Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Last three meetings me Yorkshire 2–1 se lead karta hai. Most recent clash me Yorkshire ne Nottinghamshire ko 9 runs se edge kiya—175/8 post karke 166/9 ke against defend kiya. Match ka decision yahi tha ki Yorkshire ne Nottinghamshire ko target se 9 runs short rok diya. Last three me results one-sided nahi rahe, kaafi tight रहे hain, aur dono teams ne wins trade kiye hain.

NONottinghamshire 166/9

YOYorkshire 175/8

2025-06-11 · YOR won by 9 runs

YOYorkshire 181/6

NONottinghamshire 209/9

2024-07-19 · NOT won by 28 runs

NONottinghamshire 174/4

YOYorkshire 182/7

2023-05-30 · YOR won by 8 runs

Nottinghamshire

Nottinghamshire ke last three matches me bounce-back pattern dikhta hai: 45-run loss ke baad do wins. Unka sabse telling recent result Lancashire ke against 4-wicket win tha, jo 28 balls remaining ke saath complete hua. Unhone Durham ko bhi 7 wickets se 8 balls remaining ke saath beat kiya, jo suggest karta hai ki jab wo top par aate hain to chases ko time in hand ke saath finish karte hain.

NONottinghamshire 127/6

LALancashire 126/10

2025-07-18 · NOT won by 4 wickets (with 28 balls remaining)

NONottinghamshire 161/10

WOWorcestershire 206/7

2025-07-17 · WOR won by 45 runs

NONottinghamshire 159/3

DUDurham 156/10

2025-07-11 · NOT won by 7 wickets (with 8 balls remaining)

Yorkshire

Yorkshire apne season opener me mixed last three ke saath aa raha hai—do defeats ke baad ek win. Standout result Leicestershire ke against 2-wicket win hai, 0 balls remaining ke saath, matlab finish last delivery tak gaya. Iske dono side, unhone Lancashire se 21 runs se aur Derbyshire se 8 wickets se loss khaya, to recent trend uneven raha hai.

YOYorkshire 188/8

LELeicestershire 185/10

2025-07-18 · YOR won by 2 wickets (with 0 balls remaining)

YOYorkshire 153/10

LALancashire 174/10

2025-07-17 · LAN won by 21 runs

YOYorkshire 151/9

DEDerbyshire 157/2

2025-07-13 · DER won by 8 wickets (with 20 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models Nottinghamshire ko favour karte hain, average projection 58% NOT ke liye hai. Bookmakers isse diverge kar rahe hain—NOT ko 47% (1.96) aur YOR ko 53% (1.76) price kiya hai. Overall key stats Yorkshire ki taraf lean karte hain 4–2, despite Nottinghamshire Elo aur recent winrate me lead kar raha hai. Ye match likely is baat par hinge karega ki kya Nottinghamshire ke stronger recent results, Yorkshire ke edge ko bowling-economy splits aur recent head-to-head me overcome kar paate hain ya nahi.

Bairstow breaks the chase open

Jonny Bairstow’s intent after the powerplay was the turning point, as he and James Wharton turned a manageable target into a stress-free finish. Yorkshire won by seven wickets with 21 balls remaining, cruising to 169/3 in 16.3 overs after Nottinghamshire’s 167/7 had briefly looked competitive on a decent batting surface.

Middle overs are the knockout

The game was decided between overs 7 and 15, when Yorkshire’s chase accelerated beyond Nottinghamshire’s control. After a steady 50/2 in the powerplay, Bairstow and Wharton tore through the middle phase at 11.2 an over, adding 112/1 and effectively ending the contest before the death overs arrived. Nottinghamshire, by contrast, lost momentum in their own middle overs: 74/4 at 7.4 an over, with wickets preventing any sustained surge.

Bairstow and Wharton set tone

Bairstow’s 83 off 47 was the innings that changed the evening, mixing power with smart targeting once the field spread. Wharton’s 55 off 41 played the perfect second hand, keeping the stand moving until the finish was inevitable. For Nottinghamshire, Benny Howell’s 31 off 13 provided late lift at the death, but it was never enough to offset a middle-overs slide and a chase dominated by one decisive partnership.

Pre-match form flips on its head

Nottinghamshire came in with the stronger recent results and a home run that suggested they could dictate terms, especially with projections leaning their way. But the match-up that mattered was Yorkshire’s ability to control innings tempo: Jafer Chohan’s 2/26 squeezed Nottinghamshire’s options, and once the chase began, Nottinghamshire’s attack couldn’t apply the same brakes. Dillon Pennington’s expensive spell (2/63) summed up the problem—any small opening was immediately punished.