

Match Prediction
Derbyshire aur Durham apna season ek dusre ke against open kar rahe hain, aur recent history Durham ki taraf lean karti hai—last 3 meetings me se 2 Durham ne jeete hain. Derbyshire ka latest result (dusri competition me) ek heavy 127-run loss tha, jab woh 106 pe dismissed ho gaye. Durham ka most recent match 26-run defeat pe end hua, despite 195/6 score karne ke. Dono sides contrasting recent results ke saath aati hain aur is tournament me fresh start milega.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Last three meetings me Durham 2–1 se lead karta hai. Most recent clash me Durham 16 runs se jeeta, jab Derbyshire 168 chase karte hue 152 pe bowled out ho gaya. Woh finish zyada Derbyshire ke chase me all ten wickets lose karne se driven tha, na ki target tak batting through karne se. Overall pattern narrow hai but clear: Durham ne last do head-to-head games jeete hain.
Derbyshire
Derbyshire apne season opener me aa raha hai dusri competition me mixed run ke baad, jahan last 3 matches me 2 losses hain. Sabse telling result Warwickshire ke against 127-run defeat tha, jisme Derbyshire 106 pe dismissed ho gaya. Haan, us spell me confidence boost bhi mila—Yorkshire ko 8 wickets se haraya, 20 balls remaining ke saath.
Durham
Durham apna season start kar raha hai ek recent run ke baad jisme dusri competition me last 3 matches me 2 defeats include hain. Us stretch ka standout performance Northamptonshire ke against 9-wicket win tha, 203 chase karke 21 balls remaining ke saath. Most recently, woh Hampshire se 26 runs se haar gaye, despite 195/6 banane ke.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models Durham ke favour me consensus me hain, average call 62% DUR ke liye (range 60–64%). Bookmakers bhi Durham ko side kar rahe hain—DUR 59% (1.57) vs DER 41% (2.25). Key stats Durham ki taraf 4–1 overall lean karte hain, mainly Elo edge aur last three head-to-heads me 2–1 advantage ki wajah se. Swing factor yeh hai ki kya Derbyshire ek aur batting collapse avoid karke Durham ko tighter finish me push kar paata hai.
Ackermann’s late-overs squeeze
Colin Ackermann’s control at the back end proved the difference as Durham survived a tense finish to win by 6 runs. Durham’s openers had launched them into position, but the innings lost momentum after the middle overs, leaving Derbyshire a chase that always felt just within reach. Montgomery then threatened to steal it, yet Durham kept finding dots and breakthroughs just as the target came into focus.
Durham’s death overs hold firm
The game swung in the final phase of each innings. Durham managed only 30/4 at the death after racing through the powerplay, but that modest finish still mattered because Derbyshire couldn’t cash in late either. With the chase set up, Durham’s bowlers tightened from the 16th over onwards, forcing Montgomery and then the lower order to hit to the longer pockets; the required rate climbed just enough for a couple of miscued boundary attempts to become wickets.
Montgomery shines, Ackermann answers
Montgomery’s 76 off 46 was the innings of the night, mixing clean straight hitting with smart placement to keep Derbyshire in the hunt. His 70-run partnership with Whiteley gave the chase shape and briefly flipped the pressure back onto Durham. But Ackermann’s 3/31 provided the key wickets and, just as importantly, the overs that didn’t leak — the kind of spell that turns a defendable 203 into a winning one.
Elo edge, but not a stroll
Pre-match numbers leaned Durham, and the contest followed that script without being comfortable. Their advantage was built on getting ahead early with the bat — 67/0 in the powerplay — which insulated them against the wobble that followed. Derbyshire, though, showed the upside hinted by their matchup strengths: they kept scoring through the middle and avoided a full collapse, turning it into a tight finish rather than a chase that fizzled out.
DEDerbyshire
106/10
WAWarwickshire
233/5
YOYorkshire
151/9
DEDerbyshire
157/2
NONorthamptonshire
237/4
DEDerbyshire
224/6
DEDerbyshire
162/6
WOWorcestershire
174/6
DEDerbyshire
201/3
YOYorkshire
200/6
LALancashire
178/6
DEDerbyshire
136/6
DEDerbyshire
163/10
LALancashire
243/7
DEDerbyshire
197/3
LELeicestershire
196/5
NONottinghamshire
153/9
DEDerbyshire
199/5
DUDurham
168/6
DEDerbyshire
152/10
DE3
DU5
DUDurham
168/6
DEDerbyshire
152/10
DEDerbyshire
155/8
DUDurham
159/2
DUDurham
178/10
DEDerbyshire
178/5
DEDerbyshire
194/5
DUDurham
193/5
DUDurham
176/9
DEDerbyshire
180/4
DUDurham
223/2
DEDerbyshire
168/5
DEDerbyshire
153/7
DUDurham
160/5
DEDerbyshire
164/7
DUDurham
161/7
DUDurham
193/2
DEDerbyshire
180/9
DUDurham
195/6
HAHampshire
221/8
DUDurham
204/1
NONorthamptonshire
203/5
LALancashire
156/7
DUDurham
155/6
NONottinghamshire
159/3
DUDurham
156/10
DUDurham
182/7
WAWarwickshire
174/8
DUDurham
231/5
NONottinghamshire
182/10
DUDurham
193/4
YOYorkshire
130/10
WOWorcestershire
156/4
DUDurham
155/6
YOYorkshire
128/10
DUDurham
131/4
NONorthamptonshire
142/8
DUDurham
157/8
DER
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0-0
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ESS
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0-0
0
LEI
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WOR
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0-0
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NOR
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GLA
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NOT
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YOR
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0-0
0
DUR
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0-0
0
GLO
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0-0
0
SUS
0
0-0
0
WAR
0
0-0
0
MID
0
0-0
0
KEN
0
0-0
0
SOM
0
0-0
0
HAM
0
0-0
0
SUR
0
0-0
0
LAN
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0-0
0
DER
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0
—
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ESS
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WOR
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GLO
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SUS
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WAR
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MID
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LAN
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DER
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LEI
WOR
NOR
GLA
NOT
YOR
DUR
GLO
SUS
WAR
MID
KEN
SOM
HAM
SUR
LAN
