahead of the game, but the decisive twist came at the back end of Surrey’s chase. Jason Roy had them tracking the target through a 101-run stand with Laurie Evans, yet Nottinghamshire held their nerve in the final overs to win by 7 runs, dragging Surrey from a position of comfort into a finish-line scramble.

Death overs slam the door

The match swung almost entirely in the last five overs. Surrey were 128/3 after 15, needing a manageable 36 from 30 balls, but Nottinghamshire’s bowlers shut down the boundary options and forced errors: just 28 came in the death phase, with four wickets falling. That late choke contrasted sharply with Surrey’s brisk powerplay (46/0) and kept Roy’s 76 from 50 balls from becoming a match-winning anchor.

Jordan shines, Linde answers

Chris Jordan was outstanding for Surrey, conceding only 22 while taking 3 wickets, and he helped keep Nottinghamshire to 163/6 when a bigger total was on offer. Haynes’ 68-run partnership with Joe Pocklington provided the platform, but George Linde’s 2/23 was the control act that made the chase uncomfortable. Stone’s 2/23 added the punch, striking at key moments to turn pressure into wickets when Surrey tried to accelerate.

Pre-match edges show up late

The pre-game read was that Nottinghamshire’s small efficiency advantages could matter if they could keep Surrey from running away with the scoring rate. That’s exactly how it played out: Surrey’s season momentum showed early, but Nottinghamshire’s tighter execution at the end outweighed it. Even after a quiet powerplay with the bat (34/2), Nottinghamshire rebuilt through the middle overs and ensured Surrey would need a clean finish rather than a cruise.