Toss & Conditions

The match is on Pitch No. 4, which has produced two low-scoring games in IPL 2026, and LSG were bowled out for 141 and 119 on this surface in defeats. Fast bowlers took 23 of the 30 wickets in those two games, while across IPL matches since 2024 on this pitch spinners have been only marginally more economical than quicks (9.35 vs 9.51).

Head-to-Head

पिछली तीन भिड़ंतों में CSK 2-1 से आगे है। सबसे हालिया मुकाबले में CSK ने 5 wickets से जीत दर्ज की, एक ऐसे chase में जो अंतिम 4 balls तक गया। मैच का फैसला tight finish में CSK के लक्ष्य पार करने से हुआ, जबकि LSG ने अपनी innings 8 down पर समाप्त की। पिछली तीन भिड़ंतों का पैटर्न मिला-जुला रहा है, जिसमें दोनों टीमों ने करीबी मैच जीते हैं।

CSChennai Super Kings 208/5

LSLucknow Super Giants 203/8

2026-05-10 · CSK won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

LSLucknow Super Giants 166/7

CSChennai Super Kings 168/5

2025-04-14 · CSK won by 5 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

CSChennai Super Kings 210/4

LSLucknow Super Giants 213/4

2024-04-23 · LSG won by 6 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

Lucknow Super Giants

LSG IPL regular season में 6 points के साथ 10वें स्थान पर है। उनके पिछले तीन मैचों में दो हार और एक जीत शामिल है, और ताज़ा मैच CSK के खिलाफ 5-wicket हार रहा, एक ऐसे chase में जो 4 balls शेष रहते समाप्त हुआ। उनकी सबसे हालिया जीत DLS method के जरिए Royal Challengers Bengaluru के खिलाफ 9 runs से आई थी।

LSLucknow Super Giants 203/8

CSChennai Super Kings 208/5

2026-05-10 · CSK won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

LSLucknow Super Giants 209/3

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 203/6

2026-05-07 · LSG won by 9 runs (DLS method)

LSLucknow Super Giants 228/5

MIMumbai Indians 229/4

2026-05-04 · MI won by 6 wickets (with 8 balls remaining)

Chennai Super Kings

CSK IPL regular season में 12 points के साथ 5वें स्थान पर है और फिलहाल playoff zone के भीतर है। उन्होंने अपने पिछले तीनों मैच जीते हैं, जिसमें Delhi Capitals पर 8-wicket जीत और Mumbai Indians पर 8-wicket जीत शामिल है। उनकी ताज़ा जीत LSG के खिलाफ 5-wicket chase रही, जिसमें 4 balls शेष थे।

CSChennai Super Kings 208/5

LSLucknow Super Giants 203/8

2026-05-10 · CSK won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

CSChennai Super Kings 159/2

DCDelhi Capitals 155/7

2026-05-05 · CSK won by 8 wickets (with 15 balls remaining)

CSChennai Super Kings 160/2

MIMumbai Indians 159/7

2026-05-02 · CSK won by 8 wickets (with 11 balls remaining)

Playing XI

News & Facts

Key Stats

Verdict

चारों models CSK के पक्ष में हैं, और model average CSK 68% बनाम LSG 32% है। Bookmakers इसे लगभग coin-flip के करीब मान रहे हैं, जहाँ LSG की pricing 49% (1.91) बनाम CSK 51% (1.90) है। Key stats कुल मिलाकर CSK की ओर भारी झुकाव दिखाते हैं (7-1), जिसका आधार points का अंतर, बेहतर NRR, मजबूत Elo, पिछले तीन मैचों में 3-0 की run, और death-overs economy में स्पष्ट बढ़त है। swing factor यह है कि CSK को injured Jamie Overton की जगह बिना like-for-like option के replacement करना होगा।

Marsh blows the chase open

Mitchell Marsh didn’t just pace a chase — he detonated it. After CSK posted 187/5, Marsh’s 90 off 38 set the tone for a ruthless reply, and Lucknow Super Giants cruised home by seven wickets with 20 balls remaining. Even when three wickets fell in the middle overs, the damage had already been done: the required rate never felt like it belonged to the bowling side.

Powerplay blitz flips the script

The match was effectively won in the first six overs. LSG rocketed to 86/0 in the powerplay, turning a par-looking target into a chase that demanded only containment. CSK’s bowlers briefly found a grip through the middle as LSG went 78/3, but the early surge meant those strikes arrived too late to create real scoreboard pressure. By the time the death overs began, LSG needed just 24, and they closed it out in 16.4.

Marsh, Maharaj set the frame

Marsh was the headline act, mixing clean hitting with smart targeting to keep the chase ahead of the curve. Josh Inglis’ 36 off 32 played the stabiliser in their 129-run partnership, ensuring the early momentum didn’t leak away. With the ball, Akash Maharaj Singh’s 3/26 was the key restraint that stopped CSK from pushing beyond 200 — a ceiling that might have finally tested LSG’s middle-overs wobble.

CSK’s edges never showed up

Pre-match numbers leaned CSK: better recent form, a sizeable Elo gap, and a projected death-overs economy advantage. None of that mattered once their top order stumbled to 37/2 in the powerplay, forcing a catch-up innings. Kartik Sharma’s 71 off 42 and a 70-run stand with Dewald Brevis repaired the total, but 187 felt defendable only if CSK could win the new-ball phase — and they lost it heavily.