Welsh Fire W are 6th in the regular season with 4 points and a 1W-3L record. Southern Brave W are 1st with 20 points, 5W-0L, and are currently in the playoff zone. Fire’s recent run includes a 60-run win over MI London W, but they followed it with back-to-back defeats. Brave arrive unbeaten and have also won the last three meetings between these teams.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Southern Brave W have won all of the last three meetings with Welsh Fire W. In the most recent match, Brave won by 8 runs in a low-margin finish where Fire fell short while chasing 126. That game turned on Fire being held to 118/8, leaving them just short of the target. The broader pattern is one-way: Brave are 3-0 across the last three head-to-heads.
Welsh Fire W
Welsh Fire W are 6th in the regular season with 4 points and a 1W-3L record. Their last three results swing from a 60-run win over MI London W to two straight losses, including a tight 7-wicket defeat to Birmingham Phoenix W with one ball remaining. The recent story is inconsistency: one dominant win, then pressure moments going against them.
Southern Brave W
Southern Brave W are 1st in the regular season with 20 points, a 5W-0L record, and are currently in the playoff zone. Their last three wins include a 1-run result against MI London W, showing they can close out tight games as well as control matches. The form line is clean: unbeaten and repeatedly finding ways to win.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Prediction
Models are split: the ML leans Welsh Fire W, but the other models favour Southern Brave W, with the model average making Brave the favourite at 67%. Bookmakers side with Brave, pricing SB-W at 64% (1.48) vs WF-W at 36% (2.56). Key stats favour Southern Brave W 5-2, driven by their perfect season start and a clean 3-0 edge in the last three head-to-heads. The swing factor is whether Welsh Fire W can convert their stronger “key players” and “player form” ratings into a full 100-ball performance.
Graham holds the chase together
Heather Graham’s counterpunch was the hinge in a chase that never felt comfortable. Welsh Fire lost early wickets and were still searching for rhythm when Graham found gaps and forced Southern Brave’s field back. Even after Tilly Corteen-Coleman’s triple-strike spell tightened the screws, Fire kept the equation within reach and edged past 121 with the last ball, winning by four wickets in a finish decided by composure more than clean hitting.
Powerplay hole proves costly
The game was effectively shaped in the first 25 balls of Brave’s innings. They crawled to 12/2 in the powerplay, with Grace Potts’ 2/14 setting a hard ceiling on acceleration. Brave recovered well through the middle via Wolvaardt and Jemimah Rodrigues, and their death phase (36/1 at 9.0 an over) gave them a defendable 121/5, but that early drag meant they were always a boundary short when Fire took it deep.
Potts and Graham set the tone
Potts’ new-ball spell forced Brave into catch-up mode and made every dot later feel heavier. Wolvaardt’s 48 off 45 was the innings that nearly carried Brave over the line, especially once Rodrigues added 25 at a run-a-ball-plus tempo. Yet Graham’s 35 was the chase’s stabiliser, absorbing the pressure created by Corteen-Coleman’s 3/27 and ensuring Fire were still standing when the final over arrived.
Form book torn up late
Pre-match numbers leaned heavily to a Brave side riding momentum and recent head-to-head success, and for long stretches their control fit the script: Wolvaardt batted time, and Corteen-Coleman and Issy Wong (2/17) repeatedly broke partnerships. But this match rewarded the team that managed the “messy” moments better. Fire’s quieter middle (67/3) didn’t panic, and their stronger finishing burst (30/1 at 7.5 an over) turned a modest chase into a last-ball heist.







