

Match Prediction
RR vs DC is set for Jaipur on Friday night, with Mitchell Starc available for DC after a shoulder injury. RR are #4 on 12 points (6W-3L) and are currently in the playoff zone. DC are #7 on 6 points (3W-5L) and have lost their last three matches. RR beat PBKS by 6 wickets in their last game, while DC lost to RCB by 9 wickets after being dismissed for 75.
Toss & Conditions
The match will be played on pitch no. 4, where the last three IPL night games saw first-innings scores of 196/3, 217/2, and 206/8. Two of those totals were defended unsuccessfully, pointing to another high-scoring night where chasing has recently worked on this strip.
Head-to-Head
DC lead 2-1 in the last three meetings with RR. The most recent match on 2025-04-16 ended tied at 188/5 (DC) and 188/4 (RR). The note states the match was tied and DC won the one-over eliminator. In the previous meeting on 2024-05-07, DC won by 20 runs after scoring 221/8 to RR’s 201/8.
Rajasthan Royals
RR are #4 with 12 points (6W-3L) and are currently in the playoff zone. They have won 2 of their last 3 matches, including a 6-wicket win over PBKS chasing 228/4.
Delhi Capitals
DC are #7 with 6 points (3W-5L). They have lost their last three matches, most recently being bowled out for 75 and losing to RCB by 9 wickets.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- Mitchell Starc is available for DC after recovering from a shoulder injury; he joined the squad only a few days ago and has been bowling in the DC nets.
- DC are on a three-match losing streak and were bowled out for 75 in their previous match against RCB.
- In IPL 2026, DC have picked up seven powerplay wickets (joint-fewest with KKR), while RR have taken 21; Jofra Archer has nine powerplay wickets.
- Vaibhav Sooryavanshi and Yashasvi Jaiswal have added 451 runs this season at an average of 50.11 and a run rate of 12.13.
- RR captain Riyan Parag was fined 25% of his match fee and given one demerit point after being caught vaping in the dressing room during the game against PBKS.
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour RR, with RR projected at 60–74% and a 65% model average. Bookmakers also lean RR at 57% (1.68) vs DC at 43% (2.22). Key stats favour RR 6-2 overall; the matchup is shaped by RR’s stronger recent results and DC’s three-game losing run. The contest also features DC adding Starc while RR’s powerplay wicket-taking has been a standout metric in the provided data.
Rahul and Nissanka go hard
Lokesh Rahul’s calm violence at the top, backed by Pathum Nissanka’s free-flowing strokeplay, flipped a 225 chase into a statement. Delhi Capitals overhauled Rajasthan Royals’ 225/6 with 5 balls to spare, finishing 226/3 in 19.1 overs, and never let the asking rate settle. Even when RR briefly clawed back through the middle, Rahul’s ability to reset and then accelerate ensured DC stayed ahead of the game’s tempo.
Powerplay blow sets chase
The match was effectively won in the first six overs of the chase. DC raced to 70/0 in the powerplay at 11.7 an over, wiping out RR’s early advantage and forcing their bowlers into defensive fields far too soon. That start also insulated DC from the only real wobble: the middle overs where RR claimed three wickets and DC went 114/3. But with the platform built, the finish stayed uncomplicated — 42 without loss in the death overs, the chase closing before RR could manufacture a late squeeze.
Parag’s peak, DC’s finishers
Parag’s 90 off 50 was the innings of the match, lifting RR from 56/2 in the powerplay into a commanding position through the middle. Mitchell Starc’s 3/40 was DC’s key check, breaking rhythm just enough to keep 225 within reach. Then Rahul (75 off 40) and Nissanka (62 off 33) did the heavy lifting, with Rahul’s late control — especially after the middle-overs wickets — ensuring DC’s chase never spiralled into panic.
Pre-match edge, on-field reversal
Everything pointed to a Rajasthan game: better recent results, a sizeable Elo gap, and a reputation for powerplay wicket-taking. Instead, RR struck twice early while DC’s openers batted as if those trends didn’t exist, turning the matchup on its head. RR’s own innings had a similar twist — Riyan Parag and Dhruv Jurel’s 102-run stand powered them, but the final overs didn’t create separation, leaving a chaseable target on a night when the ball came on.
PBPunjab Kings
222/4
RRRajasthan Royals
228/4
RRRajasthan Royals
228/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
229/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
119/10
RRRajasthan Royals
159/6
KKKolkata Knight Riders
161/6
RRRajasthan Royals
155/9
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
216/6
RRRajasthan Royals
159/10
RRRajasthan Royals
202/4
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
201/8
RRRajasthan Royals
150/3
MIMumbai Indians
123/9
GTGujarat Titans
204/8
RRRajasthan Royals
210/6
RRRajasthan Royals
128/2
CSChennai Super Kings
127/10
CSChennai Super Kings
187/8
RRRajasthan Royals
188/4
RR4
DC6
DCDelhi Capitals
188/5
RRRajasthan Royals
188/4
DCDelhi Capitals
221/8
RRRajasthan Royals
201/8
RRRajasthan Royals
185/5
DCDelhi Capitals
173/5
RRRajasthan Royals
199/4
DCDelhi Capitals
142/9
RRRajasthan Royals
160/6
DCDelhi Capitals
161/2
DCDelhi Capitals
207/8
RRRajasthan Royals
222/2
DCDelhi Capitals
154/6
RRRajasthan Royals
121/6
RRRajasthan Royals
150/7
DCDelhi Capitals
147/8
DCDelhi Capitals
161/7
RRRajasthan Royals
148/8
RRRajasthan Royals
138/10
DCDelhi Capitals
184/8
DCDelhi Capitals
75/10
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
77/1
DCDelhi Capitals
264/2
PBPunjab Kings
265/4
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
242/2
DCDelhi Capitals
195/9
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
175/8
DCDelhi Capitals
179/4
CSChennai Super Kings
212/1
DCDelhi Capitals
189/10
DCDelhi Capitals
209/8
GTGujarat Titans
210/4
DCDelhi Capitals
164/4
MIMumbai Indians
162/6
LSLucknow Super Giants
141/10
DCDelhi Capitals
145/4
PBPunjab Kings
206/8
DCDelhi Capitals
208/4
MIMumbai Indians
180/5
DCDelhi Capitals
121/10
PBKS
8
6-1
13
RCB
9
6-3
12
SRH
9
6-3
12
RR
9
6-3
12
GT
9
5-4
10
CSK
8
3-5
6
DC
8
3-5
6
KKR
8
2-5
5
MI
8
2-6
4
LSG
8
2-6
4
PBKS
8
6
1
1
+1.043
13
RCB
9
6
3
—
+1.420
12
SRH
9
6
3
—
+0.832
12
RR
9
6
3
—
+0.617
12
GT
9
5
4
—
-0.192
10
CSK
8
3
5
—
-0.121
6
DC
8
3
5
—
-1.060
6
KKR
8
2
5
1
-0.751
5
MI
8
2
6
—
-0.784
4
LSG
8
2
6
—
-1.106
4
PBKSWWWWL
RCBWLWWL
SRHWWWWW
RRLLWLW
GTWLLWW
CSKWWLWL
DCLWLLL
KKRLLLWW
MILLWLL
LSGLLLLL
