

Match Prediction
MI are 9th with 4 points (2W-5L) in the IPL 2026 regular season and come off a 103-run loss to CSK. SRH are 4th with 10 points (5W-3L), currently in the playoff zone, and have won their last three matches. ESPN notes SRH have arrived in Mumbai on a four-match winning streak, while MI have used 20 players this season due in part to injuries. If SRH win, they will move level with RCB on 12 points.
Toss & Conditions
This match uses Wankhede pitch No. 8, the same surface where 462 runs were scored when MI chased RCB’s 240 and fell short. ESPN says it should remain a batting track; although teams in Mumbai usually choose to chase, on this specific pitch teams batting first have won 6 of the last 10 games.
Head-to-Head
Mumbai Indians have won the last 3 head-to-head matches vs Sunrisers Hyderabad.
Mumbai Indians
MI are 9th in the IPL regular season with 4 points (2W-5L) and NRR -0.736. Their last three results are L vs CSK by 103 runs, W vs GT by 99 runs, and L vs PBKS by 7 wickets (21 balls remaining).
Sunrisers Hyderabad
SRH are 4th with 10 points (5W-3L) and NRR +0.815, currently in the playoff zone. They have won their last three matches: vs RR by 5 wickets (9 balls remaining), vs DC by 47 runs, and vs CSK by 10 runs.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- MI have used 20 players this season, with injuries contributing to an unsettled combination; Mahela Jayawardene said some changes were “forced” and other “tactical” moves did not come off.
- MI’s most recent defeat was to CSK by 103 runs, which ESPN says is MI’s heaviest-ever loss in the IPL.
- SRH have arrived in Mumbai on a four-match winning streak; ESPN adds they have found a successful combination with Pat Cummins back and the rise of Eshan Malinga and Sakib Hussain in their bowling attack.
- SRH have won only one of their last six matches vs MI, and only two of their last nine vs MI at the Wankhede.
- AM Ghazanfar is MI’s top wicket-taker this season with 8 wickets in 5 games and an economy rate of 8.61, operating primarily in the middle overs.
Key Stats
Verdict
Key Stats edge SRH 4-3, driven by points (10 vs 4), NRR (+0.81 vs -0.74), and Elo (1564 vs 1450), while MI lead the last-3 H2H 3-0. All four models favor SRH, with a model-average win probability of SRH 64% vs MI 36% (ML 59-41, AI1 72-28, AI2 62-38, Math 65-35). The bookmaker prices MI at 53% (1.80) vs SRH 47% (2.02), but the model lean stays with SRH on Elo and NRR.
Head and Abhishek blow it open
Travis Head’s 30-ball 76 set the tone, but it was the 125-run opening stand with Abhishek Sharma that turned a daunting chase into a statement. Sunrisers Hyderabad hunted down 244 with 8 balls to spare, never letting Mumbai Indians’ 243/5 feel like a match-winning total. The moment that captured the night came early: SRH were already flying when Head launched into the short ball and Abhishek kept finding the square boundaries, forcing MI to defend from behind almost immediately.
Powerplay damage decided it
The chase was effectively won in the first six overs. SRH smashed 92/0 in the powerplay at 15.3 an over, wiping out the pressure of the asking rate and ensuring the middle overs could be played on their terms. Mumbai’s own start was strong at 78/0, but their tempo dipped late: 41/2 in the last five overs (10.2 rpo) left them short of the extra 15–20 runs that might have made SRH blink. Even two wickets in the middle phase couldn’t reset the chase because the platform was already enormous.
Rickelton’s ton, Klaasen’s finish
Ryan Rickelton’s 123 off 55 was the innings that made this a contest, powering MI through a blazing 78/0 powerplay and giving them a total that usually wins. But Head’s early assault flipped the chase, and Heinrich Klaasen’s 65 off 30 ensured SRH didn’t drift when wickets fell in the middle. Eshan Malinga’s 1/29 was the rare spell that slowed scoring, yet SRH’s top-end hitting had already done the decisive work.
Form and matchups held firm
Pre-match numbers leaned SRH’s way on recent momentum and overall strength, and the game followed that script once the ball got soft. MI’s bowling has been expensive at the back end, and SRH’s hitters ensured there was no “death-overs squeeze” to exploit. The one area where history favoured MI — three straight head-to-head wins — didn’t matter in a night defined by current form and a batting line-up built to win 250 chases.
MIMumbai Indians
104/10
CSChennai Super Kings
207/6
GTGujarat Titans
100/10
MIMumbai Indians
199/5
MIMumbai Indians
195/6
PBPunjab Kings
198/3
MIMumbai Indians
222/5
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
240/4
RRRajasthan Royals
150/3
MIMumbai Indians
123/9
DCDelhi Capitals
164/4
MIMumbai Indians
162/6
MIMumbai Indians
224/4
KKKolkata Knight Riders
220/4
PBPunjab Kings
207/5
MIMumbai Indians
203/6
GTGujarat Titans
208/6
MIMumbai Indians
228/5
PBPunjab Kings
187/3
MIMumbai Indians
184/7
MI7
SR3
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
143/8
MIMumbai Indians
146/3
MIMumbai Indians
166/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
162/5
MIMumbai Indians
174/3
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
173/8
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
277/3
MIMumbai Indians
246/5
MIMumbai Indians
201/2
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
200/5
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
178/10
MIMumbai Indians
192/5
MIMumbai Indians
190/7
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
193/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
193/8
MIMumbai Indians
235/9
MIMumbai Indians
150/5
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
137/10
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
151/0
MIMumbai Indians
149/8
RRRajasthan Royals
228/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
229/5
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
242/2
DCDelhi Capitals
195/9
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
194/9
CSChennai Super Kings
184/8
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
216/6
RRRajasthan Royals
159/10
PBPunjab Kings
223/4
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
219/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
156/9
LSLucknow Super Giants
160/5
KKKolkata Knight Riders
161/10
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
226/8
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
203/4
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
201/9
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
278/3
KKKolkata Knight Riders
168/10
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
189/10
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
231/6
PBKS
8
6-1
13
RCB
8
6-2
12
RR
9
6-3
12
SRH
8
5-3
10
GT
8
4-4
8
CSK
8
3-5
6
DC
8
3-5
6
KKR
8
2-5
5
MI
7
2-5
4
LSG
8
2-6
4
PBKS
8
6
1
1
+1.043
13
RCB
8
6
2
—
+1.919
12
RR
9
6
3
—
+0.617
12
SRH
8
5
3
—
+0.815
10
GT
8
4
4
—
-0.475
8
CSK
8
3
5
—
-0.121
6
DC
8
3
5
—
-1.060
6
KKR
8
2
5
1
-0.751
5
MI
7
2
5
—
-0.736
4
LSG
8
2
6
—
-1.106
4
PBKSWWWWL
RCBWWLWW
RRLLWLW
SRHLWWWW
GTWWLLW
CSKWWLWL
DCLWLLL
KKRLLLWW
MILLLWL
LSGLLLLL
