Hampshire W is matchup me 8–2 record aur +1.049 net run rate ke saath aa rahe hain. Durham W 7–4 par hain, +0.415 NRR ke saath. Hampshire ke last three games me do wins hain, jabki Durham ne apne last three me se do drop kiye hain. Recent head-to-head Durham ki taraf tilted hai, but latest meeting Hampshire ne jeeti.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Last three head-to-heads me Durham W 2–1 se lead karte hain. Most recent meeting me Hampshire W ne target chase kar liya 19 balls remaining ke saath aur 8 wickets se jeete, pehle Durham ko 128/7 tak roka aur phir 131/2 par finish kiya. Wo game Hampshire ke chase control aur unke paas wickets in hand rehne se define hua. Last three meetings me results swing hue hain—Hampshire ke latest response se pehle wale do Durham ne jeete the.
Hampshire W
Hampshire W tournament me 8–2 hain, +1.049 NRR ke saath. Unke last three matches me do wins dikhte hain, including ek chase jahan wo 6 balls remaining ke saath home aa gaye, phir apne latest outing me 6-wicket defeat, 14 balls remaining ke saath. Pattern ye hai ki side ab bhi zyada jeet rahi hai than lose, but abhi ek aise result se aa rahe hain jahan wo defend close out nahi kar paaye.
Durham W
Durham W 7–4 par hain, +0.415 NRR ke saath. Unhone apne last three me se do lose kiye hain, including ek 12-run defeat jahan unhone 162/4 concede kiya aur reply me 150/6 bana paaye. Us stretch me unki ek win ek chase thi jo 4 balls remaining ke saath finish hui, but recent results tighter margins aur games ke end me kam control dikhate hain.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Prediction
All four models Hampshire W ko favour karte hain, model average 62% HAM-W ke liye hai. Bookmakers bhi isi lean ke saath align hain: HAM-W 54% (1.75) vs DUR-W 46% (2.05). Key stats narrowly Hampshire ko 4–3 overall favour karte hain, mainly unke stronger NRR aur better last-three win rate ki wajah se. Durham ka last three head-to-heads me edge hi main counterweight hai Hampshire ke broader season profile ke against.
Turner punctures Hampshire’s surge
Sophia Turner turned Hampshire’s bright start into a scramble, and Durham kept their nerve to win by 4 wickets with 4 balls remaining. Hampshire flew to 50/2 in the powerplay, but Turner’s control through the middle overs ensured the innings never regained momentum. Durham’s chase had its own stutter after a calm opening, yet a decisive partnership and a composed finish carried them past 129.
Middle overs squeeze decides it
The game swung in the middle phase where Hampshire lost five wickets for 55 runs (overs 7–16), sliding from early dominance into damage limitation. Turner’s 3/21 headlined that squeeze, while Katie Levick’s 1/18 helped keep boundaries scarce and forced risk against the spin. In contrast, Durham matched Hampshire’s mid-overs rate (55/5) but crucially had a platform from 48/0 in the powerplay, meaning their wobble didn’t become a collapse.
Villiers-Armitage calm, Graham closes
Turner was the difference-maker, breaking partnerships and dictating tempo. In the chase, Mady Villiers (25 off 27) and Hollie Armitage stitched the key 50-run stand that rebuilt after wickets fell, taking Durham from pressure into control. Heather Graham’s 35 off 32 then ensured the required rate never spiked, even as Hampshire’s Poppy Tulloch (2/22) kept the finish honest late on.
Home edge didn’t translate
Pre-match numbers leaned Hampshire’s way: stronger recent form, home record and a projected edge in matchups. But the contest followed Durham’s preferred script — absorb the powerplay, then attack the middle with tighter lengths and slower bowling. Hampshire’s best stand was only 29 (Ella McCaughan and Georgia Adams), and once the early momentum faded, their death-overs 24/1 wasn’t enough to reset the chase.

